David Caraviello for Bookies.com

By David Caraviello | | 4 mins

Drydene 400 Odds, Tips & Expert Predictions for Dover

Drydene 400 Odds, Tips & Expert Predictions for Dover

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For fans of NASCAR betting, 2021 started as a season full of unexpected winners carrying favorable odds. Then order was restored, largely by Martin Truex Jr.

The Joe Gibbs Racing driver’s victory last weekend at Darlington was his third of the season and he’s the favorite to prevail again Sunday at Dover International Speedway, where he has three victories. With NASCAR in a stretch dominated by tri-ovals and traditional tracks, elite drivers – Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch and Truex – have taken control. The average NASCAR odds of the first nine race winners this year was +2766; over the past three races it was +1000.

NASCAR bettors could still profit from some craziness to come – two of the next four events are on road courses, including the inaugural Cup Series event at Circuit of the Americas, raising the possibility of more high-value winners. But heading to Sunday’s Drydene 400, at least, the sport’s former champions are at last making their presence felt.

Drydene 400 Odds

Driver WinTop 3Top 10
Martin Truex Jr. +350 +100 -670
Kyle Larson +450 +125 -560
Denny Hamlin +600 +155 -435
Kevin Harvick +750 +200 -375
Kyle Busch +800 +210 -335
Chase Elliott +800 +210 -335
Brad Keselowski +1300 +325 -240
Joey Logano +1600 +400 -215
William Byron +1600 +400 -215

Odds current as of publication and subject to change (visit our DraftKings sportsbook Review).

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Drydene 400 Predictions & Betting Tips

Kevin Harvick to Win, +750 (DraftKings)

Is this the third time in the last four races that we’ve taken Harvick to win? Yes. Has he won yet? No. But goodness, has he been close. Harvick has finished fourth, second and sixth in his last three starts, so the speed is clearly there in the No. 4 car. And he’s fantastic at Dover, where he’s won three times – most recently last August – and owns an average finish of third over his last six starts.

Over the last nine races in the Delaware capital, no one has scored more points. Among active drivers, Harvick and Truex own the best stats at Dover by far. Harvick, though, offers easily the better value.

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For more great expert NASCAR picks for the Drydene 400 from our team of handicappers, check out bookiesEDGE:

Drydene 400 Betting Tips

As a high-banked, concrete 1-mile oval, Dover is unlike any other track in NASCAR, and some drivers simply have a knack for the place.

Truex’s position as favorite for Sunday is well-earned, given that he has a victory and three runner-up results in his past four Dover starts. No. 2 odds choice Kyle Larson won his most recent start at Dover, in late 2019, and has finished fifth or better in half of his 12 career races on the Monster Mile. Kyle Busch is tied with Truex, Harvick and Ryan Newman for the most Dover wins among active drivers, with three. But Busch’s most recent win there came in 2017 and he has cracked the top five just once since.

Outside of Harvick, Truex, Larson and Busch, are there others to consider? Chase Elliott won at Dover in 2018 and has a good average finish of 11th, but he has struggled to manage the equipment failures and crashes that are characteristic of a fast, physical track. No. 3 odds choice Denny Hamlin won at Dover last spring, but his other finishes are all over the map. Keselowski has been eighth and ninth in his past two starts, but his lone Dover victory came in 2012.

If you’re searching for surprises, Cole Custer has been 11th and 10th in his two previous Cup series starts at Dover, and might be worth considering at +450 for a top-10. William Byron placed fourth there last fall and is +400 to crack the top three Sunday. And maybe steer clear of Ryan Blaney, who’s a highly capable driver carrying alluring +2200 odds to win, but also an average Dover finish of 20th.


Drydene 400 Time, Date and TV

When: Sunday, 2 p.m.

Where: Dover International Speedway, Dover, Delaware

TV: FS1