Biggest College Football Point Spreads and How to Bet Them
Every week you'll find monster college football betting point spreads, making those points (and some of those huge moneylines) very tempting, too. Here's how you should approach them.
And check out our Bookies.com expert college football picks to get ready for the weekend.
Largest Week 12 College Football Point Spreads
|Ohio State (-51.5) at Rutgers||N/A|
|Northwestern (-39) vs. Massachusetts||N/A|
|Clemson (-33) vs. Wake Forest||N/A|
|La.-Lafayette -28.5 at South Alabama||+2000|
|Boise State -27.5 vs. New Mexico||+1400|
|Oregon -26.5 vs. Arizona||+1400|
|LSU at -21 at Ole Miss||+700|
|Alabama -21 at Mississippi State||+800|
|Utah -21 vs. UCLA||+850|
Buckeyes Massive Favorites at Rutgers
The real opponent for Ohio State this weekend isn’t the opponent — it’s a point spread that stands as the second-largest of the college football season.
One week after covering 42.5 in a rout of Maryland, the Buckeyes face an even bigger number: 51.5 at Rutgers, the worst program in the Power 5. The only point spread this season that has been larger (according to those offered by 888 Sport) was the 55 Alabama faced in a Week 2 home game against New Mexico State. And there was just one other line this year in the 50s — the 51 faced by LSU in a Week 3 home game against Northwestern State.
The favored team didn’t cover in either of those two previous cases: Alabama beat the Aggies by 52, and a missed extra point left LSU with a push against the Demons. Can the Buckeyes buck that trend and record what would be the biggest cover of the season?
Undefeated Ohio State has been a phenomenal bet against the spread this season, reeling off eight consecutive ATS victories since failing to cover 27 in their season opener against Florida Atlantic. At the opposite end of the Big Ten spectrum, Rutgers is winless overall against Power 5 opponents and has covered just once in its last eight games —against Liberty, an independent in its second season of FBS competition.
Understandably, anyone will think twice (or maybe three times) about plunking down cash on a game with a line of 51.5 points. But consider the last three seasons: Ohio State has won by 49, 56 and 58 over the Scarlet Knights. Consider that this Buckeyes team has been the most consistent in the country week to week. And consider that all the title contenders are trying to make an impression now that College Football Playoff rankings are being released on a weekly basis.
Swallow hard and take the Buckeyes.
Clemson Tigers on a Tear
Speaking of title contenders trying to make an impression, how about Clemson throwing the ball in the final seconds even with a 39-point lead over North Carolina State? Take notice, bettors: Every program with a chance at the College Football Playoff is going to try to earn style points now that contenders are being ranked each week.
The victory in Raleigh was the fourth cover in five games by the Tigers, whose only misstep in that span was a 45-point victory over Wofford against a 47-point line. Now here comes No. 19 Wake Forest as a 33-point underdog in Death Valley, undoubtedly one of the largest point spreads this season in a game pitting two ranked teams.
The Demon Deacons are legitimate contenders for the Orange Bowl if Clemson gets into the playoff. From a betting perspective, they’ve covered in just two of their last five games, a span which includes outright losses to Louisville and Virginia Tech as slight favorites. But they’re also the ACC’s No. 2 scoring team and they’ve played fairly competitive recent games in Death Valley (losing by 14 and 20 their last two trips), so there’s reason to consider laying some contrarian money on Wake.
Northwestern: 1-8 and Favored By 39
Here’s an odd one: A 1-8 team as a 39-point favorite? That’s the case Saturday when Northwestern hosts 1-9 Massachusetts in what might be the single worst matchup of this college football season.
The Wildcats — that Big Ten title game appearance last year having long since faded into the distance — are 2-7 ATS this season, both losses. In their lone win, they failed to cover an 18.5-point spread against UNLV. UMass has covered just once this season (in their lone victory, over Akron), and were blitzed 63-7 by Army their last time out.
Hide the women and children for this one, pity the Big Ten Network for having to broadcast it, and maybe consider these two terrible teams going under the 56-point total.
Underdog Pirates Cover Again
Of the seven games last week involving lines of 21 points or greater, favorites went 6-1 against the spread — the exception being 21.5-point favorite SMU, which sweated out a nine-point win over East Carolina. The Pirates covered for the fourth straight game as a double-figure underdog.
As for potential underdog covers in big-line games this week, the best option might be — UCLA at Utah? Really? The Bruins are suddenly competitive, winning three straight before their off week. Then again, the Utes have won five straight against the spread, and have hammered some lesser opponents. Maybe save the Bruins for next week against USC.