By Dan Kilbridge | | 5 mins
5 Chiefs Bets to Back in Super Bowl 54 from MVP to 1st TD
Kansas City fans have been waiting 50 years for this. The Chiefs are finally back in the Super Bowl and set to take on the San Francisco 49ers Feb. 2 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes led the Arrowhead faithful back to the promised land one year after an excruciating 37-31 overtime loss to the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship game.
The Chiefs are riding an eight-game win streak and easily handled the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans to get to this point, improving to 14-4 as they look for their second Super Bowl title in franchise history and first since Super Bowl 4 back in 1970.
For those who are betting the Chiefs, pouring though Super Bowl betting odds can be overwhelming. We’ve done it for you and like these five bets best of all.
Over 54, -110
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense have been unstoppable of late, putting up 86 points in two playoff games. Kansas City averages 28.2 points per game and has been especially good in the passing game at 293.1 yards through the air.
San Francisco poses a tougher challenge than Tennessee or Houston with the best pass defense in the league. But Mahomes is a far tougher assignment for the 49ers than they had in playoff games against Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings and Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers.
The 49ers are putting up points at an even better clip, averaging 29.9 points per game behind one of the best rushing attacks in the league. Both teams also sustain drives at an impressive rate – the Chiefs lead the league in third down conversion at 47.6%, while the 49ers are fifth at 45%. San Francisco should also have plenty of opportunities against a Chiefs defense giving up 89.5 rushing yards per game. We expect some fireworks in this one after a 13-3 final score in Super Bowl 53. Bet it at UniBet.
CHECK OUT: Compare Up-to-the-Minute Super Bowl 54 Odds at Top Sportsbooks
Jersey Number of First TD Scorer Under 26.5, -143
Fun prop here that really benefits the Chiefs should they score first. Anyone with a jersey number of 27 or lower includes Mahomes, running back Damien Williams, wide receiver Sammy Watkins, wide receiver Tyreek Hill, wide receiver Demarcus Robinson and wide receiver Mecole Hardman.
The only concern here is tight end Travis Kelce rocking No. 87. He has three touchdowns already this postseason and could spoil this one with an early score. Bets such as this are a numbers game, though, and those are a lot of good offensive options for a -143 line. Chiefs fans could also see some silver lining on this one should the 49ers score first, with quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, running back Tevin Coleman and receiver Deebo Samuel all wearing numbers lower than 27. Bet it at DraftKings.
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Travis Kelce Over 74.5 Receiving Yards, -130
Kelce cooled off against the Titans after a monster showing with 10 catches for 134 yards and three touchdowns against the Texans. It was his third game with 100 yards or more and he’s had 74 yards or more in six of his last nine games.
Tight ends have also presented problems for the 49ers defense at times, especially in the NFC Championship game against Green Bay. Packers tight ends averaged 10.75 yards per grab on eight receptions, and Los Angeles Rams tight end Tyer Higbee went off for 104 yards on nine catches in Week 16.
Kelce has been Mahomes’ favorite target all season and we expect the Chiefs quarterback to look his way early and often against a defense that doesn’t give up many home run plays from the skill position guys. Bet it at PointsBet.
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Chiefs Second-Half Points Over 13.5, -110
Kansas City has been a second-half team over the past month. This total is just below the Chiefs’ season average of 12.3 second-half points, but they’re up to 19.3 over their last three games. San Francisco will be out of its comfort zone should Kansas City take a first-half lead. That would require Garoppolo to throw a lot more than he has been and take the 49ers away from what they do best offensively, leaving the door open for the Chiefs to capitalize with an even bigger second half.
If the 49ers have the lead entering the second half, we’ve seen what Mahomes can do while playing catch-up. And Green Bay scored 20 points in the second half of the NFC Championship game as the 49ers were content to run clock and sit on the lead. Bet it at UniBet.
Tyrann Mathieu to win MVP, +6000
Mahomes is a decent bet here at +115, too. MVP votes always swing toward the winning quarterback, and it’s hard to see the Chiefs winning without a strong showing from Mahomes. There are other value picks in play such as Hill (+2000), Kelce (+2000) and Williams (+2500). But if we’re going out on a limb with this bet, we want to make sure the payout is a hefty one. Looking at you, Honey Badger.
No running back has been named MVP since Terrell Davis led the Broncos to a 31-24 win over the Packers in 1998. But two defensive players have earned it over the past six years: Seahawks linebacker Malcolm Smith and Broncos linebacker Von Miller. Mathieu is having an excellent postseason, is a big name, and something like a two-interception night could secure the MVP and a huge payout for Mathieu bettors. Bet it at DraftKings.
Chiefs Super Bowl 54 MVP Odds