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French Open Day 12: Women's Semifinals Picks & Predictions

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com

Isla Knightley  | 5 mins

French Open Day 12: Women's Semifinals Picks & Predictions

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The women’s semifinal is upon us! From 128 hopeful ladies that entered the main draw over a fortnight ago, we are down to the final four with defending champion Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka headlining the day’s tennis picks.

As beacons of the women’s game, Swiatek and Sabalenka were always projected to reach this stage of the tournament if not set up a final showdown. 

And they are one win away from realizing those expectations unless, the unexpected happens where one (or both) of the surprising semi-finalists, Beatriz Haddad Maia and Karolina Muchova, respectively, delivers an upset. 

As ever, we will be bringing you daily predictions and picks from Roland-Garros here at Bookies.com. So without further ado, let’s take a deep dive into Thursday’s women’s semi-final day and spot the best French Open Day 12 predictions, complete with tennis odds from the most trusted betting apps

French Open Women's Semifinals Best Bets

MatchPickOdds
Karolina Muchova vs Aryna SabalenkaMuchova +260 at BetMGM
Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Iga SwiatekOver 17.5 -108 at FanDuel

Karolina Muchova vs Aryna Sabalenka

World No. 2 Aryna Sabalenka reeled off five victories without dropping a set to reach the final four at Roland-Garros for the first time in her career. Thus continues the stellar 2023 season of the Belarussian, who’s hoping to win a second straight grand slam title after winning the Australian Open in January.

Karolina Muchova is one of the tournament’s surprise packages, seemingly coming out of nowhere to reach the final four. But it’s not her first voyage into a major semi-final. It’s her second career major semi-final appearance after reaching the penultimate round of the 2021 Australian Open. 

For the last couple of years, the Czech was held back by a slew of injuries that prevented her from building on that previous success or realizing her true potential.  

Muchova’s resurgence has been a long time coming. Now, finally, as she’s fit and injury-free, she’s exactly where she should be – contending. 

Granted, she’ll need the match of her life to beat Sabalenka in order to book her place in the Roland-Garros final. The Belarussian hasn’t put a foot wrong on the court, underscoring her credentials as a legitimate title contender. 

That said, Muchova should fancy her chances, nonetheless. Sabalenka might have won their only previous meeting 7-5, 7-6 (4) but she held her own in a match that could have gone either way. Expect Muchova to throw the kitchen sink at give Sabalenka her first major test, if not pull off the upset altogether.

French Open Best Bet: Muchova

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Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek’s title defense campaign couldn’t have gone more smoothly had she scripted it herself. She breezed through the first three rounds, handing out bagels to opponents that simply had no answer and ran out of ideas against her. 

Then, in the R16, Lesia Tsurenko gave her a free pass, tapping out due to a viral infection. Though the writing was on the wall as she was down 1-5 to Swiatek in the blink of an eye.

Swiatek’s first real test (on paper) came in the quarterfinals against Coco Gauff. However, the World No. 1 made light work of the American teenager in a routine 6-4, 6-2 victory.

It’s been a fortnight of firsts for Beatriz Haddad Maia, whose previous best at a Grand Slam was a second-round appearance. And she’s been made to work extremely hard for it, overcoming her last four opponents in three sets, including epic come-from-behind wins over Sara Sorribes Tormo in the R16 (a match that lasted almost four hours) and then seventh seed Ons Jabeur in the quarterfinals. 

You could say Haddad Maia is the quintessential Cinderella of Roland-Garros this year. But will this Cinderella get to go to the ball? 

It doesn’t get tougher than facing Swiatek on her beloved surface, one that she’s dominated ruthlessly in recent years. Add to that the fact that the Brazilian has clocked more hours than any of the semi-finalists, one has to consider fatigue will be a factor that could go against her as well.

That said, Haddad Maia is a fighter. If her previous matches at Roland-Garros have shown anything, it’s that she’s a tough competitor in her own right and she’ll battle until the last ball. 

French Open Best Bet: Over 17.5

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About the Author

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com
Isla Knightley
Isla, a sports journalist and betting expert, covers several sports, including the NFL, as well politics. She joined Bookies.com in 2021 after contributing to other betting sites.