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Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs Picks & Betting Predictions

Marcus Mosher for Bookies.com

Marcus Mosher  | 8 mins

Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs Picks & Betting Predictions

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The marquee game of the week features two of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. The Dallas Cowboys come into Kansas City with the No. 1 ranked offense in both yards and points. They are coming off a game in which they just scored 36 points in the first half against the Falcons and 29 points in the second quarter. It’s the league’s best offense as they can beat defenses in a variety of ways.

The Chiefs seem to be back on track after a blowout win against the Raiders in Las Vegas. They totaled over 500 yards of offense and 41 points against one of the better defenses in the NFL. But can they do it against Dallas, who did not allow Matt Ryan to convert a single third down last week?

To get you ready for this AFC-NFC matchup, here is everything you need to know from an NFL betting perspective going into Week 11, as well as a look at the latest NFL odds for the matchup.

Take a look at Cowboys vs. Chiefs odds, injury report, betting lines and more.


Cowboys vs. Chiefs Matchups

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill vs. Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs: Diggs leads the NFL in interceptions, but isn’t a great matchup against Hill and his speed. Will Dallas be forced to use someone else against Kansas City’s top weapon?

Cowboys RG Zack Martin vs. Chiefs DT Chris Jones: Now that Jones is back to playing defensive tackle, Kansas City’s defense has been much better. But can he beat a future Hall of Fame guard in Zack Martin? It should be a fantastic battle to watch.

Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb vs. Chiefs CB L’Jarius Sneed: Lamb has been the best receiver for Dallas this season and now slides back into the slot with Michael Gallup back. Look for Sneed to follow him inside in this contest.


RELATED: NFL Week 11 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games


Cowboys vs. Chiefs Stats

31.6: The Cowboys have the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL, scoring 31.6 PPG.

25.9: The Chiefs average the most 1st downs per game in the NFL (25.9).

0-5: The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS at sportsbooks in their last 5 home games.

5-1: The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS on betting apps in their last 6 road games.

11-1: The Chiefs are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against NFC opponents.


Cowboys vs. Chiefs Player Props

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing touchdowns

Odds: +135 at DraftKings

Mahomes threw five touchdowns in Week 10 and has thrown for 3 or more touchdowns in five games this season. In what should be a high-scoring game, look for Mahomes to easily go over his passing touchdown total in Week 11.

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Cowboys QB Dak Prescott under 315.5 total yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Prescott should have a big game on Sunday, but look for him to be efficient. The Cowboys will likely try to run the ball to keep Mahomes and the Chiefs off the field.

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill’s longest reception over 26.5 yards

Odds: -110 at DraftKings

The Cowboys have an aggressive defense, but they can allow big plays through the air. Don’t be surprised if Hill has multiple receptions over 30 yards in this contest.


RELATED: NFL Week 11 Picks & Best Bets For Every Game


Cowboys vs. Chiefs Moneyline

The Cowboys have been an incredible road team this season as their only loss was a Week 1 defeat to Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. That was a game they led in the fourth quarter, but Brady marched the Bucs to a game-winning field goal with very little time left. However, the Chiefs are typically tough to beat at home when Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are all healthy.

While Dallas is probably the better team, take the Chiefs to win at home (-142) at DraftKings . We have seen the Cowboys struggle with some of the other AFC West teams (-11 point differential in those games), so don’t be surprised if they fall short here.

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Cowboys vs. Chiefs Point Spread

Everything in this game points to the Cowboys winning and covering. They have the better offense, defense and have been far better in the turnover department. Kansas City has not been great at home this season (0-5 ATS) and their overall record against the spread in their last 20 games is just 4-15-1 on betting sites. However, Mahomes seemed to turn the corner in Week 10 against the Raiders.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys will be without their top three defensive linemen (Demarcus Lawrence, Randy Gregory, Neville Gallimore) and could struggle to create a pass rush. Look for this game to be highly competitive, but for the Chiefs to cover the 2.5 point spread (-110) on FanDuel.

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Cowboys vs. Chiefs Totals

As you would expect, this game has the highest point total of the week around 56.5 points. Both teams can score 40 at a moment’s notice and have the weapons to turn this into a shootout. However, both defenses have played well in the last few weeks and can keep the score down.

Look for the Cowboys especially to utilize the run game to limit the number of possessions for Mahomes and the Chiefs. Expect this to be a high-scoring game, but for the Under 56 (-110) on PointsBet to hit. Look for a 28-24 type of game in Kansas City.

About the Author

Marcus Mosher for Bookies.com
Marcus Mosher
Marcus Mosher covers the NFL for Bookies.com. The managing editor of The Raiders Wire is also a contributor to The Athletic DFW, Pro Football Weekly and FanSided.