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2023-2024 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 42 mins

2023-2024 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker

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Super Bowl bets are the most popular form of NFL futures betting, but they aren’t the only type of wager. AFC & NFC conference title odds are heavily bet, but NFL divisional futures have grown in popularity, too. With just four available teams in each market, NFL division odds have become a go-to futures bet, not only during the offseason, but during the weekly grind of the NFL season. Bookies.com tracks the odds to win for all eight divisions for the 2023-24 NFL season.

Odds to Win the AFC East

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Buffalo Bills +135 +135
New York Jets +225 +225
Miami Dolphins +300 +300
New England Patriots +750 +750

Odds via BetMGM and current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the AFC East odds movement:

  • May 5: The Bills are looking to three-peat in this division. They weathered the arrival of Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets and the rumors of Tom Brady un-retiring to the Dolphins in this offseason. The Bills remain the second pick out of the AFC to win Super Bowl 58. Thus far. The Jets are as close to the top of this board as they have been since legalized betting spread nationwide five years ago this month. The Dolphins, too, are close given their roster returning this season. The Patriots, however, have become a distant third.

Odds to Win the AFC North

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Cincinnati Bengals +115 +115
Baltimore Ravens +250 +250
Cleveland Browns +350 +350
Pittsburgh Steelers +650 +650

Odds via BetMGM - current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the AFC North odds movement:

  • May 5: The Bengals are finally preseason favorites in this division. They reached the AFC title game last season and did not lose a game after Halloween until that loss to the Chiefs. Cincinnati filled some holes in the offseason. The Ravens, more importantly, kept Lamar Jackson in the fold and gave him a big bag of cash. The Browns get a full season of Deshaun Watson, but this division remains top-heavy between Cincinnati and Baltimore.
2023-2024 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker 1

Odds to Win the AFC South

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars -160 -160
Tennessee Titans +350 +350
Indianapolis Colts +550 +550
Houston Texans +800 +800

Odds via BetMGM and current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the AFC South odds movement:

  • May 5: The Jaguars have gone from back-to-back overall No. 1 picks in the NFL draft to the betting favorte in the AFC South in just a year. Jacksonville's home playoff win over the LA Chargers gave the Cats legitimacy heading into the 2023-24 season. Trevor Lawrence is now the top QB in the division and has a defense to back things up. The rest of the division did little to improve in terms of making an immediate impact this season.

Odds to Win the AFC West

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Kansas City Chiefs -160 -160
LA Chargers +325 +325
Denver Broncos +500 +500
Las Vegas Raiders +1200 +1200

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook and current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the AFC West odds movement:

  • May 5: The Chiefs remain the gold standard in this division. The defending Super Bowl champs see no real threat on the horizon - at least during the regular season. The Chargers held their status and did not make a big jump. The Broncos and Russell Wilson can't do much worse this season. Meanwhile, the Raiders continue to lose ground and look to Jimmy G. to stem the slide.

Odds to Win the NFC East

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Philadelphia Eagles +100 +100
Dallas Cowboys +175 +175
New York Giants +550 +550
Washington Commanders +1000 +1000

Odds via BetMGM and current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the NFC East odds movement:

  • May 5: This division is a strong example of the pricing issues in this market. Any team that's less than +250 this far out is simply not worth the risk in terms of tying up betting capital. The Eagles won the Super Bowl last year, but to hold on a bet like this for even money over nine months is simply not sensible given a cost-benefit analysis. Here, the Giants are a strong play at their price and how well they played in the later part of last season.
2023-2024 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker 2

Odds to Win the NFC North

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Detroit Lions +130 +130
Chicago Bears +325 +325
Minnesota Vikings +325 +325
Green Bay Packers +400 +400

Odds via BetMGM and are current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the NFC North odds movement:

  • May 5: This market has fully flipped since Week 1 of last season. The Packers have reset to the bottom in the post-Rodgers world. The Vikings fared poorly down the stretch and in the playoffs and have lost the trust of oddsmakers. The Bears had a solid draft and Justin Fields has another year of experence. And the Lions, the long-time-doormat of the NFC North, are all the way up to +130. This division carries the most uncertainty in terms of a winner and that won't change until the season begins.

Odds to Win the NFC South

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
New Orleans Saints +125 +125
Atlanta Falcons +275 +275
Carolina Panthers +350 +350
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +500 +500

Odds via DraftKings and current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the NFC South odds movement:

  • May 5: The Buccaneers have gone from back-to-back division champions to the NFC South's longest shot in the wake of Brady's latest retirement. The Saints are looking to Derek Carr to ignite their sputtering offense. The Falcons may still deal for a QB but loaded up on skill players in the draft and should put up some points. The Panthers are starting over with Bryce Young at QB.
2023-2024 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker 3

Odds to Win the NFC West

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
San Francisco 49ers -175 -175
Seattle Seahawks +275 +275
LA Rams +550 +550
Arizona Cardinals +2500 +2500

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook and current as of May 5.

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Here are some notes on the NFC West odds movement:

  • May 5: San Francisco reached the NFC title game last season with rookie QB Brock Purdy as its starter over the last half of the season. Once Prudy got hurt against the Eagles, the 49ers were cooked. The Seahawks are sticking with Geno Smith (for now) as their starter. The Rams have the best QB in the division with Matthew Stafford. And when looking at these prices, they are the best play here.

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.
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