Bob Duff for Bookies.com

By Bob Duff | | 8 mins

Wilder vs Fury 3 Odds, Betting Tips & Predictions To Back

Wilder vs Fury 3 Odds, Betting Tips & Predictions To Back
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The trilogy fight between champion Tyson Fury and challenger Deontay Wilder is finally upon us.

The fight, originally scheduled for late July but postponed after Fury tested positive for COVID-19, is slated for Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Fury was the -335 favorite at betting sites to defeat Wilder before the fight was called off, and remains a strong favorite at sportsbooks.

For fans of how fans of boxing betting, there may not be great value in a straight winner bet on Fury, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t great value. Let’s take a deeper look.

FavoriteUnderdog
Tyson Fury (-350) Deontay Wilder (+250)

Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury Betting Tips

Entering their third meeting inside the ring, what could Wilder possibly have up his sleeve that will enable him to get the better of Fury this time? Wilder threw everything in his repertoire at Fury in their first bout, put him on the canvas twice, but couldn’t finish him off.

In their second fight, it was all Fury from the opening bell. He left Wilder a bloody, battered mess, forcing his corner to surrender in order to save their man from further punishment. In fact, the only reason we’re seeing the third fight is because Wilder won an arbitration hearing that enabled him to invoke a clause calling for a third fight with Fury. This move scuttled plans for a Fury-Anthony Joshua heavyweight title unification bout.

Through two fights, Fury has displayed superior skills to Wilder. He’s the more athletic of the two fighters and displays much smoother footwork. He out boxed Wilder in the first fight and revealed a granite chin capable of surviving Wilder’s hardest shots. In the second fight, it was Fury’s aggression that was the difference. He promised to come after Wilder and get up in his grill and that was exactly what he did.

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Wilder is facing a unique dilemma entering the ring for the third time against Fury. He isn’t a skilled enough boxer to outpoint Fury over the long haul. At the same time, when fighting the second bout at close quarters - supposedly Wilder’s strength - he was absolutely dominated and destroyed by Fury.

From a betting standpoint, wagering on a Fury victory by stoppage and on the fight not going the distance look to be the best bets. Wilder really has no choice but to come out swinging and stand in there and trade punches with Fury. Dancing and jabbing aren’t his style.

Wilder, 35, changed things up for this fight. He’s training with fighter Malik Scott as his new coach and has done all his training for the bout at his own home-based gym. In Wilder’s case, his powerful right hand assures he’s always in with the traditional boxing puncher’s chance.

There’s always the possibility that the oft-undisciplined Fury has let his conditioning go since the last fight. However, all indications from Fury’s camp are that he has stuck to his workout regimen and is in the best shape of his career. We’ve checked out all the odds on our betting apps, and these are the three bets we like best.

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Fury-Wilder III Bets to Back

Let’s take a look at some of the best bets available on Fury-Wilder III.

Fury-Wilder Under 7.5 Rounds

Odds: -106 at DraftKings

It took Fury seven rounds to dispatch Wilder in their second fight. An attacking style worked for Fury in that fight, so why would he not follow the same path in the third fight? Meanwhile, four of Wilder’s last five victories were recorded in less than seven rounds. If he’s going to win this fight, he’ll have to do it via a knockout.

(Odds current as of publication; check out our DraftKings review)

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Fury To Win By KO/TKO/DQ

Odds: +100 at PointsBet

Fury has recorded 21 of his 30 victories by stoppage. In their second bout, he appears to have unlocked the secret to beating Wilder. By placing Wilder under relentless pressure, Fury simply wore down his older opponent. There’s no reason for him not to deploy that strategy again in the third bout.

(Odds current as of publication; check out our PointsBet review)

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When Will The Fight End? Rounds 4-6

Odds: +300 at FanDuel

All the intel from Fury’s camp is that he is finely tuned for this fight and wants to get it done as quickly as possible. Wilder continues to come up with wild excuses why he fared so poorly in the second fight, offering everything from wearing too heavy of a wardrobe in his pre-fight walk to the ring, to his training team conspiring against him. He’s grasping at straws, perhaps trying to convince himself that he has a chance in this fight.

(Odds current as of publication; check out our FanDuel review)

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Fury vs Wilder History

Their first fight at the Staples Center on Dec. 1, 2018, ended in a controversial draw, enabling Wilder to retain his WBC title. Although Wilder knocked Fury down twice, Fury actually landed 26% of his punches during the bout, as opposed to just 17% landed by Wilder.

They met again at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas on February 22, 2020. This time Fury dominated the fight, scoring a seventh round TKO to claim both Wilder’s WBC belt as well as the vacant The Ring Magazine title. He knocked Wilder down in the third and fifth rounds and won when Wilder’s corner threw in the towel during the seventh round. At the time of the stoppage, Fury was well ahead on all three judges’ cards - 59-52, 58-53 and 59-52.

About the Author

Bob Duff for Bookies.com
Bob Duff
A veteran journalist based in Windsor, Ontario, Bob Duff has covered the gambling and sports betting industry since 2016. He has written more than two dozen books.