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Adam Martin for Bookies.com

By Adam Martin | | 10 mins

UFC Vegas 55 Odds, Picks & Predictions for Holm vs Vieira

UFC Vegas 55 Odds, Picks & Predictions for Holm vs Vieira

This Saturday night, UFC Vegas 55 takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. There are 11 fights on the UFC betting board, including a five-round women’s bantamweight bout in the main event between top contenders Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira. 

We will break down the headliner plus two other main card bouts in our UFC Vegas 55 UFC picks right here at Bookies.com.

Favorite Underdog
Holly Holm | -240 Ketlen Vieira | +195

Odds accurate as of publication and via DraftKings Sportsbook.

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UFC Vegas 55 Main Event Best Bet

Holly Holm (-240) vs. Ketlen Vieira (+195)

The main event of UFC Vegas 55 features former UFC women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm against Ketlen Vieira. Holm is a -240 favorite over the +195 underdog Vieira on betting sites, and I like Holm to get her hand raised after a 25-minute battle between these two top contenders.

Although she is 40 years old, Holm is still in phenomenal shape for her age and she has proven she can still beat younger opponents. In her last two outings, Holm defeated Irene Aldana and Raquel Pennington, and she beat both of those fighters rather easily. Given both those women haven’t lost since they fought Holm, those wins have aged nicely. 

Of course, those fights were in 2020, so Holm is coming off of a long layoff. But she is still one of the best strikers we’ve ever seen in women’s MMA, and she has good grappling, too. She’s very well-rounded, and despite being one of the oldest fighters in the division, I believe she still has something left in the tank.

Vieira has looked pretty good in the UFC overall and she’s coming off of a nice win over former champ Miesha Tate in her last fight. That being said, it was a standup fight, and Tate is not a good striker. 

If Vieira wants to stand and trade with Holm, I can’t see it going well for her. Vieira’s best path to victory in this fight is to shoot for takedowns, but she might have trouble taking down Holm to the floor. On the feet, there is no question that Holm is better. I also think Holm has the better cardio. If this fight goes into the later rounds, I would give her the edge there, too.

When I see this fight playing out in my mind, it’s with Holm leading the dance on the feet by out striking Vieira and winning a decision. So give me Holm to win the main event of UFC Vegas 55 as a -240 favorite, and I like Holm to win the fight by decision, which is at +100 odds.

The Pick: Holly Holm wins at -240 with DraftKings

Alternative Pick: Holly Holm wins by decision at +100 with Caesars  

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Other UFC Vegas 55 Best Bets

Chidi Njokuani (-220) vs. Dusko Todorovic (+180)

Two middleweights battle when Chidi Njokuani takes on Dusko Todorovic. Njokuani is a -220 favorite at sports betting apps, and I believe he will defeat the +180 underdog Todorovic, and likely do so in a very impressive fashion.

Njokuani had an incredible UFC debut earlier this year when he knocked out Marc-Andre Barriault in just 16 seconds. It was an amazing debut for Njokuani, and it was a long time coming. Although he’s new to the UFC roster, Njokuani has been a professional MMA fighter since 2007, meaning he’s been competing for 15 years. 

While he’s had his ups-and-downs over the years, he has performed well as of late with three straight wins by knockout heading into this matchup with Todorovic, and now he’s taking on an opponent who seems primed for a knockout. It doesn’t hurt that Njokuani is two inches taller and holds a sizable six-inch reach advantage.

UFC Vegas 55 Odds, Picks & Predictions for Holm vs Vieira 1
 

Todorovic is 2-2 overall in the UFC. In his two wins, he showed off an excellent ground game as he took down both Maki Pitolo and Dequan Townsend and beat them up on the floor. However, in his two UFC losses to Gregory Rodrigues and Puna Soriano, he was not able to take his opponents down to the ground. 

Instead, he was forced to fight in the standup, and we saw holes in his striking defense. Against Soriano, he got knocked out twice, and although he survived against Rodrigues, we still saw his chin high up in the air and his hands down. This striking defense is going to burn him again sooner or later, and it might happen here in this fight.

I view Njokuani as the far superior striker in this fight, and with his improved grappling skills, I believe he will be able to keep this fight standing and knock Todorovic out. Give me Njokuani to win as a -195 favorite, and he should be able to win inside the distance as well at +110.

The Pick: Chidi Njokuani at   -220 with DraftKings

Alternative Pick: Chidi Njokuani wins inside the distance at +110 with Caesars  

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Junyong Park (-205) vs. Eryk Anders (+160)

In a middleweight bout that opens up the main card, Junyong Park battles Eryk Anders. Park is a -205 favorite, while Anders is a +160 underdog, and I’m going to take a shot on Anders as a dog as I believe this fight is close than the odds are indicating.

Park has a 3-2 record in the UFC and he has performed fairly well overall. He has shown off a solid ground game in his wins as he was able to take his opponents to the mat and beat them on the floor. His striking is decent too, but not great. He is coming off of a KO loss to Gregory Rodrigues in his last fight in what was a back-and-forth war. 

However, the fact that Park was finished with strikes is certainly not a positive as he heads into this matchup with Anders. Park’s ground game is very good, but he’s overly reliant on it, and it might not work against Anders.

With a 6-6, 1 NC record in the Octagon, Anders has certainly been very inconsistent. However, he has fought a very high level of competition for the most part, with most of his losses coming to ranked opponents. 

He is coming off of a loss to Andre Muniz, but Muniz could be a future champion in the weight class, so I don’t think it’s that bad of a loss. Anders is also a huge middleweight and he has a three-inch height and two-inch reach advantage against Park. With solid takedown defense and improved striking, he could prove to be a tough matchup for Park.

It’s important to always look at the opening lines to see where the oddsmakers saw the fight and compare it to how the betting public sees it. In this case, the bookies opened up the fight at -110 a piece. I believe that’s a much more accurate line as I see a close, competitive fight, and that’s why at +160 I have to take a shot on Anders. I believe he can nullify Park’s takedowns because he’s the bigger, stronger man, and I believe he can do more damage to Park with his improved striking. Give me Anders to win at +160, and I also think Anders by decision at +350 has value.

The Pick: Eryk Anders win at +160 with DraftKings

Alternative Pick: Eryk Anders wins by decision at +350 with Caesars  

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About the Author

Adam Martin for Bookies.com
Adam Martin
A writer based out of Toronto, Adam Martin has covered professional sports, with an emphasis on sports gambling, for more than a decade, writing for such outlets as The Toronto Star and Sportsnet. He is an expert in UFC, while also covering NHL betting and the Stanley Cup.