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Washington Commanders NFL Draft Odds: Draft Playmakers or Trade Up?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

Washington Commanders NFL Draft Odds: Draft Playmakers or Trade Up?

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After three years of mediocre results for the Washington Commanders under coach Ron Rivera, the team appears poised to make a push in a competitive NFC East. 

The defense ranked in the Top 7 in both yards and points allowed, a big improvement from 2021. But the overall record improved just a scant, from 7-10 to 8-8-1, thanks to an offense that finished bottom 10 in scoring for the fifth year in a row. 

Right now, the QB atop the depth chart is Sam Howell, a second-year pro who missed his entire rookie season due to injury. The Commanders added Jacoby Brissett in free agency to offer a veteran influence. 

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league and the NFL Draft to create his hypothetical NFL futures odds on who gets selected 16th by the Washington Commanders in the 2023 NFL Draft. 

Washington Commanders 1st Round Pick Odds (No. 16)

PlayerCollegeOddsImplied Probability
Joey Porter Jr., CBPenn State+37521.1%
Deonte Banks, CBMaryland+40020.0%
Michael Mayer, TENotre Dame+60014.3%
Dalton Kincaid, TEUtah+75011.8%
Darnell Wright, TTennessee+75011.8%
Anton Harrison, TOklahoma+10009.1%
Devon Witherspoon, CBIllinois+10009.1%
Trade Pick/Acquire QBN/A+60014.3%
The FieldN/A+40020.0%

Odds are projected and do not reflect any odds that may be available at legal betting sites or betting apps.

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Who Will The Commanders Take In 2023 NFL Draft?

While the Commanders have made free agency moves, most notably re-signing DT Daron Payne to the second-biggest contract for a D-lineman, most of the other moves were used to shore up depth. 

Offensive line was the biggest need until hopeful starters Nick Gates (G) and Andrew Wylie (T) were added in free agency. Florida guard O’Cyrus Torrence should be available at No. 16. He’s far and away the top interior line prospect in the 2023 NFL Draft. Productive Georgia tackle Broderick Jones is also in the mix, as is Darnell Wright of Tennessee. 

With Chiefs offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now in Washington, the new OC may be interested in finding a premier tight end similar to the one he had in KC (we said similar, not a clone of Travis Kelce). The draft is a good spot to get a new top-tier TE. 

Dalton Kincaid of Utah and Michael Mayer of Notre Dame are considered future Pro Bowlers at the position. Each could go Top 15, but there is a real chance at least one of them will be on the board for Washington. 

Joey Porter Jr. Odds To join The Commanders

Ironically, if there is considered a top need for the Commanders, it resides on the defense - cornerback to be specific. The Commanders signed Cameron Dantzler after three seasons and 26 starts with the Vikings, but this class is rife with legit late-first-round CBs. 

Devon Witherspoon of Illinois, Deonte Banks of Maryland and Joey Porter Jr. of Penn State could all be available. Porter is the least likely of the bunch to be around, but there is a real shot he remains on the table at No. 16. Any of the three grade out similarly and would be an upgrade. Porter is the biggest, Banks the most athletic. 

Quarterback remains the top need. Howell is an unknown and Brissett is here to offer wisdom, not lead a team to new heights. Rumors have the Commanders in the mix to move up to No. 3 overall in a blockbuster trade with the Arizona Cardinals. If that happens, Anthony Richardson of Florida or Will Levis of Kentucky might be under center in Washington. 

The Field remains a strong possibility, given the unpredictable nature of the NFL Draft. Linebacker is a semi-need for the Commanders. While not a deep top of the draft for the position, Drew Sanders of Arkansas or Jack Campbell of Iowa could be enticing at No. 16. Other tight ends such as Darnell Washington of Georgia are also in the mix. 

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Complete List Of Commanders 2023 NFL Draft Picks

  • Round 1 (Pick 16)
  • Round 2: (Pick 47)
  • Round 3: (Pick 97)
  • Round 4: (Pick 118)
  • Round 5: (Pick 150)
  • Round 6: (Pick 193)
  • Round 6 (Pick 215, compensatory)
  • Round 7: (Pick 233)

About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.