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Moises Caicedo Transfer Betting Odds

Matthew Glazier for Bookies.com

Matthew Glazier  | 11 mins

Moises Caicedo Transfer Betting Odds

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Moises Caicedo Next Club Odds*

TeamBest OddsBookmaker
Chelsea1/2 Ladbrokes
Brighton7/2 bet365
Liverpool14/1 bet365
Manchester City20/1 bet365

*Odds up to date as of August 7, 2023

Chelsea are now strong favourites to capture Moises Caicedo, with the London club readying a new bid for the wantaway midfielder. Liverpool had looked to be in pole position to sign the player this morning after agreeing terms with Brighton. However they now look unable to agree personal terms with the Columbian, putting Chelsea back in the driving seat.

That suggests that Caicedo is determined to leave the Seagulls for Chelsea, and all that remains is for Chelsea to stump up the right offer for the midfielder. Their latest was £80 million which was turned down by Brighton and it might be that Chelsea have to go closer to £110 million Liverpool offered to get their man.

There doesn't appear to be anyone else in the running to sign the 21-year-old, with Arsenal having switched their attention to Declan Rice this summer. It had been thought that Brighton might retain Caicedo's services although the fact that he's not been fielded in a recent friendly suggests otherwise.

Moises Caicedo is a player with the world seemingly at his feet. The 21-year-old has only made 53 appearances for Brighton since arriving from Independiente del Valle in 2021, but the midfielder has caught the eye of many top Premier League clubs and Arsenal were in hot pursuit of the player in January.

Although Brighton successfully rebuffed the various big-money offers that were made for the Ecuadorian, owner Tony Bloom might end up conceding defeat in his bid to retain the services of Caicedo this summer. He could well be the latest profitable exit from the Amex Stadium, with Chelsea keen to sign this player as they look to reshape their squad, according to football betting sites.

Not that Brighton fans will have many complaints considering the club have a strong track record of making handsome profits on their players and then unearthing more gems to help them enjoy continued success in the Premier League. The big question is whether Chelsea will get the deal done. Let’s take a look at the odds from the best betting sites.

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Can Chelsea Agree a Transfer Fee for Moises Caicedo?

Chelsea splurged a lot of money on new players last season and are likely to go in hot pursuit of more signings this summer, although Financial Fair Play might be a sticking point when it comes to signing Caicedo. The sales of Mason Mount, Kai Havertz and Christian Pulisic have helped balance the books but they're now struggling to meet Brighton's valuation. Having had an offer of £80 million rejected, Chelsea must now decide whether to increase their offer.

Chelsea previously usurped their capital rivals Arsenal to capture Mykhailo Mudryk after it was previously thought the Ukrainian would be heading to the Emirates. Chelsea owner Todd Boehly will be keen on signing players who can help the Blues challenge for domestic honours next term after a difficult season, with Caicedo now big odds-on to make the switch to Stamford Bridge.

New manager Mauricio Pochettino is looking to reshape the squad this summer and it's now a case of Chelsea increasing their offer for the player after failed bids, although there are rumours that Brighton now want to get Levi Colwill back to the club as part of any deal. Brighton continue to dig their heels in and perhaps Chelsea will give up the chase for this player.

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Will Caicedo Be Heading to Saudi Arabia?

We've seen several Premier League players leave England this summer to sign for a Pro League outfit, although the majority have been on the wrong side of thirty. Moises Caicedo has a massive playing career ahead of him, although it could be that the Ecuadorian is open to heading to the Middle East, with Brighton potentially ready to accept a big money offer.

While Chelsea have failed with a number of big money offers for the player, the London outfit might not be able to compete with the financial clout of the likes of Al Nassr and Al Hilal, with money no object to the leading Pro League clubs.

Much comes down to whether the player is open to leaving England at this point of his career, although the chance to earn an enormous salary has seen many of his counterparts make the switch.

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Brighton Look Determined to Keep Caicedo

Brighton have sold many of their star players to leading Premier League clubs over the past few years, with Alexis Mac Allister completing a move to Liverpool earlier in the summer. However, it could be that they are now in a strong enough financial position to keep Moises Caicedo and the latest odds suggest he could remain with Albion.

Although there is plenty of transfer speculation surrounding Caicedo, the latest betting odds suggest that that there's a chance that the player could remain a Brighton & Hove Albion player this summer. bet365 still think that Chelsea are likely to capture him but the betting suggests a move is far from certain.

There will be Europa League football at Brighton next season so they'll need a big squad to be competitive in Europe and in the Premier League. The fact that Albion rejected Arsenal's advances in January means that they might be determined to retain the services of a player who is still in the infancy of his career. Perhaps Roberto de Zerbi can convince him to stick around for another year before selling the player to a Premier League rival for a profit.

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Arsenal Now Look Set to Miss Out on Caicedo

The big concern for Arsenal is that they weren’t able to sign Moises Caicedo back in January, and their failure to do so could leave the door open to other clubs this summer. The London club reportedly had a £70 million bid for the 21-year-old in the last transfer window rejected by Brighton, who might now look for an increased offer such as £75 million at the very least from potential suitors.

The fact that the Gunners have expressed a previous interest could stand them in good stead, along with the fact that they are now a Champions League club. Caicedo could be dynamite for this Arsenal team in the holding-midfield role, where he would add extra energy and drive to a side who will be aiming to mount another Premier League title challenge.

There’s also the fact that Arsenal have previously captured other players from Brighton recently including Ben White and Leandro Trossard. Therefore, the passage is there for Caicedo to be the latest arrival from the Amex to the Emirates, and it would come as no surprise if a fee was agreed even if the odds with most betting apps imply there is work to do.

Could Liverpool Land Caicedo After Mac Allister Deal?

Liverpool and Brighton might possibly come to a second agreement of the summer after Alexis Mac Allister signed for the Anfield side, and the latest odds from new betting sites suggest the Merseyside outfit would also be interested in securing the services of Moises Caicedo.

There’s no doubt that Liverpool’s shortcomings last season were largely in the midfield department, with Jordan Henderson and Fabinho not getting any younger, and it’s been a transitional season where Curtis Jones and Harvey Elliott are starting to come more to the fore for the Reds.

It would be a real statement of intent if Liverpool were able to not only sign Mac Allister, but also Caicedo from the Sussex club, and the odds suggest that they are a possible contender to capture the latter, even if Arsenal and Chelsea seem likelier at this point.

Manchester United Could Also Pursue Caicedo’s Signature

Although Brighton were successful finishing sixth in the Premier League last season, they are ultimately still a selling club to the larger outfits in the top flight. One of the latter is Manchester United, and a possible takeover will see new owners want to spend big money in order to keep the Red Devils as a Champions League club season after season.

Erik ten Hag would surely entertain the idea of signing Moises Caicedo for a midfield department that needs bolstering. While Casemiro has proved to be a fantastic signing, the Red Devils are still short of quality in this area, and it could be that the 21-year-old represents an upgrade on Fred and Scott McTominay.

United would be able to offer him a chance to play Champions League football and play for one of the biggest clubs in the world.

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About the Author

Matthew Glazier for Bookies.com
Matthew Glazier
Matthew Glazier, the former Head of Marketing at bet365, is a veteran in the online betting industry and contributes to Bookies.com.