By David Caraviello | | 17 mins
Bank of America Roval 400 Odds & Picks for NASCAR at Charlotte
We knew there was the possibility of a surprise winner at Talladega, and indeed Monday’s rain-delayed, rain-shortened race supplied just that with +2500 NASCAR odds choice Bubba Wallace celebrating in Victory Lane. It was historic, it was emotional — and it may have been the last gasp of the underdogs for the duration of these NASCAR Playoffs.
This Sunday brings us to the “Roval” road course at Charlotte Motor Speedway, where Chase Elliott has won the last two years to continue his mastery of circuits where NASCAR drivers turn right as well as left. Elliott has won seven of his last 13 road starts, with two of those victories coming this season, and the defending champion needs a little insurance to avoid being eliminated from the postseason this week.
Sunday marks the close of the playoffs’ second round, with Elliott and Kyle Busch both just nine points above the cutoff to make the Round of 8. There are a lot of capable road racers clustered around that demarcation point — not just Elliott and Busch, but also Christopher Bell, Kevin Harvick and William Byron. A victory moves any of them automatically into the next round. It’s a lot to consider when NASCAR betting.
Gentlemen, start your desperation.
Bank of America Roval 400 Odds
|Driver||Win||Top 3||Top 10|
|Martin Truex Jr.||+700||+160||-285|
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Bank of America Roval 400 Expert Pick and Tips
Kyle Larson to Win
Odds: +450 at BetMGM
It’s been a relatively rough stretch for the +240 championship favorite: Larson suffered a mistimed pit stop at Las Vegas that scuttled an afternoon on which he’d led 95 laps, and then had his Talladega race ruined by an early wreck.
But don’t let that distract from the fact that he’s been nearly as good in road course races this season as Elliott, with wins in two of the last four. Larson also finished a spot better than Elliott at Indianapolis and was right behind his winning teammate at Circuit of the Americas.
No, he doesn’t have all those road course victories from 2018-2020, but those don’t matter right now. His performance this season has been far better overall, he’s won as recently as three weeks ago at Bristol, and you take that kind of value on Larson when you can find it when placing your bets at sportsbooks and betting sites. We love his odds at BetMGM.
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Bank of America Roval 400 Betting Tips
Outside of the Hendrick twosome, who are the biggest threats at the Roval? Keep an eye on Martin Truex Jr., whose four career road course victories rank second to Elliott among active drivers and was wrecked coming to the finish of the inaugural Roval race in 2018.
Truex has also won reasonably well of late, with a win at Richmond followed by two finishes of seventh or better. And at 20 points off the playoff elimination line, he’s not feeling the immense pressure of some other drivers sitting below him.
There are a few other good road course drivers, though, who absolutely need to make something happen Sunday. Bell, 28 points below the cutoff, won earlier this season at a similar road-speedway hybrid at Daytona and will compete at the Roval in a Joe Gibbs car for the first time. Byron, who needs a win to advance, has finished sixth at the Roval in back-to-back seasons. Kevin Harvick, one spot below the cutoff in ninth, has two career Roval top-10s.
Then there’s the eighth-place Busch, typically a very good road racer, who’s suffered a litany of parts failures at the Roval and has never finished better than 30th. Indy winner A.J. Allmendinger was seventh in his lone Roval start in 2018, and Cole Custer could be an outside contender for a top-10 after placing ninth there last year. Our three best bets available on betting apps: Larson to win at +450, Truex top-3 at +160, and Joey Logano top Ford at +270.
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Bank of America Roval 400 Time, Date and TV
When: Sunday, 2 p.m. ET
Where: Charlotte (N.C.) Motor Speedway