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Why You Should Be Betting On UCF Knights Against The Spread

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

Dan Kilbridge  | 3 mins

Why You Should Be Betting On UCF Knights Against The Spread

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Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

Question the Central Florida Golden Knights all you want.

It’s easy to point out a schedule that makes Clemson’s annual ACC slate look torturous by comparison.

It’s fair to wonder about UCF’s relevance if it played in a Power Five conference, how a brand built on slights — real and perceived — would hold up.

It’s accurate to note that the Knights did not participate in the 2018 National Championship game, let alone win it, despite the school’s claims.

Go ahead and laugh. UCF bettors have been laughing all the way to the bank for three years.

Don’t Bet Against UCF

William Hill has the Knights -10.5 this week at Pittsburgh, the 26th consecutive regular season game in which they’ve been favored. Bowl games aside, they last got points as a +4 underdog on Sep. 23, 2017 at Maryland. They crushed the Terrapins, 38-10, and haven’t looked back.

UCF hasn’t just been a great college football bet since 2017. It’s one of the best in sports. A straight up record of 28-1 has been lucrative for moneyline purposes. And if you subscribe to the theory that good teams win and great teams cover, maybe the Knights really did deserve the self-proclaimed National Championship.

Since 2017, UCF has covered 71.4 percent of the time while going 20-8-1 against the spread.

Doesn’t get much better than that, especially when comparing top ATS teams in other sports via TeamRankings.com

Knights Cover Like Champions

The New England Patriots have the NFL’s best ATS record in that same time, covering 65 percent of their games. The Boston Celtics are top in the NBA at 55.9 percent and the New York Yankees lead the MLB covering the run line at a 54.9 percent clip since 2017.

Fresno State is the only college team with a higher cover percentage, but the Bulldogs are 0-2 ATS this season. The Knights train isn’t slowing down.

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UCF is 3-0 ATS in 2019 and covered a 44-point line in Week 1 by beating Florida A&M, 62-0. Last week’s 45-27 home win over Stanford was another stress-free cover at -9.5. All told, the Knights have covered the spread by an average of 15.7 points this year.

No one knew how UCF would get by without quarterback McKenzie Milton, but true freshman Dillon Gabriel is rolling with 719 yards, nine touchdowns and no interceptions. He just hung 347 yards and four scores on Stanford in his second career start.

Coach Josh Heupel hasn’t officially named Gabriel the starter for Saturday, but it’s a safe bet he’ll be under center for the Knights’ opening drive at Pittsburgh. UCF is in the national spotlight again and bettors are taking notice. At William Hill, 68 percent of total money wagered was backing the Knights -11.5 against the Panthers before the line moved to -10.5 Friday.

Remaining doubters can continue to fade the Knights at their own risk. UCF just keeps winning on the field — and in the sportsbook.

About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.