Super Bowl 55 NFL Parlays to Back: 1st Half and Dink & Dunk
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Super Bowl 2021 features one of the marquee quarterback matchups in Super Bowl betting history, a showdown of the GOAT vs. The Future. Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host — yes, host — Patrick Mahomes and the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs.
The Chiefs are -3 or -3.5 at most sportsbooks, but if you believe the Chiefs win while the Buccaneers cover, you’d be going against history. Just six times has the Super Bowl favorite won but failed to cover the spread. It hasn’t happened in 12 years.
Super Bowl favorites have won 67.9% of the games with an impressive 59.2% cover rate. The favorites has covered in three of four — good news for the Chiefs — but in just four of the last 12 games — better news for the Bucs.
We have hit a whopping 61.6% of NFL picks this season at BookiesEDGE. Over the last month, that number is 85.7%. Here are our big-ticket Super Bowl parlays:
Most Intriguing Super Bowl Parlays
|Opening Kickoff — Touchback, First play of game — Run, 2nd Quarter More Points than 1st Quarter||+238 |
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|Cameron Brate Over 27.5 Yards, Clyde Edwards-Helaire — Over 2.5 Receptions, Leonard Fournette — Over 23.5 Receiving Yards||+554 |
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NFL odds are current as of publication but subject to change.
The “1st Half” Parlay
Leg 1: Opening Kickoff — Touchback
A solid 75.5% of Chiefs kickoffs have been into the end zone and not returned. That’s nothing compared to the prowess of the Bucs, who have nailed 84.3% of kicks for touchbacks. The odds are low for this but putting it into a parlay helps.
Leg 2: First play of game — Run
The Buccaneers have run the ball on the first play of their first drive 52.6% of the time. The Chiefs are even more predictable, starting on the ground a huge 72.2% of the time.
Leg 3: 2nd Quarter More Points than 1st Quarter
Brady-led Super Bowl teams have infamously managed just three first-quarter points total in nine games. His Bucs this season have been only mediocre in the opening 15 minutes this season, too, but they’ve exploded in the second quarter and so have the Chiefs. Each side averages 10.2 ppg in the quarter, tied for second-most. It’s also the most-prolific scoring frame for opposing offenses.
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The “Dink & Dunk” Parlay
Leg 1: Cameron Brate — Over 27.5 Yards
The Bucs have increasingly used their tight ends in the passing game and covering the big men has been a big issue for Kansas City all season. Brady has targeted Brate more often lately and there should be ample opportunities Sunday.
Leg 2: Clyde Edwards-Helaire — Over 2.5 Receptions
No team has allowed more receptions to running backs than the Buccaneers. CEH has had at least three receptions in eight of his 14 games, especially early this season. Now that he should be back to 100% health, he should get balls thrown his way as KC tries to make up for the challenges of running on Tampa Bay’s No. 1 rush D.
Leg 3: Leonard Fournette — Over 23.5 Receiving Yards
The Buccaneers rank dead last in receptions to running backs but the Chiefs rank dead last in receiving yards allowed to RBs. Fournette’s role has increased and he is tied for the team lead in receptions during the playoffs. The Chiefs’ struggles open the door for a big game for Fournette through the air.
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