Buccaneers Favored To Win NFC, Super Bowl After Tom Brady's Return
Bill Speros | 8 mins
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Tom Brady’s decision to cut his retirement short and return for the 2022 NFL season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers roiled NFL futures markets Sunday night. And at least one sports betting site has the Buccaneers as the favorite to win Super Bowl 57.
Tampa Bay has moved from +2500 to win the Super Bowl to the favorite at +700 at PointsBet.
As of Monday morning, Tampa Bay is +800 at DraftKings, +750 at FanDuel and +850 at BetMGM to win an eighth Super Bowl ring for Brady in Glendale, Arizona next February.
Tampa Bay is the consensus pick to win the NFC across betting apps. It was a +1400 choice before the Brady news. Tampa Bay is now +350 at DraftKings, FanDuel and PointsBet, either alone or tied with Green Bay, to win the NFC. They stand at +375 at BetMGM in the same market.
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Brady announced in February he was leaving pro football after a Hall of Fame career that spanned three decades. Brady’s decision to return comes on the eve of the NFL free-agency tampering period, which starts on Monday. NFL free agents can officially sign with new teams starting on Wednesday.
“These past two months I’ve realized my place is still on the field and not in the stands. That time will come. But it’s not now. I love my teammates, and I love my supportive family. They make it all possible. I’m coming back for my 23rd season in Tampa. Unfinished business LFG,” Brady posted on social media.
Not everyone was initially sold on Brady’s retirement. Oddsmakers at Caesars Sportsbook had installed Brady at +4500 to win NFL MVP honors after his “retirement.” The book said it had taken considerable action on Brady at that price. Brady was +800 at DraftKings to win 2022-23 MVP honors, tied with Aaron Rodgers. They are behind only Josh Allen (+700) and Patrick Mahomes II (+750) in that market.
Buccaneers Odds Soar After Brady News
Here is a look at where some of the key NFL betting markets stood following Tom Brady’s “retirement” and after his announcement on Sunday that he'll be back at age 45 in September.
Buccaneers NFL Odds Before And After Brady's “Return”
|Market||TB Retirement||TB Return|
|Super Bowl 57||+2500 at FanDuel ➜||+700 at PointsBet|
|NFC Championship||+1400 at DraftKings ➜||+300 at DraftKings ➜|
|NFC South||-105 at DraftKings ➜||-220 at FanDuel ➜|
|NFL MVP||+4500 at Caesars Sportsbook ➜||+800 at DraftKings ➜|
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What Next In Tampa After Brady's Return?
Brady’s 22nd NFL season and his 20th full season was among his best. He led the NFL in passing yards (5,316), touchdowns (43), attempts (719) and completions (485). Brady likely could have prevented Aaron Rodgers from repeating as MVP had he and the Buccaneers not been shut out at home by the Saints (without Sean Payton) on Dec. 19.
Tampa Bay finished 13-4 and held the No. 2 seed in the NFC before losing to the Super Bowl champion LA Rams in the NFC Divisional Round. The Bucs trailed 27-3 in that game before Brady and the Tampa Bay defense completed a furious comeback to tie the game at 27-27 with 42 seconds to play. The Buccaneers defense gave up 69 yards on two plays to allow the Rams to kick the game-winning field goal as the gun sounded.
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The Buccaneers will be returning WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin next season. The big question on offense for Tampa Bay remains: Will Rob Gronkowski return?
Gronkowski is a free agent but the tight end has never played with any QB besides Brady. Tampa Bay still has some holes on its offensive line. Center Ryan Jensen and the Bucs agreed to a 3-year, $39 million contract late Sunday night.
Brady remained on the Buccaneers roster throughout his “retirement” and is under contract with the team through the 2022 season. He will make $27.27 million this fall. But he carries a total cap hit of $35.27 million, of which $15 million is dead cap money. The Buccaneers will no doubt have to restructure either Brady’s deal or some others given that they are roughly $3 million over the cap.