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Oscars 2024 Best Picture Betting Odds - Oppenheimer Favourite

Matthew Glazier for Bookies.com

Matthew Glazier  | 14 mins

Oscars 2024 Best Picture Betting Odds - Oppenheimer Favourite

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Oscars 2024 Best Picture Betting Odds*

Movie Odds Bet with
Oppenheimer Evens BetMGM
Killers Of The Flower Moon 4/1 Coral
Poor Things 5/1 bet365
The Holdovers 10/1 BetVictor
Past Lives 10/1 Unibet
Barbie 16/1 Coral
The Color Purple 16/1 Ladbrokes
The Zone Of Interest 20/1 Bet UK

*Odds up to date as of 12 December, 2023

The speculation surrounding the 2024 Best Picture at the 96th Academy Awards has intensified following news of which films have been nominated for Golden Globes this week. The biggest movies of the year in terms of hype have most certainly been Oppenheimer and Barbie, and both have been nominated for more awards than any other picture with eight and nine, respectively.

The Christopher Nolan-directed Oppenheimer, with a star-studded cast and Cillian Murphy in the lead role, has propelled to the top of the betting with UK betting sites for Best Picture at the 2024 Oscars. If it is to do so, it will have to buck the trend of Best Picture winners being released in summer months. November release dates have resulted in more Best Picture winners than any other month, with 15. 

June and July, with five winners each, aren’t typically the months you want your Best Picture nominee to be released. If Oppenheimer, or indeed Barbie, is to become the sixth July release to win, they would be the first to do so since Forrest Gump in 1994.

Killers Of The Flower Moon remains well-respected by the Oscar new betting sites that have opened their markets already, with Past Lives, Poor Things, The Holdovers, The Color Purple and The Zone Of Interest also potential shortlist material. 

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Previous Best Picture Winner Release Dates

Release Month
Number of Winners
January
11
February
9
March
10
April
7
May
8
June
5
July
5
August
10
September
11
October
9
November
15
December
10

Oppenheimer Likely to Pack a Punch With Academy Judges

It’s little surprise to find Oppenheimer trading as the market leader with the best betting apps to win 2024 Best Picture. We’re likely to see this film generate plenty of awards at the turn of the year, with Christopher Nolan returning to the fore with a picture that spans a full three hours and focuses on the life of J. Robert Oppenheimer, who was crucial to the development of the first nuclear weapons.

Nolan has already been nominated for five Academy awards for pictures including Inception and Dunkirk, although perhaps he will be a winner for the first time with a movie that features Cillian Murphy swapping the flat cap of Tommy Shelby for the fedora of Oppenheimer. 

The fact that Matt Damon, Emily Blunt, Robert Downey Jnr. and Florence Pugh are also in the cast means the film packs a significant punch, and it has been very well received. Having premiered in July 2023, this could be perfect timing when it comes to the awards season where the judging panel might find it difficult to discount the movie.

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Barbie Could Be an Oscars Contender Based on the Odds

Perhaps we should underestimate Barbie at our peril, with this movie certainly not a child’s movie. The fact that Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling are the lead actors demonstrate that this is a picture that can deliver a great movie for cinema lovers. The film, which is based on the Barbie fashion dolls by Mattel, was released to wide acclaim this summer

The American fantasy comedy movie saw movie lovers flock to their local cinemas to see this Greta Gerwig-directed affair. The director has already received critical acclaim with previous films such as Little Women, Lady Bird and Mistress America.

The extensive marketing campaign surrounding Barbie means it was accompanied by plenty of hype when the film was eventually released. In the first weekend, it grossed more at the box office than any other picture that had a female director, with the meta humour of the film being highly praised, along with Robbie’s overall performance as Barbie.

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Killers Of The Flower Moon Could Shine at Oscars

Whenever Martin Scorsese releases a new movie, everyone sits up and takes notice, including the best betting sites. That is certainly the case with Killers Of The Flower Moon, which might have what it takes to usurp Oppenheimer and Barbie to land the 2024 Best Picture Award, with Leonardo Di Caprio and Robert De Niro teaming up with their old ally in this one.

The film is a Western crime drama, and Scorsese was also the co-writer of the screenplay along with Eric Roth. The plot concerns a set of murders committed during the 1920s in Oklahoma, and the movie has received rave reviews since its release in October.

With Apple TV distributing the movie in the autumn of 2023, the film managed to benefit from hogging the limelight vacated by Oppenheimer earlier in the summer, with Scorsese, De Niro and Di Caprio often making for a killer combination with audiences.

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Past Lives Also Among 2024 Oscar Favourites

There are Oscar-winning movies that come with huge spends and marketing campaigns, while there are some pictures that fly under the radar. Past Lives certainly falls into the latter category, and it’s the first film that has been directed by Celine Song and stars Greta Lee, Teo Yoo and John Magaro.

This American romantic drama has been attracting positive reviews since being released at the Sundance Festival in January 2023, with the movie then available to a United States audience in June this year. It’s the sort of picture that Academy Award judges will gravitate towards, and it would be little surprise to find it on the shortlist and near the top of many betting apps.

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Anatomy Of A Fall Could Also Challenge for Best Picture

Could a French thriller upset the market favourites and win the 2024 Best Picture? Stranger things have happened, with Justin Triet and Arthur Harari having combined to great effect with a screenplay directed by the former. It involves a writer aiming to prove her innocence when accused of her husband’s death.

What makes matters more difficult is that the couple’s blind son is the only person present at the death, with the film being met with universal acclaim when it was premiered at the Cannes Film Festival, and we might see a big swell of support for the film when it debuts in France in August.

About the Author

Matthew Glazier for Bookies.com
Matthew Glazier
Matthew Glazier, the former Head of Marketing at bet365, is a veteran in the online betting industry and contributes to Bookies.com.