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Wisconsin vs Arizona State Las Vegas Bowl Picks & Betting Predictions

David Caraviello for Bookies.com

David Caraviello  | 5 mins

Wisconsin vs Arizona State Las Vegas Bowl Picks & Betting Predictions

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They’ve been two of the more Jekyll-and-Hyde programs in the nation, capable of following impressive victories with head-scratching defeats. So who knows what we’ll get when Wisconsin and Arizona State play each other.

That’s the matchup in the Dec. 30 Las Vegas Bowl under the roof at Allegiant Stadium, where it might come down to which of these 8-4 teams wants to be there more. The Badgers had won seven straight only to collapse in their regular-season finale against rival Minnesota, managing just 13 points in a loss that harkened back to struggles early in the year. Arizona State lost at home to a Washington State team that had just fired its head coach, but then closed by winning three of four.

Wisconsin is a 7-point favorite, but are the Badgers still ruing the loss that denied them a trip to the Big Ten title game? We shall see. The 10:30 p.m. ET kickoff will reveal plenty to spectators, Arizona sports betting fans and those making college football picks on the game.

Odds subject to change.

Wisconsin vs Arizona State Key Matchups

Jayden Daniels vs. Wisconsin’s defense: Do-it-all quarterback Daniels ranks fifth in the Pac-12 in total offense, averaging 238 yards a game. He’ll meet a Badgers defense that leads the Big Ten, allowing 240 yards per contest.

Braelon Allen vs. Arizona State’s front seven: The freshman Allen’s rushing average of 100 yards per game ranks third in the Big Ten, and is key to balancing the Badgers’ attack. He’ll face an Arizona State run defense allowing 129 yards per game.

Arizona State’s offensive line vs. Leo Chenal: The linebacker Chenal powers Wisconsin’s defense, with 105 total tackles, seven sacks and 16 tackles for loss. He’s up against a good ASU O-line allowing less than two sacks per game.

5 Key Wisconsin vs Arizona State Stats

4-1-1: Wisconsin’s record against the spread in bowl games under coach Paul Chryst, hired prior to the 2015 season.

11-6: Arizona State’s record as an underdog against the spread under coach Herm Edwards, hired prior to the 2018 campaign.

19-28-1: Wisconsin’s all-time record against opponents from the Pac-12, which includes a 5-6 mark in bowl games and a 2-0 mark against Arizona State.

18-6: Arizona State’s all-time record against opponents from the Big Ten, which includes a 3-1 record in bowl games.

7-0: Wisconsin’s record this season when Allen rushes for 100 yards or more.

RELATED: College Football Bowl Games Ultimate Betting Guide

Wisconsin vs Arizona State Moneyline

Wisconsin is a -260 moneyline favorite, according to sportsbooks, while Arizona State is a +210 underdog. Until teams arrive at the bowl, it’s difficult to discern whether they really want to be there, always a factor when considering college football odds on teams that might have hoped for something bigger.

But you can’t ignore what the Badgers did in the seven games before Minnesota, when they won behind Allen and the run game. ASU was burned by 237 yards on the ground from Oregon State, 208 from Utah, 166 from Washington State - all losses. There’s a clear formula here for Wisconsin, and for bettors it includes giving this moneyline a pass.


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Wisconsin vs Arizona State Point Spread

Wisconsin is a 7-point favorite, according to betting sites. The Badgers have covered in five of eight, the Sun Devils in just two of their last six. ASU’s late-season schedule raises some questions, and it’s been since Oct. 2 when they last beat a team that would finish with a winning record.

If ASU can make Wisky one-dimensional and force erratic QB Graham Mertz to throw the ball, they’ll be in the game. But we’re sticking with Allen and the Badgers to cover. You can get Wisconsin -7 (-110) at BetMGM. ➜

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Wisconsin vs Arizona State Totals

The total is 41, according to betting apps. Wisconsin has gone under in five of its last eight, while Arizona State has gone under in four of its last seven. The Badgers have gone under totals this season as low as 39, 37 and 35.5 points, so this Las Vegas Bowl number seems like a luxury.

It’s not difficult to envision a scenario in which the Badgers run the ball often, use a lot of clock, and succeed in keeping Daniels and his Sun Devils off the field. It wouldn’t be pretty, but for college football betting purposes it would be effective in keeping this game under the number, which is the lean here.


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About the Author

David Caraviello for Bookies.com
David Caraviello
Veteran sports journalist David Caraviello has covered college football, college basketball, motorsports and golf, covering all three US golf majors, the Daytona 500 and SEC football.
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