2024 First College Football Coach Fired Odds: Napier Off The Hook

2024 First College Football Coach Fired Odds: Napier Off The Hook - For Now


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By Bill Speros Oct 7th, 2024 12:00 PM EDT | 5 mins

2024 First College Football Coach Fired Odds: Napier Off The Hook - For Now

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The College Football Coaching Hot Seat remains constantly on simmer.

Angry, angst-ridden, and agitated fan bases never stop the chatter about moving on from their current head coach whenever their favorite team loses to its biggest rival or gets crushed by its top intra-conference foes. Never mind whiff when it comes to college football betting odds.

The realignment of the college football landscape ahead of this season makes the college football coaching landscape even more treacherous.

Which old-regime SEC teams might be left behind by Oklahoma and Texas?

Which new team in the ACC or Big 12 fears becoming an instant doormat?

Multiple big-name schools replaced their head coaches since Michigan won the national championship game in January. Atop the list are the national champion Wolverines, who saw Jim Harbaugh depart to the Los Angeles Chargers. Harbaugh’s replacement, Sherrone Moore, has several years of goodwill built into his time in Ann Arbor.

Elsewhere, the situation is the opposite.

There are several teams whose coaches may find themselves in employment peril if their teams do not get off to successful starts early this season.

In the SEC, Arkansas and Florida begin the season with low expectations, long college football futures odds, and a high likelihood that one or both schools could be looking for a new full-time head coach before the half-time Dr. Pepper Challenge at the SEC title game in Atlanta on Dec. 7.

Both the Big 12 and ACC also welcomed new teams into the fold this season. That, too, may spell trouble for some of those conference’s newest coaches.

Let’s take a look.

2024 CFB First Coach Fired Odds

Here are our latest odds on the First Power 5 College Football Coach Fired during the 2024 season:

Coach	Team	Conf.	Odds	Implied Probability
Dave Aranda	Baylor	Big 12	+300	25.0%
Mike Norvell	Florida State	ACC	+350	22.2%
Billy Napier	Florida	SEC	+400	20.0%
Mack Brown	North Carolina	SEC	+750	11.8%
Ryan Walkters	Purdue	Big Ten	+1000	9.1%
Shane Beamer	South Carolina	SEC	+1200	7.7%
Sam Pittman	Arkansas	SEC	+1200	7.7%
Hugh Freeze	Auburn	SEC	+1400	6.7%
P.J. Fleck	Minnesota	Big Ten	+1500	6.3%

Power 5 teams only. Odds above have been created by Bookies.com and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Names To Watch On The CFB Coaching Hot Seat In 2024

Dave Aranda, Baylor (+400)

Buzz: Life in the Big 12 isn't what it used to be. But Texas football remains as competitive as it ever has. Back-to-back, tough-luck losses to BYU and Colorado deepened the troubles for Dave Aranda and the Bears. Those were followed by a blowout loss to Iowa State. Ouch.

Mike Norvell, Florida State (+350)

Buzz: Mike Norvell's price has rise from +1200 to +350 in just 3 weeks. The after the 1-5 Seminoles put up a fight against Clemson but fell short. The Seminoles were ranked No. 10 in the preseason coming off their College Football Playoff snub. This season is over. But that doesn't necessarily mean Norvell is on the outs. Florida State is in the midst of litigation against the ACC. And the Seminoles will owe Norvell more than $60 million after this season, whether he coaches in Tallahassee or not.

Billy Napier, Florida (+400)

Buzz: Florida head coach Billy Napier is the fourth Gator coach who’s whiffed in trying to recreate the national championship vibe Urban Meyer built in Gainesville. His 14-16 record has not impressed upset Blue and Orange-clad Gator fans. Nor has 6 losses to Georgia in 7 years. But he may have gotten a reprieve thanks to a dominant win over UCF Saturday

Mack Brown, North Carolina (+750)

Buzz: The Tar Heels are 3-3 but are coming off soul-crushing losses to James Madison (70-50), Duke (21-20) and Pitt. It's the loss to Duke that began to warm Mack Brown's hot seat. At 73, Brown may be leaving after this season, regardless. But his exit could be hastened unless there's a hard and fast turnaround in Chapel Hill.

Ryan Walters, Purdue (+750)

Buzz: It's easy to get lost in the expanded Big Ten these days. And that's what happened to the Boilermakers. Purdue got crushed 52-6 by Wisconsin on Saturday. This is just a matter of time.

Shane Beamer, South Carolina (+1200)

Buzz: It's not really football season until the head coach in Columbia finds his name on our list. The Lane Train drove through Williams-Brice Stadium on Saturday. Ol' Cocky never knew what him. Up next - Shane Beamer's team faces the angry Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa.

Sam Pittman, Arkansas (+1200)

Buzz: Sam Pittman's team is in Hog Heaven after toppling unbeaten Tennessee on Saturday. That was a generational win for the Razorbacks and should keep him employed for another season.