David Caraviello for Bookies.com

By David Caraviello | | 5 mins

Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview

Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview

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It has been an odd season so far in NASCAR’s top series, which has seen three upset winners and an unpredictable first dirt race since 1970. Bettors willing to take a chance have been rewarded, given that every winner so far this season has paid +1000 or higher — including Joey Logano, who carried +3300 odds into a Bristol dirt race on a less than ideal surface, where most of the favorites ended up in the wall.

Saturday night’s event at half-mile Martinsville Speedway might bring something more akin to normal, given how that track rewards those with a knack for getting up front, minimizing brake wear and staying out of trouble. NASCAR betting odds favorite Martin Truex Jr. has won two of the past three events there. But the tightly-bunched odds among the top six or seven drivers mean bettors have several legitimate options to take home a grandfather clock, the traditional victory trophy at Martinsville.

And given that so many of the sport’s elite drivers have yet to visit Victory Lane in 2021 — looking at you, Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch — there’s a real chance that NASCAR bettors could see an eighth different winner in as many events this year.

Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Odds

Driver WinTop 3Top 10
Martin Truex Jr. +500 +145 -385
Chase Elliott +600 +175 -335
Brad Keselowski +600 +175 -335
Denny Hamlin +700 +200 -286
Joey Logano +700 +200 -286
Ryan Blaney +800 +225 -275
Kyle Busch +1200 +325 -225
Kyle Larson +1200 +325 -225

NASCAR odds current as of publication from DraftKings and subject to change.


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Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Predictions & Betting Tips

Brad Keselowski to Win (+600, Unibet)

One of those elite drivers who hasn’t won yet this year is Keselowski, who has been competitive but not great in most starts this season. Still, he was second at Las Vegas and fourth at Phoenix, so the pieces are there, particularly at the sport’s most traditional tracks. And you don’t get more traditional than Martinsville, a flat, timeless layout where Keselowski has finished fifth or better in nine of his past 10 starts with victories in 2017 and 2019.

Kez was also third behind Truex and Ryan Blaney in the track’s first night race last June, showing that he and his No. 2 Penske Racing team can manage the changing conditions under the lights. Ride with Keselowski at Unibet .

For more great expert NASCAR picks for the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 from our team of handicappers, check out bookiesEDGE:

Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Betting Tips

Famed for the radioactive red hot dogs at its concessions and excellent fender-to-fender competition, the 0.526-mile Martinsville Speedway oval is about as good as it gets for a racing purist. Short-track-bred Virginian Denny Hamlin leads all active drivers there with five career victories, but his last victory was in 2015. He has placed 11th and 24th his past two times out. Odds favorite Truex was 22nd last fall, but before that he contended in every Martinsville start dating back to 2017.

Over the past 10 races at Martinsville, the best drivers have been Keselowski (with nine top-fives) and Kyle Busch; each has won twice in that span. Chase Elliott has top-10s in five of his last six on the short track, leading 236 laps on the way to a victory last fall that was pivotal in his championship run. And Blaney has been sneaky good there, with runner-up finishes at Martinsville in each of his last two starts.

And if you’re hoping for a longshot — maybe wait two weeks for Talladega. There’s hasn’t been a true shocker at Martinsville since 1999, when John Andretti recorded the first victory there for Richard Petty’s team in 20 years. Over the past two decades, only three non-champions have won at Martinsville — Hamlin, Ryan Newman and Dale Earnhardt Jr. — offering something of a road map for bettors to follow.

Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 Time, Date & TV

When: Saturday, April 10, 7:30 p.m.

Where: Martinsville Speedway, Martinsville, Va.


About the Author

David Caraviello for Bookies.com
David Caraviello
Veteran sports journalist David Caraviello has covered college football, college basketball, motorsports and golf, covering all three US golf majors, the Daytona 500 and SEC football.