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Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 8 mins

Jimmy Garoppolo Next Team Odds: Would Jerry Jones Trade For QB?

Jimmy Garoppolo Next Team Odds: Would Jerry Jones Trade For QB?
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Jimmy Garoppolo is 31-14 as a starting QB for the San Francisco 49ers. He’s only had two full seasons as a starter, helping guide the Niners to a Super Bowl berth in one, and the NFC Championship Game in the other.

And yet, the 49ers have made the decision to move on from the 30-year-old Garoppolo in favor of unproven No. 3 overall pick Trey Lance. The future is now under center in San Francisco. But it didn't go so well in Week 1; Lance's Niners were upset by the Bears 19-10.


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After an entire offseason of uncertainty and injury recovery, Garoppolo was cleared to practice and granted permission to seek a trade. The season has started and Garoppolo is still in the Bay Area, playing clipboard-holder to Lance. Jimmy G did sign a contract to keep him in San Fran for now, but that doesn't mean he remains there all year.

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has created Jimmy Garoppolo odds after examining the current NFL betting landscape, trends and front-office approaches of teams in need.

Where Will Jimmy Garoppolo Play Next?

Next TeamOddsImplied Probability
San Francisco 49ers +250 28.6%
Cleveland Browns +375 21.1%
Dallas Cowboys +400 20.0%
Carolina Panthers +800 11.1%
Houston Texans +1000 9.1%
No Team +1000 9.1%
The Field +450 18.2%

Odds above are projected and not currently available at legal sportsbooks or betting apps. This page will be updated should odds become available.

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Garoppolo doesn’t have eye-popping stats, but he’s a proven winner. Teams that feel they’re “one QB away” from being a contender can look right at the guy on the trade block with a .689 win percentage.

That win rate, by the way, ranks only behind Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady and Lamar Jackson among active QBs. On the road, his win rate is No. 2 in NFL history behind Mahomes.

But he’s also in the final year of a restructured deal with a cap number of nearly $14 million. Right now, only two teams can afford to take on such a contract. One is the Las Vegas Raiders, who aren't in the market. The other is the Cleveland Browns, who this offseason laid down the biggest contract in history for a QB who will miss the first 11 games of the season.

Journeymen Jacoby Brissett helped guide the Browns to a win over the Panthers in Week 1, but he completed only 52% of his passes for 147 yards. A proven winner and game manager like Garoppolo on a roster built to win now could be worth it if Brissett can't get it done in the next three weeks, against struggling defenses of the Jets, Steelers and Falcons. The schedule gets much tougher after that.

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No team has a bigger question mark at QB right now than the Dallas Cowboys, who are rolling into Week 2 and beyond without Dak Prescott (thumb). The keys to the Cowboys offense are now in the hands of Cooper Rush, who was 7-for-13 for 64 yards in Prescott's absense vs. the Buccaneers on Sunday night. If things go south at QB, adding Jimmy G could be the difference in a team built to win now. Dallas has the third-most available cap space, and could make a deal work.

The Houston Texans have a Garoppolo connection – GM Nick Caserio was director of player personnel for the Patriots when they drafted Jimmy G in 2014. Their starter, Davis Mills, had a nice rookie year in 2021 but it’s unknown how “all-in” Houston is on their third-round draft pick. Houston isn’t in any position to compete this year, however.

The New York Jets gave the offense last year to rookie Zach Wilson, but injuries last year and this year have them turning to veteran Joe Flacco more than they've wanted. Flacco passed for 307 yards but on 59 attempts in a Week 1 loss. If everything else is working and Wilson's durability continues to be an issue, Garoppolo might be the next best option.

Of course, it’s possible Garoppolo remains in San Francisco as insurance should Lance get injured or be unproductive. A no-trade clause put into the deal ensures Jimmy G won't end up somewhere he doesn't want to go.

The Field has a few wild cards who could have interest if a longer-term deal could be created. The Atlanta Falcons (Marcus Mariota), Carolina Panthers (Baker Mayfield/Sam Darnold) and New York Giants (Daniel Jones) may have QB questions they feel are unanswered.

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been estabilshed as one of the nation's premier NFL and MLB handicappers, and his horse racing and PGA picks have produced major winners over the last 12 months.