The best in the AFC vs. the best in the NFC for the championship is Sunday, as Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs take on Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles at State Farm Stadium in Arizona. It’s the third trip in four years to the Big Game for Mahomes’ Chiefs, while the Eagles are aiming to win their second Super Bowl in five seasons. 

The opening Super Bowl 57 betting odds had posted Kansas City at -2, a number that quickly flipped to Philadelphia -2. It settled to -1.5 for the Eagles and has held steady in the two weeks since the conference championships.

RELATED: Best NFL Super Bowl 57 Parlay Bet To Make On The Big Game

The Over/Under for total points is 50.5 points on NFL betting sites, up one point since the opening lines were set. 

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – focused on hitting over 60% of his NFL picks for a fourth-consecutive season – reveals his Super Bowl 57 picks and top props for the big game. 

Super Bowl 57 Point Spread Pick

Philadelphia is 7-1 vs. playoff teams in games that mattered; every win was by six-plus points and averaged 17.3 ppg margin of victory, the lone loss was 40-34 vs. a solid Cowboys team and without Jalen Hurts. KC hasn’t displayed that level of consistent dominance, a trait shared by most recent champions. 

Philly also gets the edge in specific matchups of the game itself. The Eagles are considerably stronger in the trenches, its run game is far superior and it’s tough to go against a defense that led the league in sacks and ranks No. 4 in INTs and No. 5 in fewest pass yards allowed. Mahomes is the best QB in the NFL and the MVP for a reason. But KC's inconsistent ground game and bottom-10 pass defense, and the matchup issues across the lines, are too much. 

Lay the 1.5 points with the Eagles. 

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Super Bowl 57 Over/Under Best Bet

Despite this being the era of offense in the NFL, the Under has hit in the last three Super Bowls, all of which had totals in the 50s. This could be an exception to the recent rules, as KC and Philly ranked No. 1 and No. 2 in most points scored, combining for 57.4 ppg. 

Still, both teams may run until the opponent stops them, thus keeping the clock churning. The Eagles ran the ball 44 times in both playoff games so far and own the NFL’s top rushing attack. The Chiefs need to take pressure off Mahomes and his bum ankle, so they’ll hope to run more as well or compete with short, safe passes. 

It means another Under is in the works, but it really could go either way. Take the Over with backdoor potential, but as a secondary play at best. 

Super Bowl 57 Moneyline Pick

The Eagles are at -120 on the moneyline ($120 wager to win $100 in profit) while the Chiefs are currently at +105 (risk $100 to win $105 in profit on Kansas betting apps). We like the Eagles to win, but we know what Mahomes can do. Is it too much of a risk to lay the extra juice and eschew the point spread? 

If the Eagles can get ahead, they should win with a ground attack that is relentless and varied. They’re an explosive first-half team, one that’s also allowed just seven first-half points the last three weeks combined. They’ve led 28-0 and 21-7 in their playoff games and won by 31 and 24 points. No team that’s won their first two playoff games by 24-plus has ever lost the Super Bowl (4-0). Go with Philly to win the Super Bowl straight-up. 

Best Super Bowl 57 Player Props

Travis Kelce, Over 6.5 Receptions

Odds: -110 at BetMGM

Kelce is the No. 1 target on the top-ranked pass attack in the NFL and there’s reason to believe he’ll get more than the usual load on Sunday. Kelce had 14 receptions for 98 yards in the divisional round vs. the Jaguars and has at least 10 receptions in three of the last four “trophy games” for KC (AFC Championship or Super Bowl), so we’ve learned to expect even more in the big moments. 

The Eagles’ defense is the best at limiting big plays, so Kelce-to-Mahomes underneath for seven yards might be the game’s most-called play. The Chiefs’ offense finds so many different routes designed to get Kelce open. He could have a double-digit day. 

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A.J. Brown, Anytime TD

Odds: +120 at DraftKings

Brown hasn’t hit paydirt much lately, with just one TD over his last six games. That said, Hurts wasn’t around for half those games and the playoff wins were blowouts and he wasn’t really needed. We know he can score, evidenced by the 10 TDs he had in the first 13 games this season. 

Also, the matchup here is dreamy for Brown. KC ranked 31st in TDs allowed to wide receivers, and Brown’s size (225 pounds; the corners guarding him will be 190 pounds or less all day) gives him a huge edge. The Chiefs’ defense has too many other things to worry about, so Brown and his undersized defender should be on an island much of the day. 

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