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Super Bowl 57 MVP Best Bets, Predictions & Picks: Who Will Take the Trophy Home?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 15 mins

Super Bowl 57 MVP Best Bets, Predictions & Picks: Who Will Take the Trophy Home?

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There are thousands of ways to attack Super Bowl 57 betting. But before the showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles kicks off on Feb. 12 from State Farm Stadium in Arizona, one of the most popular bets is the Super Bowl Most Valuable Player award.

From Patrick Mahomes to Jalen Hurts, from offense to defense, online sportsbooks offer dozens of players from both teams to choose from in Super Bowl MVP futures markets.

If you back a player now on NFL betting sites, you could end up gaining value. After all, the NFL futures odds you see today might be better than the ones posted closer to kickoff.

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson breaks down the current field.

Super Bowl 57 MVP Odds

Jalen Hurts +120
Patrick Mahomes +125
Travis Kelce +1100
AJ Brown +1400
DeVonta Smith +2500
Miles Sanders +3000
Haason Reddick +3000
Jerick McKinnon +5000
Isiah Pacheco +5000
Darius Slay +5000
Chris Jones +5000
Dallas Goedert  +5000
Marquez Valdes-Scantling  +6600
Chad Henne +6600
JuJu Smith-Schuster  +6600
Brandon Graham +8000
Nick Bolton +10000
TJ Edwards +10000

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and subject to change. 

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Who Wins Super Bowl MVPs?

First off, it helps to win the game. Only once in the 56-year history of the Super Bowl has the Super Bowl MVP not hoisted the Lombardi Trophy at the end of the night. The lone exception: Cowboys LB Chuck Howley earned it in Super Bowl V with two interceptions and a forced fumble in Dallas’ loss to the Baltimore Colts. 

RELATED: Super Bowl 57 Ultimate Betting Guide

There’s also only been one tie, and that anomaly also involved the Cowboys. QB Randy White and DE Harvey Martin shared the honors in Super Bowl 12 in a 27-10 win over the Denver Broncos. 

In other words, it will very likely be a single player from the winning team. There is no prohibitive outright favorite for Super Bowl 57 on the moneyline. The Eagles (-125 at BetMGM) are only slight favorites over the Chiefs (+105) on betting apps

QBs win Super Bowl MVP, but not all of them

Not surprisingly, quarterbacks have won a majority of Super Bowl MVP awards. But it’s not a monopoly. Of the 57 Super Bowl MVP awards (including the co-winners), QBs have won 31 times. That’s only 54.3% of the time, which means we need to look beyond those taking snaps under center. 

Wide receivers are next on the list, winning eight Super Bowl MVPs, including last year when Cooper Kupp took the award in the Rams’ win over the Bengals. Running backs have won it seven times, while 10 defensive players have taken it, most notably linebackers (4). Packers kick returner Desmond Howard won it as well, the lone special teamer. 

Who Votes For The Super Bowl MVP?

Just 11 media members make up 80% of the Super Bowl MVP vote. 

The other 20% comes from fans watching the game. If you’ve ever seen the results of a Pro Bowl or All-Star Game vote in any sport, you know that adds a touch of popularity to the equation.

Super Bowl MVP Pick

As the quarterback on the favored team, Jalen Hurts (+120) is the rightful favorite at betting sites and betting apps to win the award. 

While going with the favorite isn’t overly exciting, it makes a lot of sense here. Last year, betting favorite Matthew Stafford was a risk because so many of his targets went to one receiver – Kupp. That’s how the game played out, and Kupp took the award. 

With two good WRs and a run game that could make a statement, the Eagles’ offense is more varied. Hurts drives it all, and his legs and penchant for scoring on the ground makes a lot of sense, especially if you believe the Eagles win the game. 

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Super Bowl MVP Long Shots To Back

It’s been over two decades since a running back won this award, as long pass receptions and big defensive plays are more memorable in the minds of voters. Could Super Bowl 57 be an exception? 

There is a reason to back both starting RBs for Chiefs vs. Eagles. And you can get them both at massive NFL odds

Eagles RB Miles Sanders has at least 11 carries in all but two games this season. He also has at least two TDs on four occasions, including in the NFC Championship Game win over the 49ers. 

The Chiefs might sell out to help a pass defense that ranked 24th in the league. All season, the Eagles have taken what the defense has given them. Sanders has eight games with at least 17 carries. He’s averaged 102.5 yards per game in those instances. 

On the flip side, Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco leads KC this postseason in rushing carries and yards and is No. 3 in receiving yards. He struggled to gain much on the ground vs. the stout Bengals but instead had five receptions for 59 yards. KC wants to get him the ball, and if Philly has a weakness anywhere on the field, it’s run defense. 

Each RB ranked in the top 12 in yards per attempt, and each defense was in the lower-half of the NFL in yards per attempt allowed. Sanders (+3000) and Pacheco (+5000 on Kansas betting apps) could both be backed and offer a huge payoff if either hits. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.