Free Premier League Expert Picks

Check out our best bets - from total goals to handicaps to outright winners and draws - for each round of play throughout the EPL season.


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Bookies Tipster Adam Thompson
Adam Thompson
EPL: 5-2 L7 (+345), NBA '19-'20: 66.1%; NFL '19: 64.4%
Adam Thompson is the Bookies.com NFL, NBA and college basketball analyst/handicapper. Previously senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com, he has consistently produced profitable seasons.
TOP PICK
Handicap
Liverpool over Burnley
Nobody can blame Liverpool for taking its foot off the gas after clinching the EPL title so early. But after getting rolled by Manchester City, the champs have won two straight, and now the 100-point plateau, occurring just once in EPL history, is within reach. That’s motivation, as is a perfect home record. Burnley bounced back from its own City beatdown to win two straight, but each was a narrow 1-0 victory. Liverpool has blanked nine of its last 11 opponents at home.
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Over/Under
Watford-Newcastle Over
Newcastle has morphed into an attack-first team, which works sometimes but not in others. It didn’t work in its last game, a 5-0 bloodbath at the hands of Manchester City. But its previous match was a 4-1 win over Bournemouth. Watford is a lot closer to Bournemouth than it is City in terms of overall skill. For Watford, four of its last five games have had at least three goals, and they’ve all had two or more and have averaged 3.4 in total.
Winner
Manchester City over Brighton
Manchester City has a habit of overwhelming inferior opposition. City has scored 11 more goals than any other team this season and 22 more goals than any team not from Liverpool. Brighton has not much to gain or lose – if City gets a quick lead, that fact may creep into the mindset and it could get ugly.
Winner
Aston Villa over Crystal Palace
Aston Villa has lost nine of 11 and the other two were draws; needless to say, it’s been a struggle lately for the Villains. Crystal Palace has also fallen off the rails, losing four in a row including its last two road games by scores of 4-0 and 3-0. Villa really, really needs this one if it hopes to avoid relegation, Palace is in EPL purgatory, in 14th place with little hope of moving upward or downward enough to matter. Aston Villa’s defense has been a big issue, but only Norwich has scored fewer goals than Crystal Palace.
Handicap
Manchester United over Southampton
United has crushed its last four EPL opponents by three goals each – it’s never happened before in the history of the league. It’s crushed five of its last seven by at least three. United is on the Champions League bubble, so the motivation remains. That’s bad news for Southampton, which can score at times but has one of the worst defenses of any team not in danger of relegation. Look for another big game by the home squad at Old Trafford. Back ManU to win by -1.5 if you can find it.

Why our Premier League Picks Can Be Considered Real Expert Picks

Most sports bettors have conviction when assessing and wagering on a match, which is why they are willing to risk real money to make some money. At Bookies.com, we see each game as a way for you to make cash, too, which is why we’ve tapped world-class writers with decades of experiencing covering soccer. Our experts follow the latest news, transfers and match results to help bettors make the most informed decisions with inside information from England’s top clubs.

Are the Odds Displayed The Best Odds for Each Pick?

They are. Sportsbooks have different odds, albeit very similar, to try and draw you to bet with them. That’s where Bookies.com comes in, as we provide the comparable Premier League odds for you to make the best decision. Our comparable odds table updates constantly to provide the best live odds from the most trusted legal online sportsbooks for bettors.

Should I Do My Own Research when Making Premier League Picks?

You should always do your own research, too. Be sure to follow Bookies.com soccer writers on Twitter, along with relevant Premier League accounts, to keep yourself informed with the latest news so you are enlightened heading into matchday. Lineup changes, transfers, injuries, suspensions, club drama and match schedule should all be taken into account.

At Bookies.com, our Premier League articles and news section keeps bettors up-to-date with the latest trends and betting information. With total goals, spreads, goal scoring prop bets and much more, it’s important for bettors to stay in the loop, even as the match is going on. Future odds are also always shifting, but at Bookies.com, we have you covered.

What to Consider when Making a Premier League Pick

Always consider the moneyline first, as many popular clubs that bettors are familiar with are used to seeing a large moneyline. Lines for popular betting clubs, such as Manchester City or Chelsea, usually see moneylines at -200 or lower, which might be lofty for some.

A great alternative for bettors who are confident in a club but deem the moneyline too expensive is to take the first-half line. Most favored Premier League clubs see a lead going into the half, and even if they don’t, bettors can comfortably double down on their desired team to win the match at a lower moneyline than originally offered.

Draws also present the best value bet in most, if not all, Premier League matches. Most draws open around +200 or higher. They will drop to roughly -150 or lower if the match is a draw in the 75th minute or later, still providing some solid value.

Lastly, both teams scoring (or not scoring) should be considered when betting a Premier League match. If two clubs with great goalkeepers are going head-to-head, perhaps the “Both Teams Score – No” bet is appropriate. If two high-flying offenses are facing off on matchday. Then perhaps the ‘Both Teams Score – Yes’ bet is appropriate, and may even see an early cash out for bettors.

I’ve Made My Premier League Pick, Now What?

You’re ready to bet. You’ve educated yourself with the clubs' latest performances, their lineups, any internal drama occurring – and now you’re ready to make some money. Your next step is to select the best odds for the type of bet (or bets) that you want to make for the match. Bookies.com directs you exactly to the sportsbook and bet you want to place from our Premier League consensus odds page by clicking on the odds you like. If you are a first-time bettor, make sure to include the bonus promo code when registering. You might even get a free first Premier League bet!