2026 World Cup Group D Betting Odds and Tips

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All eyes will be on Group D as it contains one of the host nations in the shape of the USA. With home advantage, they have already secured their place as group winners with two wins from two after the draw placed them alongside Australia, Paraguay and Türkiye.

Key Takeaways - World Cup Group D Betting

  • Group D features the USA, Türkiye, Paraguay and Australia, making it a competitive group.
  • The USA have progressed as group winners, leveraging home-field advantage and experienced manager Mauricio Pochettino.
  • Türkiye boast a talented squad with key players like Arda Güler and Kenan Yıldız, but have been eliminated after losing both matches so far.
  • Paraguay and Australia are fighting for second and third, with their critical match against each other closing out the group stage.

World Cup Group D

With potentially three teams advancing from the group all four of them will fancy their chances, in what looks like an open contest according to the best World Cup betting sites. Indeed, the odds suggest all four teams have a very realistic possibility of escaping this group.

USA

Favourites to top the group, probably due to historic advantage playing at home has provided teams in the World Cup over the years, the American team were determined to ensure their party isn't over after just three games. They couldn't have really asked for a better group, and with Mauricio Pochettino in the dugout they have a manager with a wealth of experience at the top level.

Türkiye

Türkiye were second favourites to top the group, and although they probably have a more talented squad than the USA do on paper - with Real Madrid's Arda Güler and Juventus' Kenan Yıldız in the side - it has been a disastrous tournament with two losses from two games and elimination after failing to score.

Paraguay

Realistically playing for the one of those best third place qualifying positions, their game with Australia will likely be crucial to their chances of progress. Paraguay beat Turkiye to give themselves a chance of progression and avoiding defeat on the final matchday will likely see them through.

Australia

The clear outsiders of the group, it was always difficult to judge how good Australia were as a team due to their soft qualifying schedule. The Socceroos have three points from two games and, like their opponents Paraguay, know that another point will probably be enough.

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Odds to Win Group D

Top UK betting sites had USA as the early favourites with Türkiye in close attendance. USA indeed topped Group D after winning their first two games, allowing them to rotate for the final game ahead of the knockout stages.

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Odds to Qualify From Group D

It's likely that Australia and Paraguay will both make it into the knockout stages, and a draw between them would all but confirm that. Here are the latest odds from football betting sites:

Group D Fixtures

Group D kicked off with the United States beating on Paraguay on 13th June. Here are all of the fixtures for this group:

  • 26 June, 3am - Türkiye vs USA - Los Angeles Stadium
  • 26 June, 3am - Paraguay vs Australia - San Francisco Bay Area Stadium

Group D Betting Tips

From a neutral perspective, it's almost a shame that Turkiye vs USA means absolutely nothing as it removes any jeopardy from that game. It does, however, mean that Paraguay vs Australia has everything riding on it.

Neither side has looked massively convincing so far and with both teams knowing a point will be enough to qualify, backing the draw at 5/4 with Betano looks to be the play for this final Group D game.

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Responsible Gambling

With 104 games in total at the World Cup this year, there will be plenty of betting markets available right through the summer. However, it’s important to remember to only bet as much as you can afford and never chase losses. Take advantage of responsible gambling tools such as setting deposit limits and session time limits to ensure you are only betting for enjoyment. All of the betting sites on Bookies.com have these tools and more to help you stay in control.

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World Cup Group D FAQs

Who are the favourites for World Cup Group D?

The USA are the favourites to win the group. With a great manager and home advantage, betting sites think that the United States have the best chance to come out of top out of the four sides in this group.