Bill Speros for

By Bill Speros | | 7 mins

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds & 2021 Wieners to Relish

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds & 2021 Wieners to Relish

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Bettors who relish picking wieners can once again legally wager on Nathan’s Famous Fourth of July International Hot Dog Eating Contest.

Betting was first allowed on this national celebration of gluttony at U.S. sportsbooks in 2020. The annual Independence Day frankfurter fill determines which voracious competitor can wolf down the most hot dogs and buns in 10 minutes. This year, gamblers can load up their plates in Colorado, New Jersey and New Hampshire.

Hot diggity dog!

Joey Chestnut has been on a roll at Nathan’s for more than a decade. The champ continues to grill, fry, roast and/or boil his competition. Ranked No. 1 in the world by Major League Eating, “Jaws” is -3335 at DraftKings sportsbook to win his 14th “Mustard Belt” in 15 years. “Any Other Participant” winning is +900. Chestnut last lost this contest in 2015. He ate a record 75 hot dogs and buns to win in 2020.

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds & 2021 Wieners to Relish 1

On the women’s side, Michelle Lesco stands as the favorite at -1000, with “Any Other Participant” fetching +500.

Here are the available odds for the 2021 Nathans’s Hot Dog Eating Contest at DraftKings, which is a sponsor and the official oddsmaker of the event.

2021 Nathans’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Betting Odds

Men’s Winner Odds
Joey Chestnut-3335
Any Other Participant+900
Women’s Winner Odds
Michelle Lesco-1000
Any Other Participant+500
Joey Chestnut Hot Dogs Eaten 73.5
Over -200
Under +150
Best Finish Odds
Geoffrey Esper -125
Darron Breeden +100
Best Finish Odds
Nick Wehry -141
Gideon Oji+110

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Bettors enjoy taking a bite out of the odds for Nathan’s contest. Last year, it generated the second-best handle among novelty events on DraftKings history, just behind the 2020 Academy Awards.

2021 Nathan’s Hot Dog Contest Odds & Bets To Back

Joey Chestnut Under 73.5 Hot Dogs

Odds: +150 at DraftKings

Chestnut faces a gut-check this year, coming off last year’s tummy-turning performance. His previous record was 74 in 2018. Chestnut hit a wall last year after a fast start, and barley stuffed HDB number 75 in his mouth as the clock expired. Each year, it appears he can’t eat any more. Yet Chestnut, 37, continues to find room in his sizable stomach. He will have a crowd cheering him this time, but the rest of the field will be so far behind, he might simply run out of willpower, if not time. This is the only value play on Chestnut available worth your money.

Darron Breeden over Geoffrey Esper

Odds: +100 at DraftKings

Esper is ranked No. 2 in the MLE world rankings and Breeden is third. Breeden chewed past Esper when they last competed together at Nathan’s in 2019 by a 50-47 margin. Breeden ate 42 in last year’s contest, which featured a smaller-than-normal field. Breeden seems to have an edge when it comes to eating hot dogs, while Esper does his best with other foods, such as pizza, chicken wings and sweets. Last month, Esper gobbled 235 Hostess Donettes in six minutes, beating Chestnut’s 200. In another competition during June, he inhaled 281 Hooters chicken wings in 10 minutes.

Michelle Lesco as Women's Winner

Odds: -1000 at DraftKings

Miki Sudo set a women’s record with 48.5 hot dogs and buns eaten in 2020. Sudo is the top-ranked woman in MLE and fifth in the world. But she won’t be competing this year because she is nine months pregnant. Sonya Thomas, the only other woman to win Nathan’s in the past 10 years, is also not entered.

That leaves an open field on the women’s side. Lesco’s best performance in the Nathan’s event is 25.5 hot dogs and buns eaten. Her price is steep, but for good reason. She is ranked ninth overall in MLE and is by far the highest-ranked competitor in the women’s event. The other names of note in the women’s field, such as Sarah Rodriguez and Larell Marie Mele, are veteran competitors but have yet to approach Lesco’s hot dog eating total in any marquee event.

Nathan’s Contest Part Of July 4 Menu Since 1916

Expect plenty of fireworks during – and most likely after – the event. The Nathan’s contest was moved indoors and offsite from its traditional Coney Island location last year because of COVID-19 restrictions. On Sunday (July 4), it will be held at Coney Island’s Maimonides Park and televised on ESPN from 11 a.m. to 1 p.m. Tickets to watch the contest inside the baseball venue are sold out.

Major League Eating sanctions the Nathan’s contest, which puts it under a standard set of rules and judging and makes it eligible for sanctioned online sports betting in those states where it is allowed.

“The Nathan’s Famous Fourth of July International Hot Dog Eating Contest is an epic event that epitomizes both patriotism and the will to compete,” DraftKings Director of sportsbook operations Johnny Avello said in a company release. “We are excited to work with Major League Eating once again to offer people everywhere the opportunity to engage with this July Fourth tradition with true skin in the game.”

Nathan’s contest has occurred each July 4 in Coney Island since 1916, the same year Nathan Handwerker opened his famous hot dog stand.

About the Author

Bill Speros for
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.