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2024 First College Football Coach Fired Odds: Spotlight On SEC

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 5 mins

2024 First College Football Coach Fired Odds: Spotlight On SEC

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The College Football Coaching Hot Seat remains constantly on simmer.

Angry, angst-ridden, and agitated fan bases never stop the chatter about moving on from their current head coach whenever their favorite team loses to its biggest rival or gets crushed by its top intra-conference foes. Never mind whiff when it comes to college football betting odds.

The realignment of the college football landscape ahead of this season makes the college football coaching landscape even more treacherous.

Which old-regime SEC teams might be left behind by Oklahoma and Texas?

Which new team in the ACC or Big 12 fears becoming an instant doormat?

Multiple big-name schools replaced their head coaches since Michigan won the national championship game in January. Atop the list are the national champion Wolverines, who saw Jim Harbaugh depart to the Los Angeles Chargers. Harbaugh’s replacement, Sherrone Moore, has several years of goodwill built into his time in Ann Arbor. 

Elsewhere, the situation is the opposite. 

There are several teams whose coaches may find themselves in employment peril if their teams do not get off to successful starts early this season. 

In the SEC, Arkansas and Florida begin the season with low expectations, long college football futures odds, and a high likelihood that one or both schools could be looking for a new full-time head coach before the half-time Dr. Pepper Challenge at the SEC title game in Atlanta on Dec.7. 

Both the Big 12 and ACC also welcomed new teams into the fold this season. That, too, may spell trouble for some of those conference’s newest coaches. 

Let’s take a look. 

2024 CFB First Coach Fired Odds

Here are our latest odds on the First Power 5 College Football Coach Fired during the 2024 season:

CoachTeamConf.OddsImplied Probability
Billy Napier FloridaSEC+15040%
Dave Aranda BaylorBig 12+60014.3%
Sam PittmanArkansasSEC+65013.3%
Scott Satterfield CincinnatiBig 12+75011.8%
Mike NorvellFlorida StateACC+9509.5%
Tony Elliott VirginiaACC+10009.1%
Marcus FreemanNotre DameInd.+12007.7%
Pat Narduzzi PittACC+15006.3%
The Field --+10004.8%

Power 5 teams only. Odds above have been created by Bookies.com and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Names To Watch On The CFB Coaching Hot Seat In 2024

Billy Napier, Florida (+150)

Buzz: Florida head coach Billy Napier is the latest Gator coach who’s whiffed in trying to recreate the national championship vibe Urban Meyer built in Gainesville. The Gators have their QB of the future in DJ Langway, who should start for the duration. In the 14 seasons since Meyer’s departure due to “family reasons,” Napier is the fourth full-time head coach. His 12-16 record has not impressed upset Blue and Orange-clad Gator fans. Nor has 6 losses to Georgia in 7 years. Florida sputtered against Samford. The Texas A+M Aggies blew through Gainesville last week. 

If the Gators leave the World’s Largest Cocktail party on November 2 with a bad hangover, look for Napier to be shown the door soon thereafter. 

Dave Aranda, Baylor (+600)

Buzz: Life in the Big 12 isn't what it used to be. But Texas football remains competitive as it ever has. The Bears get Colorado this week. A loss to Coach Prime and the Buffs might make things untenable in Waco. Baylor is a 1-point underdog at Boulder. 

Sam Pittman, Arkansas (+650)

Buzz: Sam Pittman is entering his 5th season at the head coach in Fayetteville. The Hogs went 9-4 in his second season – and his first legitimate full season – in 2021. Arkansas fans were happier than a pig in a mud puddle. But the Razorbacks have yet to match their success from that season during Pittman’s term. This year, he’s brought back Bobby Petrino to resurrect the offense. Arkansas’ hopes for a better-than-.500 run in the SEC ride with new QB Taylen Green (portal). The Hogs lost a tough opener to Oklahoma State before running it up 70-0 over Arkansas Pine-Bluff and beating UAB. But things get real in a hurry. A tough schedule could mean a quick change for the Hogs. 

Scott Satterfield, Cincinnati (+750)

Buzz: The Bearcats blew a 26-7 lead before losing 27-26 to Pitt in Week 2. They handled Miami of Ohio this past week. The new Big 12 isn't making life any easier for Scott Satterfield. Even a soft schedule could prove to be a blessing or a curse, depending on how things play out on the field. 

Mike Norvell, Florida State (+950)

Buzz: The Seminoles were ranked No. 10 in the preseason coming off their College Football Playoff snub. They've dropped 3 straight to start the season. This season is over. But that doesn't necessarily mean Mike Norvell is on the outs. Florida State is in the midst of litigation against the ACC. And the Seminoles will owe Norvell more than $60 million after this season, whether he coaches in Tallahassee or not. 

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.