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Bill Speros for Bookies.com

By Bill Speros | | 5 mins

Deebo Samuel Trade Odds: 49ers Favorites to Retain but Browns Lurking

Deebo Samuel Trade Odds: 49ers Favorites to Retain but Browns Lurking
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The NFL offseason has delivered a string of Lotto-sized contracts for the league’s top wide receivers.

Deebo Samuel wants his piece of this ever-growing pie.

Samuel made his trade request public in spring, then reiterated on Sunday during 49ers mandatory minicamp that it remains active. Samuel and his camp have voiced unhappiness with his contractual status in San Francisco.

Samuel, 26, helped the 49ers reach the NFC Championship Game as a wild-card team. Playing in the shadow of NFL WR Triple Crown winner Cooper Kupp of the Rams, Samuel rolled up 1,405 yards receiving, caught 8 TD passes and ran for 8 more scores.

Unlike Kupp, Samuel’s quarterbacks struggled throughout the season to find consistency and avoid injury. The 49ers put QB Jimmy Garoppolo and his $25 million salary on the trading block at the end of last season but have yet to get any takers.

QB Trey Lance made two starts for the 49ers while Garoppolo was hurt. Lance completed just 41 of 71 passes for 603 yards for 5 TDs and 2 picks.

Deebo Samuel Week 1 Team Odds

Where do these developments leave Samuel this upcoming season?

Here are our projected NFL odds for where Samuel will take his first snap of the 2022-23 NFL season. These odds are compiled using a Bookies.com analysis of the potential candidates and the latest news reports.

TeamOddsImplied Probability
San Francisco 49ers-11052.4%
Cleveland Browns+55015.4%
Indianapolis Colts+60014.3%
Carolina Panthers+80011.1%
New York Jets+10009.1%
Dallas Cowboys+17505.4%
The Field+62514.0%

Odds above are projected by Bookies.com and are not currently available at legal sportsbooks or betting apps.

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New Wide Receiver Contracts This Offseason

Samuel is in the final year of his rookie contract after being taken by the 49ers in the second round of the 2019 draft.

Here’s a look at some of the top deals hauled in by wide receivers this offseason, listed with their new team and average annual salary of their new deals:

Team WRSalary
Miami Dolphins Tyreek Hill$30 million
Las Vegas Raiders Davante Adams$28 million
Jacksonville JaguarsChristian Kirk$18 million
LA RamsAllen Robinson$15.5 million
KC Chiefs M. Valdes-Scantling $10 million
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Russell Gage$10 million
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Trading Partners For Deebo Samuel

The 49ers are now the NFL betting favorites on our market to retain Samuel even though he requested a trade and opted out of the team’s voluntary offseason activities.

According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter, the 49ers remain willing and eager to work out a deal to pay Samuel in line with what some of the others on the above list have received this offseason. It's likely he'll stay put.

But the 49ers are already shopping Garoppolo. Any deal for Samuel would have to deliver a spectacular haul in return. Perhaps a package including both players would allow the 49ers to reset around Lance and a stout defense?

The Browns are suddenly in need of a QB. Cleveland traded for and guaranteed QB Deshaun Watson $200 million. Given Watson’s continued legal problems and pending league disciplinary, there remains a real chance he won’t be available for several weeks this upcoming season, if not all of 2022.

Disgruntled QB Baker Mayfield and journeyman Jacoby Brissett are the options in Cleveland, and Mayfield has made it clear he wants out. Perhaps getting Garoppolo and Samuel in a package makes sense.


RELATED: Jimmy Garoppolo Next Team Odds


Samuel would also be a terrific fit in Indianapolis given its diverse offense and a move would solidify the Colts as a threat to win the AFC South, while putting them among the contenders to make a run to represent the AFC conference in Super Bowl 57.

Dallas could be a long-shot destination for Deebo, who added fuel to that fire when he 'liked' a tweet of himself mocked up in a Cowboys uniform earlier this offseason. However, for various reasons, including the cap gymnastics required, that remains unlikely.

There's also the real likliehood Samuel and the Niners find common ground and get a deal done. After all, as general manager John Lynch said earlier in June, "I'd be a fool to trade him." It must be a two-way street.

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson contributed to this report.

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.