2025 Next College Football Coach Fired Odds: Maryland's Mike Locksley Feels The Heat

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We’ve reached the final two weeks of the college football regular season, and while we have seen a lot of schools already start looking for their next head coach, there are more schools preparing to make their move in the coming days.
At Bookies.com, we’ve prepared the following list of Power 4 coaches most likely to hit the unemployment line next. These odds are exclusive to Bookies.com, and you will not find these at your favorite sportsbook in the U.S.
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Next Coach Fired Candidates Far & Wide
Angry, angst-ridden, and agitated fan bases never stop the chatter about moving on from their current head coach. It doesn't matter if their favorite team loses to its biggest rival or gets crushed by its top intra-conference foes. Never mind whiff when it comes to college football betting odds.
Multiple big-name schools replaced their head coaches since Ohio State won the national championship in January. Meanwhile, thanks to NIL and the portal, rosters remain in constant churn. There are several teams whose coaches may still find themselves on our 2025 Next College Football Coach Fired as their teams struggle this season.
Let’s take a look at our weekly 2025 Next College Football Coach Fired odds.
2025 CFB Next Coach Fired Odds
Here are our latest 2025 Next College Football Coach Fired odds in the First Power 4 College Football Coach (ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, ACC) Fired during the 2025 season.
| Coach | Team | Odds | Percent Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Locksley | Maryland | +350 | 22.2% |
| Luke Fickell | Wisconsin | +400 | 20.0% |
| Jonathan Smith | Michigan State | +550 | 15.4% |
| Mike Norvell | Florida State | +800 | 11.1% |
| Dave Aranda | Baylor | +800 | 11.1% |
| Mark Stoops | Kentucky | +1250 | 7.4% |
| Bill Belichick | North Carolina | +1250 | 7.4% |
| The Field | - | +1750 | 5.4% |
Power 4 teams only. Odds above have been created by Bookies.com Senior Handicapper Adam Thompson and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.
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Names To Watch On The CFB Coaching Hot Seat In 2025
Maryland Athletic Director Jim Smith has come out within the past few days to say Locksley will come back in 2026, so why is he still the top choice on our list? That’s because the Terrapins have lost six straight after starting off 4-0, and they’re likely to be out of the running for a bowl game after they host Michigan on Saturday.
Does Smith intend on Locksley to come back? Sure, but this wouldn’t be the first time a school has said one thing only to pull a 180 a short time later. Smith in his comments about Terps football noted the program needs more money to compete in the Big Ten. It wouldn’t be a shock if some funders want to see a change on the sidelines.
And even if Locksley does come back next season, there’s no guarantee he’d be around to finish the season. The ’24 and ’25 seasons saw Maryland start 3-1 and 4-0, respectively. The team finished last season 4-8, and the Terrapins are two losses away from duplicating that. If 2026 follows the same pattern, Locksley could definitely be on the outs by this time next year.
If Not Maryland, Then…
Wisconsin did not miss a bowl game from 2002 to 2023, but the Badgers stayed out last season and will do so again. That’s making Luke Fickell’s seat in Madison more than lukewarm, with fans wanting a return to the good ol’ days of Badger football. It’s not that long ago that Wisconsin was a top 10 team on a yearly basis and a rival of Michigan and Ohio State for a Big Ten crown.
Michigan State is another team that’s accustomed to greener pastures, and Smith could be coaching for his job in the final week of the season when the Spartans host Locksley’s Terps.
The main hang up with both of these coaches – and with many of the others on this list – is the buyout the schools would need to make in order to move on to a new coach. Smith’s price tag is in the ballpark of $33 million and Fickell’s is about $25 million. While pricey, these are still lower than the reported golden parachutes coaches like Norvell (estimated to be around $55 million) and Stoops ($37.7 million) would receive.
By the way, Locksley’s buyout is just $13 million, which is another reason why he still tops our list.
About the Author

Steve Bittenbender is an accomplished, award-winning reporter with more than 20 years of experience covering gaming, sports, politics and business. He has written for the Associated Press, Reuters, The Louisville Courier Journal, The Center Square and numerous other publications. Based in Louisville, Ky., Steve has covered the expansion of sports betting in the U.S. and other gaming matters.
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