Mexico Open Odds, Picks & Betting Predictions At Vidanta

By Dan Kilbridge

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EST

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The golf betting action heads south of the border this week as the Mexico Open joins the PGA Tour schedule for the first time.

This event has previously been held as part of the PGA Tour Latinoamerica, rotating among several local venues, and now heads to the Greg Norman-designed Vidanta Vallarta for the first time.

Jon Rahm is teeing it up for the first time since the Masters and goes off as a massive favorite on betting sites and betting apps, with +350 odds to pick up his first victory since the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines.

Daniel Berger was initially second on the board but withdrew due to injury Monday afternoon, leaving Cameron Tringale, Kevin Na, Gary Woodland and Abraham Ancer rounding out the top five with equal golf odds of +2000.

2022 Mexico Open Odds

Odds via DraftKings and current as of publication.

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2022 Mexico Open Picks & Predictions

Cameron Champ Top-10 Finish

Odds: +600 at DraftKings

Champ’s season-long statistics aren’t pretty and he’s missed more cuts than he’s made this season. But he showed he’s still capable of dialing in with the irons during an impressive T-10 finish at the Masters, during which he finished 11th in Strokes Gained Tee to Green. There’s just no way to fake that at Augusta National, so we’re optimistic about his chances this week.

Champ is the longest hitter on Tour and that will make a big difference at this 7,456-yard layout. While he’s not the most accurate off the tee, that shouldn’t matter nearly as much this week with what seem to be very generous fairways by Tour standards.

This isn’t a deep field at all and while Champ has struggled at some marquee events like the Arnold Palmer and the Players, this looks like a chance for him to rebuild the confidence and get back in contention on Sunday. We’re on Champ top-10 finish with +600 odds at DraftKings.

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Must be 21+ to participate (18+ in KY). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, IA, KY, KS, LA, MD, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ). Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). CALL 1-877-770-STOP (LA). Must be present in LA (select parishes). Licensee partner Amelia Belle Casino. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.

2022 Mexico Open Betting Tips

This is a tough week for creatures of habit who rely heavily on standbys like course history and current form. There’s no course history to go off of at this event, though we’ll have some to go on down the road with Vidanta Vallarta set to host for three consecutive years. We also don’t have any Strokes Gained stats from last week because the Zurich Classic is a team format.

That means trying to get a best possible read on the course and going from there. We know it’s a lengthy track at nearly 7,500 yards, and we know the fairways look wide and inviting. Wind is always a potential factor at seaside courses, so right away we want guys with distance off the tee and guys who can control their trajectory in tough conditions. We also don’t need to focus too much on accuracy off the tee as players should be able to get away with a few foul balls.

Those generous landing areas also place more of a premium on the approach shot, so a combo of distance off the tee and strong iron play should put bettors on a few potential contenders for the Mexico Open’s PGA Tour debut.

2022 Mexico Open, Date & TV

When: Thursday-Sunday, April 28-May 1

Where: Vidanta Vallarta, Vallarta, Mexico

TV: Golf Channel, CBS

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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge

More About Dan

Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.