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Philadelphia Eagles At Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks & NFL Wild Card Predictions

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 8 mins

Philadelphia Eagles At Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks & NFL Wild Card Predictions

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Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers begin their defense of their Super Bowl championship by hosting Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday in the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs. The Buccaneers earned the No. 2 seed in the NFC with a 13-4 record and have won three straight despite losing several key offensive weapons. The Eagles won four straight to clinch a playoff berth before losing a quasi-meaningless game to the Cowboys in Week 18.

The Bucs beat the Eagles 28-22 in Week 6, though Tampa led 28-7 at one stage and outgained Philly nearly 2-to-1 in yards. Betting sites and most betting apps have Tampa Bay at -8 in the latest Eagles vs. Buccaneers NFL spreads range, notably down from the -9.5 opening line.

Take a look at Eagles vs Buccaneers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Key Matchups

Leonard Fournette vs. Eagles LBs: The Buccaneers are 7-0 when Fournette rushes for over 50 yards and 3-4 when he didn’t (he missed three games). The Eagles have allowed under 100 rush yards in five of the last six games.

Rob Gronkowski vs. Eagles Pass D: Gronk has seven receptions in each of the last two games, for 115 and 137 yards. No team has allowed more receptions or TDs to tight ends than Philadelphia.

Jalen Hurts vs. Buccaneers Defense: Hurts had one of his worst games this season vs. Tampa Bay. The Bucs rank 22nd vs. the pass overall.

5 Key Eagles vs. Buccaneers Stats

.000: Philadelphia’s win percentage against teams with a winning record this season. The Eagles are 0-6 in those games.

2: Combined turnovers by the Eagles and the Buccaneers in their last three games combined.

115: Pass yards by Jalen Hurts in the Week 6 matchup with the Buccaneers, a 28-22 Tampa win (on 12-of-26 passing). That was his second-lowest production of the year, ahead of only a 103-yard effort in a 44-6 win over the Broncos, in which he didn’t need to throw.

399: Rush yards allowed from quarterbacks by Tampa Bay, the third-most in the league. Hurts leads all QBs in rushing yards this season.

1,083: The rush yards allowed by the Buccaneers – the lowest mark in the NFL. Their seven TDs allowed was just one off the pace.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Weather Forecast

Sunday afternoon in Tampa will be reasonable, with clear skies but a high temperature a low-for-Florida 61 degrees. The whole rest of the week should be in the 70s. Those coming down from Philly won’t complain, with snow and below-freeing temps back home on Sunday.

Eagles vs Buccaneers Player Props

Rob Gronkowski, Over 55.5 Receiving Yards

Odds: -115 at DraftKings ➜

Gronk has seven receptions in each of the last two games, and 115 and 137 yards. Tom Brady is leaning on him with Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown out of the lineup. Expect nothing less vs. the NFL’s worst TE-defending team.


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Jalen Hurts, Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -105 at Caesars Sportsbook ➜

The Buccaneers shut down Hurts throwing in their meeting and rank No. 1 in rush yards allowed to RBs. But they’ve struggled slowing mobile QBs from going off, and Hurts is the best at it. He’s been over this mark in half of Philly’s games.


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Tom Brady, Over 0.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: -114 at FanDuel ➜

Brady hasn’t attempted a rush the last two games, but has plus yardage in 12 games. He rushed four times vs. Philly in Week 6 – for one yard. At some point he’ll sneak for one.


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Eagles vs. Buccaneers Moneyline

When it comes to NFL betting on the moneyline, favored Tampa Bay is a hefty -400 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is set at +300. The Bucs won the regular season meeting by just six points.

Could this be a different scenario? The Eagles have mastered their offense in the second half of the season. The Bucs are battling without Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown and Leonard Fournette. They’re battling quite well, scoring 32, 28 and 41 points in their last three games albeit against lesser competition. But the Eagles are winless against teams with winning records – a major problem in the playoffs, especially against a team that has the matchups. If we’re going on a moneyline side, it’s definitely with Tampa Bay.


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Eagles vs. Buccaneers Point Spread

The Buccaneers are favored by a tough eight points in a line that pushes to -8.5 at some online sportsbooks. The Eagles’ playoff history is impressive, covering in five of the last six and 10 of 11 when the underdog.

This season, however, they’re 0-5 straight up and 1-4 ATS when getting three or more points, losing by an average of 13.8 ppg. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, with five of those victories by 20 or more points. Philly’s penchant for struggling vs. strong competition pushes us to laying the points with the host Buccaneers.

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Eagles vs. Buccaneers Totals

NFL sportsbooks have posted an Over/Under of 49 points for this Sunday afternoon – that number has dipped from the opening line of 49.5.

It might dip more, and for good reason. Philadelphia’s defense ranks No. 9 vs. both the run and the pass, the only NFL team in the top 10 in both. Tampa Bay has struggled vs. the pass but ranks No. 3 vs. the run. Against a run-first team like the Eagles, that’s the strength you want to have. Recent trends favor the Under here, too, including its 5-1 mark in Tampa’s last six January games, and 5-1 in Philly’s last six in this month. That makes the Under worth considering as part of your NFL picks package for Wild Card Weekend.


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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been estabilshed as one of the nation's premier NFL and MLB handicappers, and his horse racing and PGA picks have produced major winners over the last 12 months.
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