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World Series 2021 Astros vs Braves Odds, Predictions & Betting Preview

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 9 mins

World Series 2021 Astros vs Braves Odds, Predictions & Betting Preview

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The Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves face off for the 2021 World Series. For the Astros, it means a vindication of sorts after the cheating scandal marred previous trips to the Fall Classic. For the upstart Braves, it’s the culmination of an amazing in-season turnaround for their first trip to the final round since 1999.

Houston is the -155 favorite in the latest World Series odds, with Atlanta posted at +130. We’ll break down all the odds on our favoritebetting apps and offer up our top MLB picks for the World Series.

World Series BetOdds
Astros to Win Series -155
Braves to Win Series +130
Astros in 4 Games +1000
Astros in 5 Games +500
Astros in 6 Games +390
Astros in 7 Games +400
Braves in 4 Games +1700
Braves in 5 Games +750
Braves in 6 Games +600
Braves in 7 Games +600

MLB odds via FanDuel are current as of publication. Betting sites may indicate odds changes closer to Game 1 on Tuesday.

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Why You Should Pick The Braves

World Series 2021 Astros vs Braves Odds, Predictions & Betting Preview 2

It’s hard to argue that the Braves are a totally different team since Aug. 6, when they were still a .500 team. Trades to acquire Joc Pederson on July 15 and Eddie Rosario (the NLCS MVP), Adam Duvall and Jorge Soler on July 30.

Atlanta is 43-23 since the start of August. No team got hotter at the right time, thanks in large part to an influx of new talent.

The Braves have a decided edge in starting pitching as well. In 10 postseason games, Charlie Morton, Max Fried & Co. have a stellar 3.27 ERA and opponents are hitting just .228 off them. Compare that to Houston’s corps, which owns a 5.92 ERA in the playoffs (and .264 average allowed).

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Why You Should Pick The Astros

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When it comes to offensive production, there isn’t much of a comparison. In the playoffs, Houston is averaging 6.7 runs per game, Atlanta is at 4.0. There’s no new trend there, as the Astros lead all of MLB in runs scored, average and on-base percentage and No. 2 in OPS.

Few can argue that Atlanta’s starting rotation has been better in these playoffs, but it’s also shown that bullpens have been more key. Atlanta’s starters are averaging just 4.4 innings per game, Houston’s just 3.8.

While the Atlanta bullpen was considered the better of the two teams’ units, the postseason stats for each couldn’t be more even. In fact, the Astros have been slightly better, if only slightly. Houston’s bullpen: 3.42 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, .230 average allowed; Atlanta’s bullpen: 3.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, .228 average allowed.

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Our World Series Pick

The Astros have the best offense in baseball, the pitching is close enough to even. Atlanta is hotter, but now consider a few more numbers fans of MLB betting must consider.

In one-run games, Houston is 21-19, Atlanta is 26-31; not only were the Braves worse in those games, they played 17 more of them. Against right-handed starters, Houston was 61-39, Atlanta 65-55. Against teams with winning records, Houston 45-32, Atlanta just 31-37.

Houston has the edge in personnel and in results, and has the home-field advantage as well. Astros in 6 makes sense as the favorite, but we see value in another spot at sportsbooks.

The Pick: Astros in 5 at DraftKings

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.