Los Angeles Chargers At Las Vegas Raiders Picks & SNF Betting Predictions
The final game of the 2021 NFL season determines the final spot in the NFL Playoffs, as Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders host Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday Night Football. The winner is in the AFC Playoffs, the loser is very likely out.
It’s the biggest game in Vegas football history. Betting sites and betting apps have Los Angeles as a three-point favorite, with an Over/Under of 49.5 points in the latest Chargers vs. Raiders odds. When it comes to NFL spreads in this AFC West clash, the line has moved in the Chargers’ direction from the opening line of -2.5.
Take a look at Raiders vs Chargers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
Chargers vs. Raiders Key Matchups
Josh Jacobs vs. Chargers Run Defense: Los Angeles ranks 30th vs. the run. The Raiders are 5-2 when their lead back manages over 50 yards and 2-5 when he doesn’t.
Darren Waller vs. Chargers LBs: Los Angeles is the worst team in the league at covering tight ends. Waller has just two TDs in 10 games but one was vs. L.A.
Austin Ekeler vs. Raiders Defense: Ekeler ranks No. 2 among all RBs in receptions and L.A. is 7-2 when he scores a rushing TD. His 18 total scores is second only to Jonathan Taylor. Vegas has allowed 21 TDs to RBs, third-most behind the Jets and Lions.
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5 Key Chargers vs. Raiders Stats
3.9: Receptions per game allowed to RBs this season by the Chargers, the fourth-lowest total in the NFL. Their 27.9 ypg allowed is second-lowest. Josh Jacobs has at least four receptions in eight games, but Vegas is 1-7 in those games.
66.6: Penalty yards for the Raiders, the most in the NFL. The 68.6 yards at home is even higher. Vegas has been in the top 10 of most penalty yards each of the last seven seasons and top two in three of the last six years.
102.5: The QB Rating for Derek Carr in his last four full games vs. the Chargers. The Raiders won three of them – the lone exception was in Week 4 of this season.
110.8: The QB Rating for Justin Herbert in his three career starts vs. the Raiders. He has seven TDs to zero INTs and over 300 yards in two of three.
1,098: Yards allowed to tight ends by the Chargers, the most of any team. Raiders TE Darren Waller is expected back after a five-week absence.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Weather Forecast
There’s rarely a reason to glance at the Las Vegas weather forecast prior to the start of a Raiders game at Allegiant Stadium. For one, it rarely ever rains in the desert. For two, Allegiant’s field is indoors and climate controlled. That said, it will be a cool one on Sunday night. Daytime highs are around 60 degrees with lows in the evening dipping below 40. Yes, it does get a little chilly in Vegas in January.
Chargers vs. Raiders Player Props
Austin Ekeler, Score TD
Ekeler has at least one TD in 12 of the Chargers’ 16 games, including each of the last seven games. The Raiders have allowed the third-most TDs to running backs all season.
Darren Waller Over 50 Yards + TD
Odds: +162 at FOX Bet
Waller hasn’t played in five games, but he’s an athletic talent and he’s going against the single-worst TE defense in the NFL. Getting into the end zone will be the tricky part, but these odds are favorable.
Josh Jacobs, Over 55.5 Rushing Yards
Odds: -125 at PointsBet
The Chargers’ run defense ranks 30th and the Raiders are more successful the more Jacobs touches the ball. He’s gained at least 65 yards in three of his four career starts vs. L.A.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Moneyline
The Chargers are -160 favorites on the moneyline, meaning it would take a $160 wager to win $100 in profit. Conversely, underdog Las Vegas is +140 (a $100 bet means $140 in profit). The Chargers were -2.5 earlier in the week and handled the Raiders 28-14 earlier this season, so money flowing into most sportsbooks has been on the Chargers.
But there is reason to believe Vegas is in the better spot here. The Raiders have won three straight and are at home, though its performance at Allegiant has been mixed (4-4 record). Both teams like to pass first – the Raiders’ pass defense ranks sixth compared to the Chargers’ 12th-ranked unit. Vegas’ run defense is also better. To those who think Justin Herbert is more prolific than Derek Carr, consider he’s averaged 0.8 more yards per game. This moneyline price on the home underdog is worth playing.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Point Spread
The Chargers are at -3, from -2.5 as money came in right from the start. We’re not wasting any time snagging Las Vegas before it falls back to +2.5.
The Raiders are the hotter team, they have the better defense, and they’re at home. Herbert is better than Carr, but each ranks in the top 10 in QBR. The underdog has covered in 18 of the last 25 matchups between these rivals. Those looking for Sunday night NFL betting action should jump on Las Vegas and take the points.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Totals
The Over/Under for Sunday Night Football sits at 49.5, easily the highest total of the week. Combined, these teams average 48.8 ppg scoring. The last three weeks, it’s 49.0. They’re allowing 51.9 combined, so we can see where this 49.5 O/U came from. But Vegas’ defense has been much improved lately. Only one of the last five opponents has scored over 20 (the Chiefs) and its strength – pass defense – meshes well with pass-first L.A.
The same goes for the Chargers, who have held more offenses to under 200 pass yards than over 250. The Under might be the best play if you’re looking to add a Sunday night total to your NFL picks lineup for Week 18, but we prefer other avenues.