By Dan Kilbridge | | 6 mins
5 Intriguing Chiefs Super Bowl Bets To Back From MVP to INTs
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The Kansas City Chiefs are back in the Super Bowl and ready to rock as a -3 favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Chiefs have been a bit of an enigma at the sportsbooks this season with an 8-10 record against the spread, despite their overall record of 16-2 including the playoffs. They also have been just as good offensively if not better than last year’s championship squad.
As always, NFL betting options go way beyond point spread and total for Super Bowl 55. Bettors have hundreds of different props, exotics and totals at their disposal.
For those looking to get action on the Chiefs, we’ve gone through the board to pick our five favorite Kansas City bets to back.
Jersey Number of First TD Scorer, Over 24.5 (-121)
We had the under as one of our top props last year and, sure enough, No. 15 Patrick Mahomes punched it in for the first touchdown of the game to cash it. This year we’re going in the other direction. The cutoff at 24.5 means we get both of Kansas City's primary running backs, No. 25 Clyde Edwards-Helaire and No. 31 Darrel Williams.
We also get perhaps the most likely option in No. 87 Travis Kelce, who has three touchdowns already this postseason.
The over doesn’t include No. 10 Tyreek Hill, but you can balance that out by putting a little on Hill as the first touchdown scorer at +600. Bet it at DraftKings .
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Patrick Mahomes MVP (-106)
We view this almost like a Chiefs moneyline bet. The price is just way better than Kansas City -167 to win. Mahomes was the Super Bowl 54 MVP and continued a major trend, with quarterbacks earning the honor in eight of the last 11 Super Bowls. We also don’t think the Chiefs will have much success running the ball against this Buccaneers defense.
Tyreek Hill (+1200) and Travis Kelce (+1300) are tempting, but if one of them goes off it means Mahomes’ numbers are going up too. This has always been a balanced offense, and it’s way more likely that Mahomes spreads the ball around and makes everyone look good. We like him as the MVP, especially at -106. Bet it at William Hill.
Darrel Williams Under 36.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Williams has company in the backfield now with Edwards-Helaire and Le’Veon Bell in the mix. And the Buccaneers have been great against the run in recent months. They held the Green Bay Packers to just 67 total rushing yards in the NFC Championship Game and make things really difficult in the trenches.
Andy Reid isn’t going to force the issue if it’s not there, and he’s obviously comfortable deferring to Mahomes and letting him sling it 40-plus times in any game. We don’t see Williams getting that many touches, nor do we see him surpassing 36.5 yards on the ground. Bet it at PointsBet .
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Chiefs Under 29.5 Points (-110)
We have a lot of confidence in the Chiefs offense, but the Buccaneers defense is the underrated element in this matchup. They’ve held opponents under 30 points in 10 consecutive games and limited the Chiefs to 27 points after falling behind 17-0 in the first quarter earlier this season.
The Chiefs scored 31 points against an elite 49ers defense last year, but it took a wild series of events and a 21-point fourth quarter just to sneak past the number. This year could be a different story, and win or lose we see the Chiefs falling short of 30 points. Bet it at FanDuel .
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Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interceptions (+135)
We like the juicy odds here at +135 and think Mahomes will throw a pick at some point. We’re getting those odds because Mahomes only threw six interceptions during the regular season, including three in one game against the Dolphins.
However, it has been statistically the luckiest season in NFL history as Mahomes set a record with 16 potential interceptions dropped throughout the year. The Buccaneers defense forces a lot of turnovers and can take the ball away in the secondary. We’ll go with yes for Mahomes to throw an interception at +135. Bet it at BetMGM .
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