By Adam Thompson | | 7 mins
NFL Week 8 Sunday Picks & Predictions: 5 Must-Bets To Make Today
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Those waiting for a Separation Sunday type of schedule may want to skip right over the NFL Week 8 slate, though that doesn’t mean there is a lack of NFL betting opportunities.
Of the 14 games on the Sunday and Monday NFL schedule for this week, just one of them features two teams with winning records. That game is important on several levels, when Jameis Winston and the New Orleans Saints (4-2) host Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-1).
Despite few “close” matchups in the standings, NFL odds at top betting sites suggest a lot of actual close games on the field. A whopping eight of the 14 games have point spreads of 3.5 points or smaller. Devoid of marquee games, perhaps, but NFL Week 8 has the potential for several last-minute drama.
We’ve hit on 61.5% of my best bets at sportsbooks in the 2021 NFL season and finished over 60% the last three seasons. After looking through the NFL odds for this weekend's slate, here are my five NFL picks for NFL Week 8 Sunday action.
RELATED: NFL Week 8 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games
NFL Week 8 Sunday Best Bets
Bills ATS over Dolphins
The Bills have had two weeks to stew about their loss to the Titans. Now they return home to take frustrations out on a team they beat 35-0 earlier this season in Miami. Buffalo is still the most overwhelming team in the NFL. All of its win have been by at least 18 points. The Dolphins have Tua and that’s it right now, and all the rumors about trading for a new QB can’t help. And it wouldn’t help enough; they have the NFL’s last-ranked defense. Blowout city, as reflected by the huge lines on betting apps. (Locked in at -13.5 at BetMGM)
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Lions ATS over Eagles
Two weeks ago we accurately picked the Jaguars to beat the Dolphins in London for Win No. 1. We’ll attempt to do the same here. Detroit is one of the better 0-7 teams in recent memory. Jared Goff isn’t terrible – his targets are, but I digress – and there’s a run game to speak of.
Eventually they’re going to win a game, and the sense of urgency to do so should be here, at home, against a Philly squad that’s in the midst of an implosion. Philly has the edge in the trenches, which keeps me off the moneyline, especially vs. a spread with a hook. (Locked in at +3.5 at FanDuel)
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Colts ATS over Titans
Tennessee is an impressive 3-0 straight up as an underdog, including wins over the Bills and Chiefs the last two weeks. It also beat Indy 25-16 in Nashville in Week 2. The Colts are 3-1 since that game, however, with the offensive improving every game out. Indy’s defense matches up well here and the offense has found a rhythm. Getting T.Y. Hilton back is key. (Locked in at +1.5 at bet365)
Patriots ATS over Chargers
We’re not jumping on the New England bandwagon yet; the Pats have three wins, two vs. the Jets and one over the Texans. But three of their four losses were by six points or less, including vs. the Cowboys and Buccaneers.
They’re a young team still trying to find ways to win, and a run-first team facing the last-ranked run defense in the NFL. They also have a gameplan for winning, with the Chargers coming off a 34-6 loss to the Ravens. Only one of L.A.’s four wins has been by more than six points. (Locked in at +5.5 at PointsBet)
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Saints ATS over Buccaneers
Jameis Winston vs. Tom Brady? But it’s a little more than that. Brady has looked unstoppable, but the Buccaneers haven’t covered a road game all season, losing to the Rams while barely getting past the Patriots and Eagles.
The only playoff-worthy teams they’ve faced are the Rams (a loss) and the Cowboys (a loss without a referee blunder at the end). Winston either tosses the ball 50 yards or five yards to Alvin Kamara. Only the Bengals have allowed more receptions to RBs than the Bucs and only the Ravens, Dolphins and Lions have allowed more passes over 20 yards. (Locked in at +5.5 at DraftKings)
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