U.S. Open Betting Odds, Expert Picks & Top Prop Bets To Back
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The name and venue say it all. Golf betting doesn’t get much better than the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines.
The classic oceanside course has special meaning this week as one of the few major championship venues that’s open to the public. It also hosted one of the greatest performances of all time when Tiger Woods defeated Rocco Mediate in an 18-hole Monday playoff at the 2008 U.S. Open.
Woods is still recovering from injuries suffered in his February car crash, but the rest of golf’s A-listers will gather this week in La Jolla, California for what promises to be another thrilling national championship.
Jon Rahm is the significant U.S Open favorite at +1050 odds. The Spaniard led the Memorial Tournament by six shots entering the final round before he was forced to withdraw due to a positive COVID-19 test. The 26-year-old has since been cleared to return and will be looking for his first career major.
Defending U.S. Open champion Bryson DeChambeau, World No. 1 Dustin Johnson, and San Diego native Xander Schauffele are all listed at +1500 with DraftKings, while Brooks Koepka and Jordan Spieth round out the top six at +1900.
Top 2021 U.S. Open Odds
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U.S. Open Expert Picks & Predictions
Max Homa Top-10 Finish (+750, FanDuel)
Homa’s golf odds would look different if he had any past major success to build on. He has missed the cut in six of his seven major appearances and it’s understandable to see him further down the board as a result. But this course should be a perfect fit for his first taste of major success, and his game has been on point lately.
Homa has five top-10s already this season, including a T-6 his last time out at the Memorial. And the Burbank, California native continues to thrive in his home state. He picked up his second career PGA Tour win earlier this season at the Genesis Invitational in Los Angeles, and he’s been money in his last two starts at Torrey Pines.
Homa finished T-9 in 2020 with a final-round 67, and he followed that up with a T-18 in 2021. He’s also a terrific putter on Poa annua grass. We’re on Homa for a top-10 finish at +750 with FanDuel. (Check out our FanDuel review).
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Five Intriguing U.S. Open Props We’re Considering
Phil Mickelson to Make (-125) or Miss (-110) The Cut
This line says everything about how unlikely last month’s PGA Championship victory was for Mickelson at age 50. He’s essentially a coin flip to stick around for the weekend at Torrey Pines after he missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge, his only appearance since the win at Kiawah Island. Mickelson has won three times at Torrey Pines, most recently in 2001, and is looking to finally complete the career grand slam with that elusive U.S. Open victory.
Bryson DeChambeau (-120) vs. Boroks Koepka (-110)
Great move from the top sportsbooks here to pounce on the biggest rivalry in golf. These guys don’t like each other and have engaged in a very public back-and-forth in recent weeks. DeChambeau took the trophy by six shots in last year’s U.S. Open at Winged Foot, while Koepka has two wins and a runner-up in his last three U.S. Open appearances.
Patrick Cantlay (-114) vs. Tony Finau (-114)
Another coin flip here between two very solid players waiting for a major breakthrough. Finau has two top-10 finishes in his last three U.S. Open appearances, while Cantlay has never finished higher than T-21. Cantlay is also coming off a win at the Memorial Tournament. Finau has tremendous course history here with four top-10s and nothing worse than a T-24 in seven appearances at Torrey Pines.
Hideki Matsuyama (-110) vs. Shane Lowry (-120)
Two recent first-time major winners here with the reigning Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama pitted against reigning British Open champion Shane Lowry. Matsuyama has not finished inside the top 20 in three appearances since his triumph at Augusta National. Lowry has three top-10s in his last four starts, including a T-4 at the PGA Championship and T-6 at the Memorial in his two most recent appearances.
Rory McIlroy to Make (-345) or Miss (+240) The Cut
McIlroy continues to search for the consistent success he enjoyed in past years. He won the Wells Fargo in May but followed it up with a lackluster T-49 at the PGA Championship. He also missed the cut at the Players Championship and the Masters earlier this year. McIlroy was riding a streak of three straight missed cuts at the U.S. Open from 2016-2018, but he’s since turned it around with a T-9 in 2019 at Pebble Beach, and a T-8 in 2020 at Winged Foot.
U.S. Open Betting Tips
The U.S. Open has long been considered the toughest test in golf. The idea is that it should test a player in all facets of the game. It seems the Players Championship has done a better job of accomplishing that lately, with a variety of winners and skillsets. The USGA setup has clearly favored one thing above all lately – driving it far and straight.
Bryson DeChambeau, Gary Woodland, Brooks Koepka and Dustin Johnson have combined for the last five U.S. Open wins. All of them are elite players off the tee, and we haven’t seen a medium-length hitter win since Jordan Spieth conquered Chambers Bay in 2015.
Torrey Pines is another beast, especially with all four rounds taking place on the South Course for the U.S. Open. The annual Farmers Insurance Open includes a round on the more forgiving North Course, but players will get no respite this week. Iron play and putting should be considered and accuracy is beneficial off the tee with thick rough everywhere. But the U.S. Open is about finding the players who will give themselves the shortest clubs into super-quick greens. That should be especially true this week given the venue.
U.S. Open, Date & TV
When: Thursday-Sunday, June 17-20
Where: Torrey Pines, La Jolla, California
TV: Golf Channel, NBC