Tevin Farmer-Guillaume Frenois Predictions, Odds & Best Bet
Forget about those early losses, Tevin Farmer is a way better fighter than he might appear on paper. Farmer, 28, from Philadelphia, is old-school tough, an active 130-pound menace who is as talented as he is skilled.
It’s no wonder the IBF junior lightweight titleholder is such a big favorite over Guillaume Frenois this weekend. According to boxing’s best bookmakers, such as 888Sport in New Jersey, Farmer is -1667 to defeat Frenois at +850 on the three-way moneyline in a bout that will be Farmer’s fourth straight title defense.
With little value in the straight win bet, boxing betting fans should grab Farmer to win on points at -240 with 888Sport.
Farmer-Frenois Betting Analysis
Farmer is a bit of a unicorn in that he got knocked out in his first professional fight, went just 7-4-1 in his first dozen fights and still managed to secure a legitimate world title in his weight class.
Even more amazing is that Farmer isn’t just a one-trick pony who just happened to get put in the right fight against the right world champion. There have been plenty of fighters to come along that way, people who became unlikely world champions by circumstance. Farmer, though, has the look of possibly being something more.
A crafty boxer, Farmer one of the very best 130-pounders in the world. He’s ranked No. 3 at the weight by Ring Magazine and some people think he might someday soon be worthy of pound-for-pound list inclusion.
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Coming off a unanimous decision win over Jono Carroll, Farmer now takes on veteran Frenois who is coming off a draw against the same fighter. The 35-year-old from France isn’t really one of the elite junior lightweights, but he’s no pushover either.
In fact, there were many people sitting ringside at his last fight, including one of the three judges, who thought he deserved the nod over Carroll in what turned out to be a split draw.
Farmer is a big favorite over Frenois for a reason. It’s clear from each man’s resume that Farmer has been in the ring with a higher level of opposition. Farmer, in fact, is a bit traditionalist in that way in that he’s gotten so much better because he consistently faces good fighters.
It might be tempting to back Farmer by stoppage at +200, but skip that unless it’s a hedge on the points win. While Frenois has mostly competed at the European level and has never really advanced to the point that he would be considered anything beyond a regional talent, he’s still a smart mover who should make it to the final bell.
Besides, Farmer isn’t a knockout puncher. He’s better at just about everything else than Frenois, and his class will show over the second half of the fight. Farmer has scored just six knockouts despite his tremendous speed and athleticism.
The fight is very likely going the distance, and Frenois showed in his last fight he has the mettle to make it through when times get tough.