Nobel Peace Prize Odds: WHO, Navalny Among 2021 Favorites

By Michael Kates Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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The Nobel Peace will be awarded on October 8, 2021, and the Nobel Committee has plenty of candidates to consider. There are 329 total candidates (234 individuals; 95 organizations), the third-most ever but only slightly more than last year.

The World Health Organization (including COVAX and GAVI) remains the strong favorite to win, with odds of +175 at British bookmaker Ladbrokes, slightly worse than the even-money odds it was fetching in the spring. Reports Without Borders, which was +2000 in the spring, is now +1000.

The winner gets $1 million and is picked by a five-member panel appointed by the Norwegian parliament.

Just like with political odds, you can’t bet on Nobel Peace Prize odds at sportsbooks and the best mobile sports betting apps in the United States. But you can in Europe.

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Nobel Peace Prize Odds 2021

Odds current as of publication and subject to change

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Who Is Favored To Win Nobel Prize 2021?

WHO (Including COVAX & GAVI)

This global project, spearheaded by the World Health Organization and the Gavi “vaccine alliance” aims to "ensure rapid and equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines for all countries, regardless of income level" through manufacturing and supply assistance. The initiative says it is on track to deliver at least two billion doses by the end of 2021, including more than half (1.3 billion) to 92 lower-income economies.

Reporters With Borders

The media watchdog group is based in Paris, which fights for freedom of t he press, is considered by some experts as a likely choice, Henrik Urdal, director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, told Reuters."It resonates with the large debate about the importance of independent reporting and the fighting of fake news for democratic governance," he told the news agency.

Russian Dissident Alexei Navalny

Navalny has emerged as the leading opposition figure to Russian Vladimir Putin and was nearly killed in an attack involving a military-grade nerve agent last August. He returned to Russia after receiving treatment in Germany and was promptly arrested. Massive rallies and protests have sprung up around the nation with others jumping into his movement and protesting his arrest. He is seen as perhaps the greatest threat to date to Putin’s stranglehold on Russia.

Climate Activist Greta Thunberg

The 18-year-old Swedish environmentalist has been on the international stage for several years and was among the favorites to win the 2020 award but did not. Her forthright calls to world leaders and the masses to do more to tackle the threat climate change poses has won her a massive following.

Belarusian Dissident Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Belarus has one of the most oppressive governments in the word, and Svitlana Tsikhanouskaya has led the opposition to president Alexander Lukashenko. Last year she fled the country after what her followers said was a rigged presidential election. "That would be a prize that resonates worldwide and would also be seen as a general reaction to what we now see as a bit of an autocratic backsliding in many countries," Urdal told Reuters.

About the Author

Michael Kates

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Michael Kates is Managing Editor at Bookies.com. Previously, Mike was the Managing Editor at FanRag Sports and Associate Sports Editor at the Chicago Tribune.