By Adam Thompson | | 5 mins
Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Best Bets & SNF Picks
A marquee Sunday Night Football matchup concludes the long Thanksgiving weekend, as Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles host Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers.
The mighty Eagles (9-1) have the best record in the NFL but have been showing chinks in the armor, failing to cover the spread in three straight games. The Packers (4-7) are looking like a team past its prime.
Philly is at -7 at home in the latest Packers vs. Eagles odds on NFL betting sites, with an Over/Under of 46.5 points.
Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson – on his way to hitting over 60% of his best bets for the fourth consecutive season – reveals his NFL picks and props for the big NFC matchup.
Packers vs. Eagles Point Spread Pick
The Packers have lost five of six as Rodgers and his broken thumb can’t connect with receivers and the run game, which has one of the top 1-2 combos in the league, can’t carry the load. Philly hasn’t displayed the dominance lately, either. But they’re back home, where they won their first four by 8, 9, 17 and 22 points.
Green Bay has underachieved but there remains a lot of talent. We keep waiting for the switch to turn but it hasn’t happened. Still, that, plus the team’s third-ranked pass defense and Philadelphia’s occasional struggle slowing the run prevents us from going all-in. This NFL line is about where it should be. We’re siding with Eagles -7, but it’s not our top play of the evening.
Packers vs. Eagles Over/Under Best Bet
We think Aaron Rodgers, we think Jalen Hurts, we think offense and points. But that’s not how the seasons are going. Both teams are led by defense and by grinding ground games that chew clock. Green Bay is averaging 18.1 ppg the last seven games and that includes a 31-pointer. Philly is at 19.5 ppg the last two weeks.
The Under has hit in eight of the last 10 meetings, including all of the last five in Philly. The Over has been the trend in Philadelphia, but if the Packers’ pass defense holds up, this game will stay on the ground. The Under at 46.5 is the top play for Sunday night.
Packers vs. Eagles Moneyline Pick
The Eagles are -300, which means it would take a $300 bet on Philly to win $100 in profit. Betting against Rodgers straight-up on the best betting apps has not been profitable over the years.
But we’re not going to back the Pack, even at +250. They’ve lost the last three on the road, including a 15-9 effort at Detroit. The Eagles aren’t playing their best ball, and the matchups here aren’t overwhelming for the price. We think Philly gets the W on Sunday Night Football, but we prefer the spread over the moneyline.
Best Packers vs. Eagles Player Props
Miles Sanders, Over 65.5 Rushing Yards
Sanders hasn’t rushed for over 55 yards the last two weeks, but prior to that he’d gained 71, 78 and 93 yards, and has 66-plus in 60% of his games. The Packers have one of the NFL’s top pass defenses but are highly suspect vs. the run, allowing 4.7 yards per carry to RBs. Sanders has been over 77 yards in every game he’s gained at least 4.7 ypc.
Allen Lazard, Over 46.5 Receiving Yards
Christian Watson has been the breakout WR for the Packers, but he’s the home run guy, and he’s as swing and miss as often as he is dinger. Lazard is more likely to be the volume guy. He’s gained 45-plus yards in five straight games, and 10-plus targets in two of three. The Eagles rank No. 1 in pass yards allowed but at least one opposing WR has gained 47-plus yards in every game, and in six of the games two receivers did.