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UFC Vegas 68 Odds, Picks & Predictions For Lewis vs. Spivac

Adam Martin for Bookies.com

Adam Martin  | 9 mins

UFC Vegas 68 Odds, Picks & Predictions For Lewis vs. Spivac

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The world’s leading MMA organization returns this Saturday when UFC Vegas 68 takes place. The main event features a five-round heavyweight bout between Serghei Spivac and Derrick Lewis, and there are 11 other fights as well. 

Now, we’ll take a deeper look at the main event as well as two other bouts and give our UFC betting picks in our Bookies.com Best Bets preview for UFC Vegas 68.

Favorite Underdog
Serghei Spivac | -230 Derrick Lewis | +195

Odds via DraftKings sportsbook and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings sportsbook review.

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UFC Vegas 68 Main Event Best Bet

Serghei Spivac (-230) vs. Derrick Lewis (+195)

The headliner of UFC Vegas 68 sees heavyweights Serghei Spivac and Derrick Lewis face off for five rounds or less. Spivac is a -230 favorite, and I believe he will win this fight. Spivac is just 28 years old, so he’s one of the youngest fighters in the UFC heavyweight top-15 rankings. After struggling with a 1-2 record in his first three UFC fights, he has really turned things around in the last few years, going 5-1 over his last five fights. 

He is one of the best grapplers in the heavyweight division and he is dangerous when he gets his opponents on the mat, as he is able to finish them with brutal ground and pound. Although his durability is a bit of an issue with two knockout losses in the Octagon, there’s no question he is very talented.

Lewis, meanwhile, is the UFC’s all-time leader in knockout wins with 13, which shows how devastating he is when he lands a big punch. However, he is now 37, and lately, he's been getting finished, having lost three of his last four fights by knockout. 

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There’s no question that he still possesses big power – power is the last thing to go, after all – but his inability to take a punch now at his age is very concerning. He absolutely has the KO power to catch anyone with a big shot and put them out, but overall, he is a very flawed fighter.

Lewis has a puncher’s chance, but Spivac is the better overall fighter. I believe Spivac will use his grappling to win this fight, so take him to win at -230 and take him to win by TKO for a prop on betting apps.

UFC Vegas 68 Best Bet: Serghei Spivac wins -230 at DraftKings Sportsbook

UFC Vegas 68 Best Prop Bet: Serghei Spivac wins by TKO +130 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Other UFC Vegas 68 Best Bets

Da-Un Jung (-240) vs. Devin Clark (+210)

The co-headliner features a light heavyweight bout between Da-Un Jung and Devin Clark. Jung is a -240 betting favorite, and I expect him to get his hand raised.

Jung is 29 years old and he has a 4-1-1 record so far in the Octagon. He was unbeaten over his first five fights and was quickly climbing up the light heavyweight rankings before suffering a brutal knockout loss to Dustin Jacoby in his last fight. 

The loss to Jacoby definitely hurt his stock, but he’s still a very talented fighter who is dangerous in the striking and grappling departments. Despite the loss to Jacoby, I still believe in Jung and his potential.

As for Clark, he is 32 years old and has been struggling as of late, losing three of his last four fights overall. He’s been in the UFC since 2016 and has fought a high level of competition during that time, but he just hasn’t been able to put it all together and get that big win. 

Moreover, his durability is a concern as he’s been finished in nearly all of his losses. He’s a solid wrestler, but his inability to finish opponents and his prosperity to get finished is concerning. I have to go with Jung in this fight, and I believe he will finish Clark with strikes. Give me Jung as a -240 favorite and go with him by knockout if you like betting on props.

UFC Vegas 68 Best Bet: Da-Un Jung wins -240 at DraftKings Sportsbook

UFC Vegas 68 Best Prop Bet: Da-Un Jung wins by TKO +120 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Yusaku Kinoshita (-315) vs. Adam Fugitt (+260)

Opening up the main card is a welterweight bout between Yusaku Kinoshita and Adam Fugitt. Kinoshita is a -315 betting favorite, and I expect him to win this fight in spectacular fashion.

Just 22 years of age, Kinoshita was signed to the UFC following a knockout win on Dana White’s Contender Series last summer. He’s 6-1 so far in his MMA career since going pro in 2020, with all six of his wins coming by stoppage, and his loss coming via disqualification. 

This is a young fighter with a ton of potential and I expect him to be a staple of the UFC welterweight division for quite some time, and it all starts with a win over Fugitt in what will be his UFC debut.

Speaking of UFC debuts, Fugitt made his debut last summer when he was knocked out by Michael Morales. At age 34, Fugitt is a latecomer to the UFC, and it limits his upside in the Octagon. 

He does have quite a bit of experience and he is a talented fighter who has shown the ability to finish his opponents on the feet and on the ground. But he’s an older fighter who doesn’t have a ton of upside that we haven’t seen yet, and it looks like he’s a stepping stone here for Kinoshita.

I expect Kinoshita to be too fast and too powerful for Fugitt, and I believe he will win this fight by knockout. Take Kinoshita at -315 and take him to win by knockout if you want to bet on a prop.

UFC Vegas 68 Best Bet: Yusaku Kinoshita wins -315 at DraftKings Sportsbook

UFC Vegas 68 Best Prop Bet: Yusaku Kinoshita by TKO +120 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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About the Author

Adam Martin for Bookies.com
Adam Martin
A writer based out of Toronto, Adam Martin has covered professional sports, with an emphasis on sports gambling, for more than a decade, writing for such outlets as The Toronto Star and Sportsnet. He is an expert in UFC, while also covering NHL betting and the Stanley Cup.