By Dan Kilbridge | | 25 mins
PGA Championship Odds, Expert Picks & Top Prop Bets To Back
The venue is a late replacement and the reigning champion is not in the field. Yup, it’s gonna be another wild golf betting week at the 2022 PGA Championship.
Originally slated for Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, the second major of the year instead heads to Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma thanks to a unanimous vote by the PGA of America Board of Directors to terminate the contract with Trump in January of 2021.
Southern Hills last hosted this event in 2007, with Tiger Woods beating out Woody Austin by two strokes to claim his fourth Wanamaker Trophy. Woods is back in the field this week and added to the buzz by describing significant improvements in the weeks since his solo 47th finish at the Masters.
Simply making the cut at Augusta National was a big accomplishment for Woods in his first competitive start in 17 months. This is his first start since as Woods will be playing a significantly limited schedule from now on, and oddsmakers have him priced at +6500 entering Southern Hills.
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is just behind Rahm and second on the board with golf odds of +1200. Scheffler earned his first major title last month at the Masters and has won four of his last eight starts overall.
Justin Thomas, the 2017 PGA Championship winner, is next at +1200. Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa and Patrick Cantlay round out the top six at +1600.
2022 PGA Championship Odds
|Player||Winner||Top 5||Top 10|
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2022 PGA Championship Picks & Predictions
Jordan Spieth to Win
Odds: +1800 at BetMGM
This feels like a week where Spieth either wins or misses the cut. He’s been that up-and-down lately, missing the Masters cut with a 74-76 followed by a win at the RBC Heritage and a solo second at last week’s Byron Nelson. With that in mind, we’re not gonna bother with a top-5 or top-10 wager. It’s win or bust for Spieth in Tulsa.
Spieth is full of confidence right now, the driver looked much improved in recent weeks and you know he’d love to knock off his fourth and final major to become just the sixth player in history to secure golf’s Grand Slam.
This has all the makings for a chaotic week, and we know Spieth thrives in chaos. We’re on Spieth to win the PGA Championship with +1800 odds at BetMGM.
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Will Zalatoris Top-10 Finish
Odds: +365 at DraftKings
Zalatoris’ odds are a little longer than expected, but that’s entirely thanks to a surprising missed cut at the Byron Nelson. We aren’t concerned. Zalatoris’ stats were still very strong tee-to-green. He just had another brutal putting week. But with small greens and an emphasis on ballstriking this week, few are more tempting than Zalatoris – he currently leads the Tour in Strokes Gained Approach and second in Strokes Gained Tee to Green.
The 25-year-old already has five top-10s in 14 starts this season, and he’s been incredibly impressive at the majors considering his lack of experience. Zalatoris has finished top-10 in four of his first six majors at as a professional, including a T-6 at last month’s Masters and a T-8 at his PGA Championship debut in 2021.
With plenty of distance, lights-out iron play and a clear confidence in the biggest events, we like Zalatoris for a top-10 finish with +365 odds at DraftKings.
Harold Varner III Top-10 Finish
Odds: +800 at DraftKings
We haven’t seen anyone talking about Varner this week. They should be. The 31-year-old is having one of his best springs ever and comes off consecutive top-five finishes with a T-3 at the RBC Heritage and T-4 at the Zurich Classic. Overall, he’s been in the top 25 in six consecutive tournaments and is starting to play better in the big events.
Varner logged a T-6 at the Players Championship and held his own with a T-23 at Augusta National. That was his best career finish at a major, but he’s made the cut in three consecutive PGA Championships and should be poised for a good week at Southern Hills.
Varner has one of the best short games on Tour and possesses enough distance off the tee so that he won’t be at a big disadvantage there. We’re on Varner Top-10 finish with +800 odds at DraftKings.
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Patrick Cantlay to Win
Odds: +2200 at BetMGM
Cantlay has been quiet at the majors lately, but he remains one of the very best in the world each time he tees it up. And we have to give those with no major titles a long look given what we’ve seen lately.
We’ve seen 16 first-time winners over the last 24 major championships, most recently with Scottie Scheffler getting it done at the Masters. And while Cantlay doesn’t have a done of past major success to rely on, his best finish was a T-3 at this event in 2019. He’s also never missed the cut in five PGA Championship appearances.
Cantlay is in excellent form coming off a solo second at the RBC Heritage and a win at the Zurich Classic. He’s also overdue for a major run. We’re on Cantlay to win the PGA Championship with +2200 odds at BetMGM.
2022 PGA Championship Betting Tips
Southern Hills is a big boy ballpark, stretching out over 7,500 yards. Distance is obviously a nice bonus in that regard, but this is a par-70 and the two par-5s look like equalizers. The par-5 fifth and par-5 13th are both listed at 632 yards or longer and will be unreachable in two for almost the entire field.
The PGA Championship has emerged as an impressive and complete test, with a major identity all its own and a wildly entertaining run in recent years. That appears to be the case once again with Southern Hills, though it looks like more of a second-shot venue than some featured recently.
The putting surfaces are also smaller than most courses on Tour, which means more emphasis on approach and short game. Putting should even out a bit with smaller greens and as three-jacks should be easier to avoid. We’re not all that focused on the Strokes Gained Putting numbers this week.
We’re far more concerned with Strokes Gained Approach and Strokes Gained Around the Green. Leaving oneself in good position off the tee obviously goes along with that, but these are relatively generous fairways and players should be able to get away with a few foul balls.
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2022 PGA Championship, Date & TV
When: Thursday-Sunday, May 19-22
Where: Southern Hills Country Club, Tulsa, Oklahoma
TV: ESPN, CBS