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Jimmy Garoppolo Next Team Odds: Raiders Jump To Favorites

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 8 mins

Jimmy Garoppolo Next Team Odds: Raiders Jump To Favorites

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Jimmy Garoppolo went 38-17 as starting QB in his time with the San Francisco 49ers, leading the team to a Super Bowl berth and two NFC Championship Games in just two full seasons as the starter.

That doesn’t include the Niners’ NFC Championship berth this season; he led the team to a 7-3 record in relief of Trey Lance, only to suffer a season-ending broken foot that led to the rise of Brock Purdy.

Despite all his success, the 49ers have been nudging him out the door the past two seasons. Now he’s an unrestricted free agent, and team brass has indicated they don’t envision him coming back.

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has created Jimmy Garoppolo odds after examining the current NFL betting landscape, trends and front-office approaches of teams in need.

Where Will Jimmy Garoppolo Play Next?

Next TeamOddsImplied Probability
Las Vegas Raiders +250 ➜28.6%
New York Jets +325 ➜23.5%
Washington Commanders +400 ➜20.0%
Seattle Seahawks +500 ➜16.7%
Carolina Panthers +750 ➜11.8%
Houston Texans +1500 ➜6.3%
The Field +700 ➜12.5%

Odds above are projected and not currently available at legal sportsbooks or betting apps. This page will be updated should odds become available.

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Garoppolo is seeking a deal worth $25-30 million per year, according to some estimates. That alone eliminates several QB-needy teams, or at least makes it much more challenging for them.

The Las Vegas Raiders have parted ways with Derek Carr, leaving Jarrett Stidham as the top man on the depth chart. Coach Josh McDaniels has pressure to win now with this roster, especially after his inaugural season didn’t meet expectations.

RELATED: Derek Carr Next Team Odds

By now, we all know the New York Jets want a veteran QB, and owner Woody Johnson hasn’t played it cool, basically admitting he’ll pay top dollar for one, either in a trade or in free agency.

First thing's first: Aaron Rodgers must make his decision regarding 2023, then the Green Bay Packers must make theirs regarding Rodgers. Once those two dominos fall, the rest of the QB market will be ready to go. If the Raiders or Jets can't get Rodgers, Garoppolo could be next on the list. That especially goes for Vegas, because unlike New York, it won't be considering Carr as well.

The Seattle Seahawks could be the dark horse in the race. Seattle ranks seventh with over $30 million in cap space as of right now, and starter Geno Smith is a free agent. If Smith, 32, demands too much money or a longer term deal, Seattle could look in another direction, perhaps a familiar direction toward an NFC West rival.

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Seattle was reportedly very interested in Garoppolo last offseason when it didn’t know what it had in Smith or Drew Lock. The 49ers kept Jimmy G around in part because they didn’t want him to land with their NFC West rivals.

Carson Wentz is out after one regrettable season in Washington, and Taylor Heinicke is a free agent. Sam Howell, who played one game his rookie season, is atop the current depth chart. The Commanders were on the cusp of competing for a playoff berth last year; in that respect, Garoppolo could make a lot of sense for Washington.

One team with a huge need at QB, the money to spend, and a new head coach with a direct line to Jimmy G: the Houston Texans. They just hired 49ers defensive coordinator DeMeco Ryans to a six-year deal to be their head coach. They also have an estimated $37.1 million in available cap space, fifth-most among all teams. And they have a big need at QB. Davis Mills has ranked 26th and 29th out of 31 in QBR in his two seasons.

The Texans own the No. 2 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, however. Most signs point to them starting a rebuild with a QB at that slot. Garoppolo could still be a worthy bridge option.

After those teams, the picture gets a little murkier but there are other contenders. The Carolina Panthers need a starting QB as much as anyone, but also own the No. 9 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Their QB of the future could be there, if they want to go a younger route.

The Field includes other teams potentially on the market for a new starting QB but may not have the means to make it work. It includes the New Orleans Saints, who only have Jameis Winston under contract but are also in dire straits in terms of the salary cap; and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are in even worse cap shape but are right now riding with second-year QB Kyle Trask. It would take some creative maneuvers for either team to bring in an established winner. The Indianapolis Colts have the No. 4 overall pick and are widely expected to select their QB of the future in the draft.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been estabilshed as one of the nation's premier NFL and MLB handicappers, and his horse racing and PGA picks have produced major winners over the last 12 months.
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