Week 13 NFL Parlays to Back: Eggs In One Basket and Big Dogs
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Only two teams with losing records have advanced to the NFL Playoffs following a 16-game regular season. We’ll almost certainly get a third in 2020.
The NFC East is the laughingstock of the league. The Giants and Washington are tied atop the division – at just 4-7. The Eagles (3-7-1) and Cowboys (3-8) are no further than a game back. Any of them could take the automatic postseason bid. Barring a massive turnaround, none will finish at even .500.
Outside the division, the four teams are a combined 5-20-1. That’s amazing.
But history suggests that the sub-.500 entrant won’t be a pushover. In fact, the two previous qualifiers with losing records won their Wild Card games. The 2010 Seahawks (7-9) beat the 11-5 Saints 41-36, and the 2014 Panthers (7-8-1) bested the 11-5 Cardinals 27-16.
Here are our two NFL betting parlays for Week 13 of the NFL season:
Intriguing NFL Week 13 ParlaysParlay, Odds, Sportsbook
NFL odds are current as of publication but subject to change.
The “Eggs In One Basket” Parlay
Leg 1: Colts -3 over Texans
Indy had no answer for Derrick Henry in a 45-26 beatdown at the hands of the Titans. But the Colts are still a top-10 defense vs. both the run and the pass, and Duke Johnson is not Derrick Henry. Jonathan Taylor returns for the Colts while Deshaun Watson’s favorite target, Kenny Stills, is out. Expect Indy to bounce back in a big way. Buy a half-point to keep the spread at a field goal.
Leg 2: Colts moneyline over Texans
In a week void of many sure things, these moneyline odds are short enough to back the straight-up win as part of a three-play parlay. Houston is among the league’s bottom teams in running the ball and stopping the run, which plays perfectly into the hands of the Colts. Indy can grab a lead and grind it out, keeping the ball out of Watson’s hands.
Leg 3: Colts-Texans Under 51.5 Points
Watson is one of the most skilled QBs in the NFL, but Brandin Cooks and Keke Coutee aren’t going to scare anyone; neither is Johnson. Houston can score when healthy, but without its top RB and WR against a capable Indy defense, it’s going to be tough. Indy would prefer to keep the ball on the ground, and Philip Rivers often pushes the play clock to the limit before snapping.
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The “Big Dogs” Parlay
Leg 1: Browns +6 over Titans
Both teams are going to run the ball often, using it to set up the pass. The big difference comes on defense: The Browns are very solid vs. the run, the Titans are average. Tennessee is also terrible defending the pass and that gets worse here because its average run D will need more attention. It’s possible that Baker Mayfield helps the wrong team, but the Browns are good enough to hang, if not win outright.
Leg 2: Bengals +11.5 over Dolphins
Only the Steelers have allowed fewer points than the Dolphins (!). And yet, when it comes to yards allowed, they’re 26th vs. the run and 20th vs. the pass. The Bengals don’t have much to write home about, but their one strength is slowing opposing QBs, which is key in this one. Cincy has covered five spreads in losing efforts – the most by any team in two decades. They can do it again here.
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Leg 3: Broncos +14 over Chiefs
Going against Patrick Mahomes is often a case in futility, but getting two TDs for a team with a strong defense and a healthy offense with weapons is too much. KC is 3-1 at home – if you discount the beatdown of the historically bad Jets, the Chiefs beat Houston by 14 in Week 1, lost by eight to the Raiders and edged the Panthers by two.
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