By Bill Speros | | 10 mins
Ranking Every Starting NFL QB By Record Against The Spread: 2022 Season
Which active NFL starting quarterback has the best career record against the spread? Stick around and you’ll find out.
We are tracking NFL starting QBs used in the 2022-23 season. Each week, we will update how much money you would have won or lost backing them ATS on various betting apps each time they've started, including the postseason. A total of 60 different quarterbacks started games during the 2021-22 NFL betting regular season and playoffs.
Tom Brady has the second-best record against the spread among all QBs with more than 50 starts at 58.1% (213-145-8) in his 365 starts. GOAT herders using our system of betting $100 ATS on Brady each week of his now 23-year career with the industry standard -110 line would be up $4,883.00. His former teammate Jimmy Garoppolo is tops among those QBs at 33-21-1 (60.0%) ATS.
Dallas QB Cooper Rush won and covered in Week 3 against the Giants on Monday night. He went to 3-0 ATS in his third career start. Miami's Tua Tagovailoa leads all other starting QBs this season with a 16-8 (66.6%) record ATS. The Dolphins are the only unbeaten team in the AFC.
All 2022 NFL Starting QBs ATS
Here is a look at all 2022-23 NFL starting quarterbacks listed by their career percentage against the spread, including the postseason. This list will be updated each week during the 2022 season. Each QB is listed with his current team, overall record against the spread, cover percentage, and the amount of money a would-be bettor would have won or lost backing them each week of their NFL career, using the above formula.
For this project, we used the archived weekly Las Vegas consensus lines, according to Pro Football Reference.
|QB||2021||2022||ATS||Cover %||$ Won/Lost|
|1. (Best) Cooper Rush||DAL||DAL||3-0||100||273.00|
|2. Tua Tagovailoa||MIA||MIA||16-8||66.6||656.00|
|3. Joe Burrow||CIN||CIN||20-12-1||60.6||620.00|
|4. Jimmy Garoppolo||SF||SF||33-21-1||60.0||903.00|
|5. Tom Brady||TB||TB||213-145-8||58.1||4883.00|
|6 (tie). Aaron Rodgers||GB||GB||130-93-7||56.5||2530.00|
|6 (tie). Josh Allen||BUF||BUF||39-28-2||56.5||649.00|
|8. Geno Smith||SEA||SEA||20-15-1||55.5||320.00|
|9. Patrick Mahomes||KC||KC||43-32-2||55.2||713.00|
|10. (Tie) Jared Goff||DET||DET||49-40-2||53.8||459.00|
|10. (Tie) Dak Prescott||DAL||DAL||49-41-1||53.8||268.00|
|12. (Tie) Lamar Jackson||BAL||BAL||30-26||53.5||130.00|
|12 (Tie). Daniel Jones||NYG||NYG||21-19||53.5||201.00|
|14. Russell Wilson||SEA||DEN||91-80-6||52.4||281.00|
|15. Jalen Hurts||PHI||PHI||12-11||52.1||-8.00|
|16. Jacoby Brissett||MIA||CLE||21-18-2||51.2||111.00|
|17. Kyler Murray||ARI||ARI||27-24-2||50.9||57.00|
|18. Kirk Cousins||MIN||MIN||64-61-1||50.7||-276.00|
|19. Mitchell Trubisky||BUF||PIT||27-26-2||49.0||-416.00|
|20. Joe Flacco||NYJ||NYJ||95-91-8||48.9||-454.00|
|21. (Tie) Justin Herbert||LAC||LAC||17-18||48.5||-253.00|
|21. (Tie) Matt Ryan||ATL||IND||114-119-2||48.5||-1526.00|
|23. Carson Wentz||IND||WAS||43-46||48.3||-687.00|
|24. Ryan Tannehill||TEN||TEN||67-69-3||48.2||-803.00|
|25. Mac Jones||NE||NE||10-11||47.6||-190.00|
|26. Derek Carr||LVR||LVR||62-67-2||47.3||-1058.00|
|27. Marcus Mariota||LVR||ATL||30-33-2||46.1||-761.00|
|28. Matthew Stafford||LAR||LAR||88-100-4||45.8||-1992.00|
|29. Jameis Winston||NO||NO||36-41-3||45.0||-824.00|
|30. Davis Mills||HOU||HOU||6-7-1||42.8||-345.00|
|31. Baker Mayfield||CLE||CAR||25-38-1||39.0||-1525.00|
|32. Trevor Lawrence||JAX||JAX||7-13||35.0||-754.00|
|33. Justin Fields||CHI||CHI||4-8-1||30.7||-436.00|
|34. Trey Lance||SF||SF||1-3||25.0||-209.00|
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Teddy Bridgewater Tops All NFL Veterans
The Miami Dolphins boast the two top QBs ATS in the NFL with more than 10 starts. Teddy Bridgewater, 42-20-1 ATS, leads all veteran QBs ATS and has covered in 66.6% of his career starts. Bridgewater played for the Vikings, Saints, Panthers and Broncos before moving to the Dolphins as Tagovailoa's backup this offseason. Bridgewater is 33-30 outright in his 63 starts. He was injured in a Week 15 loss last year and missed the rest of the season.
Here's a rundown of each notable QB who started at least one game last season and is currently on an NFL roster.
|QB||2021||2022||ATS||Cover %||$ Won/Lost|
(* Denotes projected starter once healthy.) All quarterbacks ordered by cover percentage, from highest to lowest
New Faces in New Places in 2022
Ben Roethlisberger and Ryan Fitzpatrick retired during the offseason. Nine NFL teams began the 2022 season with different starting QBs.
Among the big names to move in the offseason: Russell Wilson (Seattle to Denver), Drew Lock (Denver to Seattle) and Baker Mayfield (Cleveland to Carolina). Browns QB Deshaun Watson, who missed the entire 2021 season with Houston, has been suspended for the first 11 weeks of the 2022 season. He will be added here once active.
For the first time, Kansas sports betting fans can legally back the Chiefs this season.
Online New York sports betting went live last NFL season. The Jets began 2022 with Joe Flacco as their starter due to Zach Wilson's knee injury. Multiple deals are still available for Empire State bettors at Caesars Sportsbook NY, as well as other New York betting apps.
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