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By Michael Kates | | 4 mins

Nobel Peace Prize Odds: WHO, Navalny Among 2021 Favorites

Nobel Peace Prize Odds: WHO, Navalny Among 2021 Favorites

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The Nobel Peace will be awarded on October 8, 2021, and the Nobel Committee has plenty of candidates to consider. There are 329 total candidates (234 individuals; 95 organizations), the third-most ever but only slightly more than last year.

Just like with political odds, you can’t bet on Nobel Peace Prize odds in the United States. But you can in Europe, and British bookmaker Ladbrokes has posted opening odds.

Nobel Peace Prize Odds 2021

Nobel Peace Prize NomineeOdds
World Health Organization (including COVAX and GAVI)1/1 (+100)
Alexei Navalny10/1 (+1000)
Greta Thunberg12/1 (+1200)
Bill Gates16/1 (+1600)
Jacinda Ardern16/1 (+1600)
Joe Biden16/1 (+1600)
UNHCR16/1 (+1600)
Angela Merkel20/1 (+2000)
Committee to Protect Journalists20/1 (+2000)
European Union20/1 (+2000)
Reporters Without Borders20/1 (+2000)
The Arctic Council20/1 (+2000)
Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva25/1 (+2500)
Svitlana Tsikhanouskaya25/1 (+2500)
Black Lives Matter33/1 (+3300)
Donald Trump33/1 (+3300)

Odds current as of publication and subject to change

Who Is Favored To Win Nobel Prize 2021?

WHO (Including COVAX & GAVI)

This global project, spearheaded by the World Health Organization and the Gavi “vaccine alliance” aims to "ensure rapid and equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines for all countries, regardless of income level" through manufacturing and supply assistance. The initiative says it is on track to deliver at least two billion doses by the end of 2021, including more than half (1.3 billion) to 92 lower-income economies.

Russian Dissident Alexei Navalny

Navalny has emerged as the leading opposition figure to Russian Vladimir Putin and was nearly killed in an attack involving a military-grade nerve agent last August. He returned to Russia after receiving treatment in Germany and was promptly arrested. Massive rallies and protests have sprung up around the nation with others jumping into his movement and protesting his arrest. He is seen as perhaps the greatest threat to date to Putin’s stranglehold on Russia.

Climate Activist Greta Thunberg

The 18-year-old Swedish environmentalist has been on the international stage for several years and was among the favorites to win the 2020 award but did not. Her forthright calls to world leaders and the masses to do more to tackle the threat climate change poses has won her a massive following.

Nobel Peace Prize FAQs

Who has been nominated for Nobel Peace Prize 2021?

Among the nominees for the Nobel Peace Prize 2021 are: The COVAX program (led by the World Health Organization and the Gavi “vaccine alliance”); Russian dissident Alexei Navalny; 18-year-old climate activist Greta Thunberg; Georgia voting rights activist Stacy Abrams; Black Lives Matter; Donald Trump; and the Committee to Protect Journalists.

Who was selected for the Nobel Peace Prize 2020?

World Food Programme was selected for Nobel Peace Prize 2020 "for its efforts to combat hunger, for its contribution to bettering conditions for peace in conflict-affected areas and for acting as a driving force in efforts to prevent the use of hunger as a weapon of war and conflict."

When is the Nobel Peace Prize awarded?

The Nobel Peace Prize will be awarded Oct. 8, 2021.

How do you win a Nobel Peace Prize?

To win a Nobel Peace Prize, you must first be nominated. A nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize may be submitted by any person who meets the nomination criteria. It is to be awarded to a person or organization who "shall have done the most or the best work for fraternity between nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies and for the holding and promotion of peace congresses.” Nominees are winnowed down to about 20-30 candidates by the Nobel Committee. They are then considered by the Nobel Institute’s permanent advisors, which issues reports back to the committee, who makes the ultimate decision.

Who is the youngest Nobel Prize winner?

Malala Yousafzai at 17 was the youngest Nobel Prize winner, receiving the 2014 award along with Indian children's rights activist Kailash Satyarthi. She had been blogging for the BBC since 2009 about her experiences during the Taliban's growing influence in the region of Pakistan where she lived. In 2012, the Taliban attempted to assassinate her on the bus home from school.

Did Greta Thunberg win a Nobel Peace Prize?

No, the young Swedish climate change activist has not won a Nobel Peace Prize.