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New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles Picks & Betting Predictions

Eytan Shander for Bookies.com

Eytan Shander  | 8 mins

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles Picks & Betting Predictions

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We’ve hit the point in the season where hopes of making the playoffs have expanded due to the third wild card. The Eagles and Saints best represent this – as we see one of the tightest NFL spreads on the board.

Philadelphia comes off a dominating performance over Denver – running the ball effectively on one of the league’s best defenses. New Orleans presents an even bigger challenge on defense, but it’s their health on offense that’s in question. The Eagles across the board at sportsbooks aren’t even getting the full three points for home-field advantage.

Jalen Hurts and Trevor Siemian will start at quarterback. One trend that may stand out for any NFL betting fans is the Eagles haven’t won at home this year. Some of that is the talent they’ve played. That is also combined with coming off big road wins and failing to respond the following week.

Take a look at Saints vs. Eagles odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Saints vs Eagles Key Matchups

Run O vs Run D: The Eagles have one of the best run offenses – with Jalen Hurts leading the way. The Saints have one of the best run defenses in the NFL. Something must give.

Siemian vs Hurts: While these two will never compete directly against each other on the field, there is a more subtle battle between the QBs - mistakes. The QB who makes the least amount of mistakes – not just turnovers – wins.

Alvin Kamara vs Eagles LB: Assuming Kamara is out there this week, he presents one of the most difficult matchups for any defense – specifically the LB group.

RELATED: NFL Week 11 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games

Saints vs Eagles Key Stats

4: If you’re looking for a stat to justify making your NFL picks, look no further than the Eagles losing all four home games this year.

1: The Saints boast the league’s No. 1 defense against the run, this could mean a long day for the Eagles offense getting stuffed.

144.3: The Eagles are good for this amount per game on the ground, that’s good enough for third in the NFL.

30/31: The Eagles are 30th in the NFL in passing the football, something they’ve struggled with all season. The Saints are 31st, as they continue to start a backup in Siemian.

26th: The Saints have an amazing run defense but their pass defense is ranked 26th in the NFL.

11th: While the Eagles may struggle to throw the football, they have little issue stopping it in the air. The Birds are 11th overall in pass defense heading into this game.

RELATED: NFL Week 11 Picks & Best Bets For Every Game

Saints vs Eagles Player Props

Jalen Hurts, Over 47.5 Rush Yards

Odds: -110 at DraftKings

Hurts leads the team in rushing but it’s far from just designed runs. The Saints do a great job of getting pressure up front to limit running backs, but Hurts will also be on the move while passing.

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DeVonta Smith, Over 23.5 Yards Longest Reception

Odds: -110 at DraftKings

DeVonta Smith is showing signs of becoming a WR1 in this league. The Eagles are finding ways to send him deeper downfield, and he has the speed to break one.

DeVonta Smith, Over 4.5 Receptions

Odds: +110 at BetMGM

Smith is also taking over as the top targeted WR by Hurts. We know the Saints will do everything they can to stop the run, so expect quick passes – and some deeper ones – to Smith all day. This number at plus-money is tough to ignore.

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Saints vs Eagles Moneyline

There is some value on the Saints at most betting sites with NO getting plus money. The play here would be taking advantage of two things that both aren’t helping the Eagles.

The Saints are the best-equipped team to slow down the Eagles rushing attack, and the Eagles are a proven letdown at home. Take the Saints at +115 on DraftKings now, as this spread will drop back to 1, possibly being a pick'em by kickoff.

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Saints vs Eagles Spread

The line was sitting at one point in PA for most of the early week, but the Saints picked up another point on Wednesday. It’s a tight line but take the points, especially because 36 hours ago you were only stuck with one.

The Saints won’t ask Siemian to be so conservative like Denver did with Teddy Bridgewater. The Saints will take some shots down the field regardless of how many times the Eagles run on them. The Saints come off a narrow loss to the Titans, and now face the perfect bounce-back opportunity. Go with Saints +2 (-110) at FanDuel.

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Saints vs Eagles Total

I’m going to let this drop another point and jump in on the over. People will look at this super low total and combine it with teams that prefer to run rather than pass. Yes, the clock moves when each of these teams controls the ground, but the passing game will show up much sooner than people think.

The Saints will stop the Eagles run game, and the Eagles will be forced to throw. New Orleans won’t be up by much in this game, and will have to make some throws in order to move the ball.

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About the Author

Eytan Shander for Bookies.com
Eytan Shander
Eytan Shander writes about the NFL, NBA and more for Bookies.com. A 15-year radio veteran, he has worked nationally for Mad Dog Radio & NBC Sports Radio.