New York Jets At Buffalo Bills Free Picks & Betting Predictions

The AFC East title is up for grabs as the Buffalo Bills play host to the New York Jets on Sunday. Well, it is for the Bills. As far as the Jets are concerned, they are once again left playing out the string.

In NFL betting it’s the Bills who are being set as the 16.5-point home favorites in the NFL picks. And with online sports betting in New York live as of Saturday, Jets and Bills fans can legally bet on their teams this weekend. New sign-ups at Caesars Sportsbook New York can score up to $3,300 in free bets.

Take a look at Bills vs Jets odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Jets vs Bills Key Matchups

Josh Allen vs Jets Defense: The Jets are last in the NFL in total defense (6,336 yards allowed) and scoring defense (29.8 points per game against). Bills QB Allen has passed for just five TDs and run for three scores in six career games against the Jets.

Close Calls Don’t Count: New York has lost five one-possession games this season. The Bills are 0-4 during the 2021-22 campaign in one-possession outcomes.

Bills Finding A Run Game: Devin Singletary rushed for 110 yards in Sunday’s win over Atlanta. Allen rambled for 81 yards on the ground. As the playoffs near, Buffalo has finally found a run attack. The Jets are 30th in the NFL at stopping the run, allowing 136.3 yards per game on the ground.

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5 Key Jets vs Bills Stats

1-4-1: Buffalo’s against the spread record this season in games following a straight-up victory.

52: Distance in yards of the TD run last week by Zach Wilson, the longest ever by a Jets QB.

10+: Margin of victory for each of Buffalo’s last 17 games. That’s the longest such streak in the NFL since 1950.

3: TDs in his last three games for Jets WR Braxton Berrios. He scored once during the first 13 games of the season.

18-2: Bills’ record when QB Josh Allen both runs and passes for a TD in the game.

Jets vs Bills Weather Forecast

It’s going to be exactly the weather forecast you’d expect from Buffalo in January. The temperature is projected to be 28 degrees with cloudy skies and 12 mph wind conditions. While that might be intimidating to most teams, it isn’t going to bother the Jets. They’ve seen their fair share of wintry conditions at MetLife Stadium.

Jets vs Bills Player Props

Bills QB Josh Allen under 248.5 yards passing yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Allen doesn’t figure to play the entire game unless absolutely necessary. If Buffalo grabs a big early lead, look for him to take a seat. New Yorkers can grab this prop at DraftKings New York, where new sign-ups can get a host of great bonuses.

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Jets QB Zach Wilson over 186.5 passing yards

Odds: -114 at FanDuel

Wilson figures to air it out, especially if the Jets, as expected, get behind quickly on the scoreboard. Grab this prop at FanDuel New York, where new users can score a risk-free first bet worth up to $1,000.

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Bills TE Dawson Knox over 30.5 receiving yards

Odds: -125 at FOX Bet

After catching just two balls for 11 yards over the past two games, Knox is overdue for a breakout week. He’s averaging 32.1 yards per game this season.

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Jets vs Bills Moneyline

For the second year in a row and the fifth time in six seasons, the Jets will finish the campaign with double digits in the loss column. They haven’t enjoyed a winning year since going 11-5 in 2010. The Bills whipped the Jets 45-17 on Nov. 14 for their third successive victory over the Jets.

Buffalo has won six of the last nine games against the Jets. However, it’s the Jets who are 2-0 against Buffalo in previous meetings during the month of January. They’ve won two of three and three of five at Buffalo. At -1350, though, there’s no point in betting Buffalo at sportsbooks in the moneyline.

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Jets vs Bills Point Spread

The Jets are a solid 4-2 against the spread in their last six games and 3-0 in the last three games. However, they are also 1-6 ATS in the last seven games against AFC East opponents. The Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven contests against AFC East squads. Buffalo has beaten the Jets by an average of 16 points during their three-game win streak. Oddly enough at betting apps the Bills are being listed as the 16.5-point choice in NFL spreads for this game.

This will be the seventh time this season Buffalo is a double-digit point favorite. The Bills are 3-1-2 ATS so far in this scenario. Based on recent play, take the Jets and the points.

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Jets vs Bills Totals

At NFL betting sites the total for this game is set at 43.5. That seems somewhat low, considering that the Bills are the NFL’s No. 3-rated scoring offense, averaging 28.5 points per game. However, the Jets are just 25th in the league in scoring offense (18.8 ppg).

When it comes to the total, though, the Jets and Minnesota share the NFL lead with 10 overs. In the case of the Jets, that has a lot to do with their NFL-worst scoring defense allowing 29.8 ppg. Buffalo isn’t far behind, going 8-8 on the total. Take the over on this game.

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