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Texas Tech vs Texas Betting Predictions, Picks & Preview

Jordan Horrobin for Bookies.com

Jordan Horrobin  | 6 mins

Texas Tech vs Texas Betting Predictions, Picks & Preview

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Unbeaten Texas Tech hits the road to face Texas in a Big 12 battle that should tell us a lot about which in-state foe is for real. The Longhorns rebounded after an embarrassing road loss two weeks ago to lay a 58-0 whooping on Rice, while the Red Raiders also topped the 50-point mark against Florida International.

Texas sits as an 8.5-point favorite on the current college football odds table as the host in Saturday’s 11 a.m. local time (noon E.T.) showdown.

Last year, the Longhorns overcame a 15-point deficit to beat the underdog Red Raiders in Lubbock, Texas. We can’t ensure that similar drama will unfold this time, but you can check out our college football picks for this matchup in the article below.

Odds are current as of publication. Betting sites may indicate odds changes closer to kickoff.

5 Key Texas Tech vs Texas Stats

Which QB will we see?: Texas’ pass completions are an even split right now between junior Casey Thompson and second-year freshman Hudson Card. A two-quarterback system can confuse defenses, but it also can take an offense out of rhythm. Texas has scored in 16 of its past 18 possessions led by Thompson, and he should be the primary quarterback on Saturday.

Transfer on a tear: Do you think Tyler Shough misses quarterbacking Oregon? Maybe a bit, given that the Ducks are No. 3 in the national rankings. But Shough has a great thing going with the Red Raiders, and he’s coming off a monster game (399 yards, four touchdowns).

Greedy on the ground: Both teams average more than five yards per rush - 5.5 for Texas Tech, 5.9 for Texas. But here’s where they differ: The Red Raiders have allowed just 1.7 yards per rush on defense, while the Longhorns have allowed 5.2 yards per rush.

All about Bijan: The best player on the field Saturday figures to be Texas running back Bijan Robinson, who has six touchdowns and 390 total yards in just three games. Dating back to last season, he has 12 scores in his past five games.

3-0 for the first time since ‘17: Texas Tech coach Matt Wells maxed out at four wins in both of his previous seasons, and now his team has a 3-0 start for the first time since 2017. Texas Tech remains outside the Associated Press Top-25 poll, however, which they haven’t cracked in three years.

Texas Tech vs. Texas Weather Forecast

It’ll be hot and dry in Austin, Texas, which is exactly what you’d expect for a Saturday afternoon in September. Temperatures will be in the low-80s-to-high-90s range, with no precipitation and minimal humidity.

Texas Tech vs Texas Moneyline

For all the headaches Texas caused in its upset loss against Arkansas two weeks ago, the Longhorns did their best to make amends with last week’s 58-point win. Now they’re moneyline favorites at sportsbooks for a fourth consecutive week with -350 odds.

Texas has won five of its past six home games, and four of five against Texas Tech. We’ll stick with the burnt-orange favorites. You can get Texas -350 at BetMGM Sportsbook .

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Texas Tech vs Texas Point Spread

So far, Texas and Texas Tech have both covered two of three college football betting spreads in 2021.

As single-digit favorites on betting apps, the Longhorns are 1-1; the Red Raiders earned a straight-up victory in their only game as single-digit underdogs.

Texas Tech’s impressive run defense will need to slow down Bijan Robinson, but we believe they can do that and cover in the process. You can get Texas Tech +8 (-105) at DraftKings .

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Texas Tech vs Texas Totals

Looking at this game’s 60.5-point total, there are a couple of reasons to be excited about the prospect of the over.

For one thing, we said both teams surpassed the half-century mark in points last weekend. Additionally, this matchup has seen the over hit in three consecutive seasons - and all of those point totals were higher than this one.

You can get Over 60.5 points at -115 with FanDuel .

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About the Author

Jordan Horrobin for Bookies.com
Jordan Horrobin
Jordan Horrobin has created sports betting content since 2019, covering everything from the NFL to KBO. Based in Toronto, he has written for MLB.com, The Athletic and Sportsnet.