Defending champion Novak Djokovic improved his odds to win the 2022 French Open after he retained his World No.1 ranking and won the ATP 1000 Masters title in Rome last week. On the heels of that timely victory, his first title of the 2022 ATP season, the Serbian leapfrogged ahead of 13-time French Open champion Rafael Nadal on the tennis odds board, replacing his rival as the short-odds-on favorite in French Open tennis futures markets. 

However, the Serbian star isn’t alone at the top of this market. Rising teen sensation, Carlos Alcaraz, has arisen (this past week) as the joint top favorite with Djokovic at several sports betting sites. 

The 19-year-old Spaniard has seen his odds improve dramatically following his meteoric rise into the Top 10. He has picked up four ATP titles (two Masters), more than any other player on the  ATP Tour, and he became the first player in history to beat both Nadal and Djokovic in the same clay-court tournament this year (Madrid). 

Alcaraz is definitely the future of tennis, the heir apparent to the Big Three once they hang up their racquets respectively. But he’s also very much the player of the moment. The question is whether he can live up to the hype and buzz at the Grand Slam level, where the  Big Three has dominated over the last two decades.

French Open Odds - Top 25 

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Novak Djokovic

Odds: +220 at Bet365

Djokovic returned to full-time action at the start of the European clay-court swing last month, just in time to get his game warmed up for the 2022 French Open. Djokovic is not only attempting to defend his Parisienne title over the next fortnight, but he’s also seeking to match his long-time rival, Rafael Nadal, on 21-grand slam title victories.

The Serbian’s overall clay-court run, capped by a title in Rome, elevated him to the top of the tennis betting markets. His game couldn’t have peaked at a better time. However, the French Open draw wasn’t kind to the World No.1 as he falls into the same quarter as Nadal and the same half as Alcaraz. This means that he’s on a collision course with both Spaniards before the final. 

Carlos Alcaraz

Odds: +225 at Caesars  

Although Alcaraz emerges as the joint favorite at +220 with Djokovic at bet365, other sportsbooks such as Caesar’s and Pointsbet have the teenager at a slightly higher price of +225. 

Alcaraz’s success this season has propelled him to the forefront of this grand slam betting market, even though he’s yet to win a title of such magnitude. He leads the ATP with four titles and wins over both Nadal and Djokovic in Madrid, on the way to the title (d. Zverev) underscore his odds.  In fact, Alcaraz has wins over every single player that’s tipped as a viable contender to win the 2022 French Open, including Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas. He is 10-1 on clay t his season, the lone hiccup coming against Sebastian Korda in Monte-Carlo.

Rafael Nadal

Odds:  +440 at FanDuel

Nadal has seen his odds drift from +120 (at the start of the clay-court swing) to a high of +440 (at FanDuel) this week following the draw reveals. Question marks hang over the 13-time French Open champion as he comes into this year’s French Open with very few clay-court matches under his belt. He missed the first month due to an injury (rib). He lost to Alcaraz in the quarterfinals of Madrid and then to Denis Shapovalov in the R16 in Rome. He also seemed to pick up a foot injury. 

More than anything else, falling into the same quarter as Djokovic appears to have impacted the veteran Spaniard’s odds the most. Djokovic has been Nadal’s kryptonite at the grand slam stage in recent years, including last year when he lost to Djokovic in the semis 6-3, 3-6, 6-7, 2-6. 

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Stefanos Tsistipas

Odds:  +500 at FanDuel

Tsitsipas has been one of the most consistent players on the red dirt over the last two seasons and yet he’s being slightly overlooked by the oddsmakers. Tsitsipas was a runner-up to Djokovic at the French Open last year. He was also a runner-up to the Serbian last week in Rome. Earlier in the clay-court swing, the Greek won his second straight Monte-Carlo Masters title, reached the quarterfinals in Barcelona (l. to Alcaraz) and the semis of Madrid (l. to Zverev). The one advantage Tsistipas has at this year’s French Open is the fact that he falls into the second half of the draw, thereby avoiding Djokovic, Alcaraz and Nadal in the earlier rounds. He can only meet one of these in the final. 

Alexander Zverev

Odds: +2800 at DraftKings

Zverev has had a solid clay-court swing but he’s fallen short of the mark in the latter stages of tournaments. As such, Zverev goes into the French Open as a bit of a longshot tennis pick. That said, falling into the same quarter as Alcaraz has prompted Zverev’s odds to drift further. Zverev barely registered a whimper in his loss to the Spaniard in the Madrid Open final.

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Casper  Ruud

Odds: +2800 at Pointsbet

Ruud is a consistent competitor and a player to spot in Paris over the next fortnight. He finished runner-up to Alcaraz in Miami earlier this year and reached the semis of Rome last week. The Norwegian is competing in Geneva this week where he is poised to face Joao Sousa in the final. As per the oddsmakers, Ruud is a bit of a longshot bet at +2800 to win the French Open, but given the fact that he falls into the second half of the draw, he’s a tempting bet to consider nonetheless. He could be a value play in markets such as to reach the quarters, semis or final.

Holger Rune

Odds: +20000 at Bet365

Holger Rune is one of the new kids on the block. The Dane is a promising young talent that could shake things up in Paris next week. He picked up a title in Germany a few weeks ago, albeit on default. This week, he reached the semis in Lyon. He’s the quintessential longshot bet to win the French Open, but as he falls into the second half of the draw, he could enjoy a deep run. 

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