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2024-2025 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 55 mins

2024-2025 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker

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Super Bowl bets are the most popular form of NFL futures betting, but they aren’t the only type of wager. AFC and NFC conference title odds are heavily bet, but NFL divisional futures have grown in popularity, too.

With just four available teams in each market, NFL division odds have become a go-to futures bet, not only during the offseason but during the weekly grind of the NFL season. Bookies.com tracks the odds to win for all eight divisions for the 2024-25 NFL season.

Odds To Win The AFC East

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Buffalo Bills OTB +135
New York Jets OTB +225
Miami Dolphins OTB +300
New England Patriots OTB +3500

Odds via FanDuel and current as of November 20, 2024.

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Here are some notes on the AFC East odds movement:

  • November 20: This market is off the board. Buffalo was -20000 before it beat Kansas City. The Bills (9-2) hold a 4-game lead and the tiebreaker over Miami. 
  • November 13: Buffalo can wing it from here. 
  • November 4: The Bills are just waiting until all the votes are counted around Christmas time to officially ice it after their OT win over Miami. 
  • October 29: Buffalo's win over Seattle and losses by the Dolphins to Seattle and the Jets to the Patriots pushed the Bills from -800 and -4000.
  • October 22: Buffalo continues to race away from the pack. Its price more than doubled to -800. The Jets continue to offer comic relief. 
  • October 15: Buffalo took command of this market Monday night with an ugly win over the Jets at MetLife Stadium, moving to -370, their highest price of the season. The Bills lead Miami by one game in the loss column and the Jets by 2 games. The Bills had lost 2 straight before the win over the Jets.  
  • October 1: The Bills got corralled this week in Baltimore. The Jets failed to take off at home against Denver. The Dolphins are down to the Ghost of Bob Griese at QB. And the Patriots may be the worst team in football. 
  • September 24: The Bills continue their stampede, driven by MVP favorite Josh Allen. The Jets may finally match expectations this season. This one is going to be fun.
  • September 17: The Bills emerged as the lone unbeaten team in the AFC East after Week 2 and are priced as solid contenders to win the AFC. The fate of the Dolphins hinges on the health of Tua. 
  • September 10: The Patriots, Bills, and Dolphins won in Week 1. The tie atop the division will change in Week 2 as the Bills and Dolphins face off Thursday night. The Jets ran out of gas in San Francisco. This market will stay tight all season.
  • September 3: The season begins with the Jets and a presumably healthy Aaron Rodgers as the favorites to win the AFC East for the first time in over a decade. The Dolphins open as the best value at +225. Both teams are long shots to win the Super Bowl.

Odds To Win The AFC North

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers -225 +800
Baltimore Ravens +160 +145
Cincinnati Bengals +8000 +145
Cleveland Browns +100000 +550

Odds via DraftKings - current as of November 20, 2024.

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Here are some notes on the AFC North odds movement:

  • November 20: Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 18-16 in Week 11 and never scored a touchdown. We've long preached their value. That's long gone now that the Steelers are -225. The Steelers hold a 2-game lead over the Ravens (+160). They meet again in Week 16.
  • November 13: The Steelers and Ravens will take this one down to the wire. The Steelers still offer solid value. 
  • November 4: The Ravens' price moved from -165 to -185 after an easy win over the Broncos. The Steelers were on the bye but loosened just a bit to +200. These two teams will make this a race down to the wire. 
  • October 29: The Ravens' price was cut nearly in half from -310 to -165 after they lost to the Browns. The Steelers continue to make this race interesting after a win and cover over the Giants. Their price spiked from +380 to +180.
  • October 22: The Ravens solidified their spot with a decisive win over the Bucs on Monday night. But the Steelers are within striking distance so stay tuned. 
  • October 15: The Ravens hit their highest price of the season this week at -370 after beating the Commanders in Week 6. The Steelers slipped to +350 despite handling the Raiders with ease. There's still value in the Bengals. Cincy has done what it often does, keeping itself viable after a disastrous start. But they already have one loss to Baltimore.
  • October 1: The Ravens moved into negative territory after a dominant win over Buffalo, moving to -135 from +115. The Steelers corrected to +240 following their mistake-filled loss to Indy. 
  • September 24: There's not much value here given that both the Ravens and Steelers are so close. The number on the Ravens tightened up from +200 to +115 this week. The Steelers moved from +270 to +200. 
  • September 17:  Oddsmakers are paying no heed to the first two games of the season. Both the winless Bengals and Ravens are at the top of the AFC North. However, the 2-0 Steelers remain stuck at No. 3 at +270. No respect, there. 
  • September 10:  The Ravens fell short in Kansas City to open the season but saw their price tighten nonetheless. The Browns and Bengals opened the season with major flops. But the Steelers showed their traditional mettle and will be the value play here all season, especially if the Ravens slide. 
  • September 3: The Ravens and Bengals open the season tied at +145 as co-favorites to win the NFC North. This division may be the most fiercely contested in the NFL this season. Both teams bolstering healthy QBs in Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow, this one should be good.
2024-2025 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker 1

Odds To Win The AFC South

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Houston Texans -20000 -105
Indianapolis Colts +1400 +325
Tennessee Titans +9000 +1000
Jacksonville Jaguars +15000 +300

Odds via BetMGM and current as of November 20, 2024.

Here are some notes on the AFC South odds movement:

  • November 20: The Texans (-20000) are one win away from pushing this market off the board. Their price doubled after they beat the Cowboys. 
  • November 13: Every team in the AFC South lost last week, but the Texans remain the prohibitive favorite and are unheeded. 
  • November 5: The Texans bounced from -600 to -2000 after they held off the Colts 23-20. Even after a loss to the Jets on Halloween, they remain the strong favorite. If by default, if nothing else. 
  • October 29: The Texans bounced from -600 to -2000 after they held off the Colts 23-20. Houston gets the Jets Thursday. Meanwhile, Indy's price tumbled from +500 to +1100. 
  • October 22: The number on the Texans slipped to -600 after their last-second loss to the Green Bay. The Colts (+500) are hanging touch - at least against the spread (at 5-1). 
  • October 15: Houston again hit its highest price ever in this market, jumping to -900 this week. 
  • October 1: The Texans continued to move away from the pack here. And they appear unheeded. 
  • September 24: This is the division that no one wants to win. Or so it seems. The Texans are still poised to win it by default. 
  • September 17: The Texans have pulled away from the rest of the class here. Their 2-0 start has reinforced the high expectations the Texans carried into the season. Houston is -310. There's some catch-up here for everyone else. 
  • September 10: The Texans got a big boost in their number after winning in Week 1, moving to -150. The rest of the division will be playing catch-up all season. The Jaguars might be a play here, if they can hold a lead. 
  • September 3: The upstart Texans open the season as prohibitive favorites to win the NFC South at -105. The Jacksonville Jaguars bring back stability in their line up this season. But the Colts and Titans are leaning toward rebuild mode. 

Odds To Win The AFC West

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Kansas City Chiefs -2000 -300
LA Chargers +700 +375
Denver Broncos +12000 +2200
Las Vegas Raiders +100000 +1100

Odds via BetMGM and current as of November 20, 2024.

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Here are some notes on the AFC West odds movement:

  • November 20: The 1972 Dolphins are back off the clock. Kansas City lost its first game since Christmas 2023 on Sunday. But this market is still safe for them. 
  • November 13: Will the Chiefs ever lose? They are 2.5-point underdogs at Buffalo. BTW, Patrick Mahomes is 13-1-1 as an underdog ATS. 
  • November 4: Heading into their Monday night game against Tampa Bay, the Chiefs haven't lost since Christmas.  
  • October 29: -8000. The highest price for any favorite this season. 
  • October 22: -5000. A new Eras.  
  • October 22: The number on the Texans slipped to -600 after their last-second loss to the Green Bay. The Colts (+500) are hanging touch - at least against the spread (at 5-1). 
  • October 15: The Chiefs get a Super Bowl rematch this week against San Francisco. There's nothing else to talk about here. 
  • October 1: The only drama here is when will Taylor Swift return to Arrowhead.
  • September 24: The price on the Chiefs swiftly spiked to -900 this week. 
  • September 17: Don't blame me. This one's a blowout. 
  • September 10: This division needs an anti-hero. 
  • September 3: The Chiefs won their 8th straight AFC West title last season. They are the biggest favorites in this market in the NFL this season. While Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs did not make any major moves this offseason, the rest of the division appeared to lose ground. The LA Chargers are starting over with Jim Harbaugh as their head coach. And the Broncos are going with rookie Bo Nix as their starting QB.

Odds To Win The NFC East

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Philadelphia Eagles -600 -150
Washington Commanders +350 +1200
Dallas Cowboys +50000 +170
New York Giants +100000 +2000

Odds via BetMGM and current as of November 20, 2024.

Here are some notes on the NFC East odds movement:

  • November 20: The Eagles handled the Commanders in Week 11 and nearly tripled their price, spiking from -200 to -610. Philly now holds a 2-game lead over Washington and the tiebreaker - at least until they meet again in Week 16. 
  • November 13: The Eagles and Commanders play Thursday night. All bets are on hold. 
  • November 5: The Eagles and Commanders are officially in a 2-team race after the Cowboys imploded - again - in Week 9. They meet in 2 weeks. Stay tuned. 
  • October 29: Philadelphia held the to spot and saw its number tighten after dominating Cincinnati. The Commanders were slightly dinged after their last-second, Hail Mary win over Chicago. Dallas fell further off the pace. 
  • October 22: The Eagles and Commanders flipped again at the top of this market. Both scored decisive wins in Week 7. The Cowboys were on the bye but need to keep pace this week. 
  • October 15: The Commanders have moved from +700 to the favorite in this market at +120 in just 3 weeks. Rookie QB Jayden Daniels and the Washington defense pose a real threat in this division. The Eagles are flapping on a wounded wing. They're close to the top at +135 here, however. The +425 Cowboys are a soap opera wrapped around a mini-series. 
  • October 1: Just when you thought the Cowboys were out, they dragged you back in. Meanwhile, the Commanders have entered the chat, moving from +700 into a tie with the Eagles at +240.
  • September 24: The Eagles opened up some space between themselves and the Cowboys this week. It's likely to expand all season. 
  • September 17: Philly. Philly. 
  • September 10: This division belongs to the Eagles until the scoreboard says otherwise. Dallas is the value play, but this number is a bit too high. 
  • September 3: The Eagles found their feathers ruffled last season coming off the Super Bowl 58 loss hangover. They are pegged to find their mojo this season. Oddsmakers have them slotted as favorites to win the NFC East at -150 heading into the season. The Cowboys are No. 2 at +170. These 2 teams will likely swap places throughout this season like they did last year. 
2024-2025 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker 2

Odds To Win The NFC North

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Detroit Lions -450 +130
Minnesota Vikings +425 +1000
Green Bay Packers +1200 +210
Chicago Bears +100000 +325

Odds via BetMGM and are current as of November 20, 2024.

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Here are some notes on the NFC North odds movement:

  • November 20: The Lions have a firm hold on this market at -450. Still, the Vikings are just a game back in the standings. 
  • November 13: Detroit scored the final 19 points to pull out a tough 26-23 road win at Houston on a last-second field goal. This remains their division to lose. 
  • November 4: The Lions went outside for the first time this season and dominated Green Bay in the rain at Lambeau. They're on a rampage at 7-1. They've even covered in 9 of 10 games and are 43-18 ATS since Dan Campbell took over as coach. The Lions tightened to -285 after the win. The Vikings are tying to keep pace at +350. 
  • October 29: Detroit moved into negative territory after its rout of Tennessee. The Vikings and Packers remain in striking distance, but time is running low already. 
  • October 22: The Lions pulled ahead - barely - after their 31-29 win at Minnesota. But given the tightness here, neither team offers a real value on such a long play. They meet again at Ford Field in Week 18 for all the marbles. 
  • October 15: The Vikings and Lions are tied at +140 ahead of their game this week at Ford Field. Expect some movement next week. Minnesota comes off the bye. The Lions wrecked Dallas in Week 6 but lost Aidan Hutchinson for the season in the win. The Packers keep hanging around at +500. And the Bears may be worth a small wager at +1100.
  • October 1: The 4-0 Vikings have dethroned the Lions in this market, moving into the top spot for the first time. Minnesota has spiked from +300 to +105 in just 2 weeks. The Lions held at +145 this week. The price on the Packers doubled to +700 this week after their loss at home to the Vikings. 
  • September 24: The Vikings are making this a race. Their number moved from +300 to +195, while the Lions slipped from +100 to +145. There's value everywhere here. 
  • September 17: The structure of this market hasn't changed much. The Lions remain the favorite. But the rest of the division continues to find position and value. It's too soon to see where that may be. 
  • September 10: The Lions roared in overtime Sunday night, rolling through the Rams in the extra frame for a 26-20 OT win. The win pushed them into negative territory, even though the Bears and Vikings scored convincing victories. 
  • September 3: The Lions are favored to win their second straight NFC North title this season at +130. The Lions return with much of its core intact. The Packers have found their QB of the future in Jordan Love and have the youngest roster in the NFL heading into the season. The Vikings lost Kirk Cousins and rolled with rookie J.J. McCarthy before he was lost for the year in the preseason. The Bears took QB Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft and have him penciled in to start the season.

Odds To Win The NFC South

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Atlanta Falcons -350 -130
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +275 +320
New Orleans Saints +2800 +400
Carolina Panthers +12000 +1100

Odds via FanDuel and current as of November 20, 2024.

Here are some notes on the NFC South odds movement:

  • November 20: After a bad crash in Denver, the Falcons fell from -900 to -350. The Buccaneers were on the bye. They're just a game back of the Falcons in the standings. Thus, they moved from +800 to +275. 
  • November 13: The Falcons appear headed to finally winning this thing - despite losing to the Saints on Sunday. 
  • November 4: The Falcons control their own destiny here and keep winning. They easily handled the Cowboys Sunday and saw their price tighten from -450 to -800. 
  • October 29: The Falcons completed their season sweep of Tampa Bay in Week 9. So what was a tight market has been now become a runaway. The Falcons soared from -165 to -450. The Buccaneers fell from +150 to +350.
  • October 22: Atlanta and Tampa Bay both lost heading into their Week 8 showdown. Thus there wasn't much movement here. Check back next week. 
  • October 15: The Falcons hold the edge over Tampa Bay here by virtue of their head-to-hear win 2 weeks ago. Atlanta is -180, with Tampa Bay being +180. A Bucs win at home over Atlanta in 2 weeks could well reverse this market. 
  • October 1: A toss-up. The value on the Bucs was wiped out by their impressive home win over the Eagles. Three teams separated by just 0.40. That's about as tight as one market can get. The Bucs visit Atlanta Thursday night. So look for more movement. 
  • September 24: The tightest division in the NFL will likely go down to the final week of the season. All 3 contenders lost in Week 3. The Buccaneers took the biggest hit, falling from +175 to +310 after a surprising stumble at home to Denver.
  • September 17: The Saints and Buccaneers are in a fight for the top spot, with New Orleans holding a slight edge at +140 to +175. But the Falcons are close behind at +225. This one remains anyone's race.
  • September 10: The Falcons were putrid against Pittsburgh but still held as the favorites. We've been riding the Bucs since Tom Brady came to the Bay 4 years ago. We're not stopping now. Tampa Bay is still the value play here. 
  • September 3: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter the season as underdogs to repeat at NFC South champions. The Falcons, who brought in both Kirk Cousins and rookie Michael Penix Jr. at QB, are favorites to snag the NFC South title. But the Bucs have brought back their same core that won the division last year without Tom Brady
2024-2025 NFL Divisional Odds Tracker 3

Odds To Win The NFC West

TeamCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Arizona Cardinals -230 +1200
San Francisco +350 -190
LA Rams +550 +350
Seattle Seahawks +600 +600

Odds via BetMGM and current as of November 20, 2024.

Here are some notes on the NFC West odds movement:

  • November 20: The NFC West has become the most-competitive, top-to-bottom, division in the NFL. All four teams are separated by just one game in the standings. The Cardinals still hold the top spot. The 49ers are a solid value at +350 because they appear to be getting healthy and have the chops to play well down the stretch.
  • November 13: The Arizona Cardinals are now favored to win the NFC West. That's something no one expected when this season began. There's finally some value on the 49ers. These 2 teams meet in Week 18 - possibly for all the marbles here. 
  • November 4: The tightest division in the NFL features 3 teams (San Francisco, Arizona, and the Rams) with 4 losses. And the Seahawks have 5. This one is going to come down to tie-breakers. The 49ers at +150 is a nice value considering where things stood at the start of the season. 
  • October 29: San Francisco beat Dallas and restored order to this market. The 49ers are +110 and the Rams, Seahawks, and Cardinals continue to play catch-up.   
  • October 22: The 49ers' loss to the Chiefs and the Seahawks' win at Atlanta rattled this market. The 49ers flipped from -180 to +125. While the Seahawks continued their steady rise to +270. They remain a bold value play. San Francisco won Round 1 at Seattle 2 weeks ago. They meet again on Nov. 17 at Levi's Stadium. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have entered the chat as well at +280, up from +500 last week. The 49ers and Cardinals meet in Week 18. The Cardinals and Seahawks play on Nov. 24. 
  • October 15: Seattle had a shot to make its move here but fell far short to the 49ers at home in Week 6. The Niners should begin to pull away moving forward.
  • October 1: The 49ers enjoyed a nice get-right win over New England. The Seahawks continue their movement in this market, as well. 
  • September 24: The Rams' upset win over San Francisco made this division as tight as it's been since this market opened. The Seahawks are up to +190. And the 49ers are close to even money. That will likely be their best price of the season. Even with injuries to several of their core players. 
  • September 17: The Seattle Seahawks are in upset range here, given the depth of injury suffered by the San Francisco 49ers. We're not ready to join that bandwagon, but it's worth watching. 
  • September 10: The 49ers scored an impressive Monday night win without CMC. That train may have already left the station for this season.
  • September 3: The defending champion 49ers are favorites to repeat as NFC West champions at -190. The Rams are the No. 2 pick at +350. San Francisco kept its roster intact by keeping Brandon Aiyuk in the fold and bringing back the rest of their key players from the Super Bowl 58 loss. Our early value play here is the Rams. 

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.