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Saints-Falcons Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back

Saints-Falcons Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back

By Adam Thompson Nov 27th, 2019 10:45 AM EST |

Saints-Falcons Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back

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NFC South rivals face off in a primetime Thanksgiving clash as Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons play host to Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints.

The Falcons have been a disappointment this season, but they handled the Saints 26-9 just three weeks ago. The Saints have covered seven of their last nine games. Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider:

Saints-Falcons Best Bets

Pick Expired

OTHER BETS TO BACK

First-Half Moneyline | Saints -186 (SugarHouse)
Highest-Scoring Quarter | Fourth +195 (DraftKings)
First Turnover | Falcons -129 (William Hill)

All odds current as of publication but subject to change. Check out the latest Saints-Falcons odds here.

PICK 1: Saints -6.5

The Falcons defense didn’t allow a TD in consecutive wins over the Saints and Panthers, then got steamrolled by the Buccaneers on Sunday.

Matt Ryan was pulled on offense in a 13-point home loss. The Saints will be motivated to avenge the surprising home loss of three weeks ago and the battered Falcons will struggle to contain both Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara.

PICK 2: Under 50 Points

Saints-Falcons Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back 1 — Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas already has 104 catches for 1,242 yards and six touchdowns this season.

Few teams are as maddeningly inconsistent offensively as the Falcons, who have scored 32 or more points twice and been held to 12 points or less three times. I’d expect closer to the latter against the Saints’ 10th-ranked defense.

The Under is 4-1 in the Falcons’ last five at home and it’s 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams.

PICK 3: First-Half Moneyline — Saints

The Saints have become a first-quarter team lately, racking up 30 points the last three weeks in the opening frame. That’s more than their defense has allowed in the first half all season (8.5 ppg). Meanwhile, only the Dolphins and Giants allow more first-half points than the Falcons (16.5 ppg).

CHECK OUT: Bookies.com NFL Week 13 Betting Power Rankings

PICK 4: Highest-Scoring Quarter — Fourth

The Falcons lead the NFL in fourth-quarter scoring — mostly because of garbage-time points as they rally from insurmountable deficits. Let’s look for that again as the Saints build a lead for three quarters and the Falcons pad some stats late. Kamara and New Orleans will get a few points of their own in the fourth.

Saints-Falcons Thanksgiving Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back 2 — Matt Ryan and the Falcons pick up a lot of points in the fourth quarter when the game is out of reach. He has thrown for almost 3,000 yards and 18 touchdowns this season.

PICK 5: First Turnover — Falcons

The Saints have turned the ball over just seven times in 11 games. The Falcons have seven fumbles lost — 16 fumbles overall — plus 11 INTs. New Orleans has also forced five more turnovers than Atlanta.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson

More About Adam

Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.

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