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Verizon 200 At The Brickyard Odds & Picks For Indy Motor Speedway

David Caraviello for Bookies.com

David Caraviello  | 20 mins

Verizon 200 At The Brickyard Odds & Picks For Indy Motor Speedway

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Another road course race, this one at the historic Indianapolis Motor Speedway, means another week of seeing Chase Elliott atop the NASCAR odds board on sports betting apps. The Hendrick Motorsports driver is also going for his second consecutive victory—thanks to a historic event last week at Pocono of consequence to fans and NASCAR bettors alike.

Elliott, who had crossed the finish line third, was declared the winner at Pocono only after first- and second-place Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch were disqualified for post-race inspection issues concerning the front ends of their cars, both fielded by Joe Gibbs Racing. The DQs clearly had an impact on NASCAR betting fans, with Hamlin and Elliott both +800 to win.

We checked with DraftKings, which provides some of the most extensive NASCAR markets in the industry, about how they handled it. Communications director Stephen Miralga told us that NASCAR markets are initially settled based on unofficial results. In the event of a DQ, new winners will also be settled as won. Although all operators are different in how they handle such things, in at least this case bettors on both sides of the issue could breathe easy—and cash out.

It’s a unique occasion, to be sure, but also a reason to read the fine print on betting sites for their settlement rules. Now on to the Brickyard, where Elliott will try to win for the fourth time in six races.

Verizon 200 At The Brickyard Odds

DriverWinTop 3Top 5
Chase Elliott +400 +100 -200
Kyle Larson +650 +170 -125
Ross Chastain +700 +190 -115
Tyler Reddick +1000 +250 +130
Daniel Suarez +1200 +350 +160
Austin Cindric +1200 +350 +160
Chase Briscoe +1600 +450 +210
Martin Truex Jr. +1600 +450 +210

Odds via DraftKings and current as of publication.

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Verizon 200 at the Brickyard Predictions

Chase Elliott To Win

Odds: +400 at DraftKings

Yes, he’s the favorite, and yes, the value isn’t the best. But it’s impossible to ignore how well Elliott has run over the past month. Had the original Pocono results stood, he still wouldn’t have a finish worse than third since mid-June. As it is, he’s been first or second for five straight weeks—and is long overdue to win again on a road course.

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Ryan Blaney, Top Ford

Odds: +425 at DraftKings

A better road racer than he gets credit for, Blaney finished 11th at Road America, and sixth at both Sonoma and Circuit of the Americas. He owns just one road-course win, at the Roval in 2018 (that after Martin Truex Jr. and Jimmie Johnson wrecked each other going for the win), but he’s also in a shallow Ford stable that doesn’t figure to present many contenders.

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Michael McDowell, Top 5

Odds: +400 at DraftKings

Thanks in part to a next-gen car that puts him on more even footing with the big boys, McDowell is enjoying the best season of his career, with eight top-10s so far this season (the most recent coming at Pocono last week). Best among them was a third-place run at Sonoma. McDowell also led briefly at Indy last year before being swept up in a crash.

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Verizon 200 at the Brickyard Betting Tips

Last season NASCAR switched from Indy’s oval to its grand prix circuit, where A.J. Allmedinger scored a surprise victory. Is the ‘Dinger in position to contend again on Sunday? That would seem a dicey prospect, given that his average finish in 10 premier-series starts this season is 21st, and his best result is ninth at Road America. Allmendinger has also led a total of two laps in the three Cup road events he’s entered so far this year.

The odds favorite Elliott is no longer a sure thing on road courses, given that he’s won just one of his last eight starts on tracks where drivers turn right as well as left. Outside of Elliott, the drivers with the best career average finishes on road courses are Ryan Blaney (the runner-up at Indy last season), Kevin Harvick (winless in 64 straight races) and Kyle Larson (third at Indy in 2021). Behind Elliott’s seven road course victories, Busch and Martin Truex Jr. own four apiece.

The previous two road course events this season have produced first-time winners in Tyler Reddick and Daniel Suarez, who entered those events with odds of +2500 and +2000, respectively. Potential value NASCAR picks this week include +2000 Christopher Bell, first and fourth the past two weeks, and +3000 Michael McDowell, who was third at Sonoma and eighth at Road America.

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Verizon 200 at the Brickyard Date, Time and TV

When: Sunday, 2:30 p.m. ET

Where: Indianapolis (Ind.) Grand Prix Circuit, IN

TV: NBC

About the Author

David Caraviello for Bookies.com
David Caraviello
Veteran sports journalist David Caraviello has covered college football, college basketball, motorsports and golf, covering all three US golf majors, the Daytona 500 and SEC football.