2024 Presidential Election Odds

The 2024 race for U.S. president, if anything like the 2020 race, will captivate voters in America and bettors globally. The 2020 election was perhaps the most bet on event ever.

Though political betting is not offered currently at legal or licensed American sportsbooks , the odds are readily available on those sportsbooks' European sites and other European bookmakers, and help in handicapping the race.

Gavin Newsom Recall Odds: Will California Governor Be Removed?

Gavin Newsom Recall Odds: Will California Governor Be Removed?

California Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom, the subject of the recall election, has seen his odds to remain governor improve and he is now heavily favored to survive that effort.

Michael Kates for Bookies.com
Michael Kates
2024 Republican Nominee Odds: DeSantis Dips Amid COVID Spike

2024 Republican Nominee Odds: DeSantis Dips Amid COVID Spike

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who stormed to equal footing with former President Donald Trump in 2024 GOP odds, has seen his standing slip amid the COVID pandemic.

Michael Kates for Bookies.com
Michael Kates
Georgia Senate Races Odds Tracker: Warnock Up; Ossoff-Perdue Tight

Georgia Senate Races Odds Tracker: Warnock Up; Ossoff-Perdue Tight

Check out the latest odds from the hotly contested 2020 Senate races in Georgia that could determine control of the US Senate.

Michael Kates for Bookies.com
Michael Kates
Free Election Contests Are Being Offered in New Jersey, US

Free Election Contests Are Being Offered in New Jersey, US

Tree national contests are being promoted — and played — heavily at New Jersey sportsbooks as Election Day approaches.

Lou Monaco for Bookies.com
Lou Monaco
Swing-State Odds: All Eyes On Pennsylvania; Texas In Play?

Swing-State Odds: All Eyes On Pennsylvania; Texas In Play?

Donald Trump managed to flip six states that went for Barack Obama in 2012, and three states — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — proved most critical. Those 46 combined electoral votes swung the outcome in Trump’s favor. Will Joe Biden flip them back in 2020?

Michael Kates for Bookies.com
Michael Kates
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Near Finish Line

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Near Finish Line

As the 2020 Presidential Election nears the finish line, one thing is clear: Nothing is certain.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Debate Fallout

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Debate Fallout

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Town Hall Duel

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Town Hall Duel

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Rolling

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Rolling

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
Donald Trump Odds & Prop Bets

Donald Trump Odds & Prop Bets

While the Presidential odds reflect both where money is being wagered and how bookmakers view the state of the race, prop bets can offer social commentary on the state of US politics. That's especially true with Donald Trump prop bets.

Michael Kates for Bookies.com
Michael Kates
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump COVID-19 Impact

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump COVID-19 Impact

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: RBG Impact

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: RBG Impact

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Florida Crucial

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Florida Crucial

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Back in Lead

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Back in Lead

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: All Even

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: All Even

It's all tied up as the U.S. presidential race moves into the home stretch. Donald Trump and Joe Biden are both -110.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
Interest Abounds in US Presidential Election Betting

Interest Abounds in US Presidential Election Betting

Bookmakers have been setting lines on U.S. presidential elections for decades. Hundreds of millions of dollars have exchanged hands in under-the-table wagers. But betting on U.S. elections remains illegal in all 50 states. That’s not to say there isn’t a significant market for it.

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Race Tightens

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Race Tightens

The odds in the presidential race tighten as campaigning heads into the home stretch before the November election.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Settling In

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Settling In

Joe Biden and Donald Trump are rounding the corner and heading for the homestretch in the 2020 presidential race. Where does it stand now?

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Harris Impact

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Harris Impact

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
Biden VP Pick Odds: Harris Still On Top But Rice Edges Closer

Biden VP Pick Odds: Harris Still On Top But Rice Edges Closer

Oddsmakers have set Kamala Harris as the favorite to be Joe Biden's vice president pick, with Susan Rice second and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer surging into third. No other candidate is close to the top three.

Michael Kates for Bookies.com
Michael Kates
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Gap Narrows

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Gap Narrows

Joe Biden slips to -152 this week after a gaffe but swing state odds still look strong for the Democrat.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Holds

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Holds

Joe Biden holds at -167 this week. It appears that his strategy to quietly let Donald Trump put the distance between them continues to work.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Stronger

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Stronger

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden On A Roll

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden On A Roll

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Wild West

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Wild West

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump Edges Closer

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump Edges Closer

Donald Trump edges a little closer to Joe Biden following a calmer week. Meanwhile, a onetime Democratic favorite comes off the board, and the Vice President sees his odds jump.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Rising

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Rising

Every week Bookies.com will track where each candidate's odds stand and point out trends, giving you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential race and where it might be headed next.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump Drifts

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump Drifts

Three weeks into favorite status, Joe Biden’s odds get even better, settling at -121 this week. President Donald Trump drifted slightly to +115 while Hillary Clinton re-emerged with a bump in her odds.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump Tumbles

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Trump Tumbles

Former vice president Joe Biden sees his odds improve to -118 a week after taking over favorite status. It was a pretty quiet week for Biden and another down week for incumbent President Donald Trump.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Ahead

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Ahead

Democratic challenger Joe Biden has become the betting favorite this week, moving ahead of incumbent President Donald Trump.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Closer

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Biden Closer

Democratic challenger Joe Biden cuts into President Donald Trump's lead, as he let the incumbent make missteps throughout the week.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett
US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Little Change

US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Little Change

After a short bump earlier in the week, President Donald Trump's odds returned to where they were last week. Challenger Joe Biden's odds also stayed the same.

Anthony Bennett for Bookies.com
Anthony Bennett

2024 U.S. Presidential Odds Tracker

Candidate Aug 26, 2021 June 18, 2021 Apr. 1, 2020Feb. 17, 2020Jan. 20, 2021
Joe Biden (D) +350 +400 +400+400 +400
Kamala Harris (D) +400 +350 +350 +350 + 400
Donald Trump (R)+500 +700 +800 +800 +1000
Ron DeSantis (R)+1000 +1200 +2000+2500+3300
Nikki Haley (R) +2000 +2000 +1600+1600 +2000
Mike Pence (R) +2000 +2000 +2000 +1600 +1200
Pete Buttigieg (D) +4000 +5000 +5000 +5000 +3300
Ted Cruz (R) +5000 +5000 +5000 +3300 +3300
Josh Hawley (R)+5000 +6600 +6600 +5000 +2500
Kristi Noem (R)+5000 +5000 +3300+3300+6600
Tim Scott (R) +5000 +6600 +6600 +6600+3300
Elizabeth Warren (D)+5000 +6600 +5000+5000 +6600
Tom Cotton (R)+6600 +6600 +6600+6600 +3300
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)+6600 +6600 +6600+6600 +3300

Odds via UK bookmaker Ladbrokes and subject to change.

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Understanding Election Betting Odds

Just like a sporting event, presidential betting odds are set to reflect the likelihood an outcome occurs as well as where the betting public is putting its money. If bookmakers view a candidate is unlikely to win, they will see long odds. Conversely, the favorites' odds will be much shorter.

Betting on the 2024 presidential election winner is perhaps the most straightforward way to wager. Betting sites assign lines to every candidate, and a bettor wins if his or her choice gets elected. President Biden, who is essentially guaranteed his party's nomination, is an early favorite, as is his vice president, Kamala Harris, because of Biden's age and a belief he might serve only one term.

Until the Republicans settle on a nominee, top contenders such as Donald Trump, who has floated the idea of running again; his vice president, Mike Pence; the Trump children; and a coterie of others all have longer odds. Those will shift as that field comes into better focus.

Betting who will win the Republican nomination is also a popular politics gambling market. Since these wagers are only on who will face Biden (assuming he is running for a second term) — regardless if they go on to win the presidency — the odds are significantly shorter.

Unlike sporting events, where a line is set for a game that will come in the next day or week, political election odds are set years ahead of an election. A candidate could start with long odds, see those slashed, then see them rise again — possibly multiple times in the span of a month. The race for the presidency also sees candidates end their campaigns entirely, even some that were viewed favorably by bookmakers.

CHECK OUT: The Latest Key Senate Race Odds

How Election Betting Works

U.S. presidential betting (and most politics betting in general) is similar to a futures bet such as a wager on which team will win the Super Bowl or finish with the best record in the NBA , though a sports team is largely judged by wins and losses, and a presidential candidate can see their election odds improve or worsen on less tangible matters, such as endorsements or fundraising.

That's why it's important to follow Bookies.com for not just the latest odds , but what key performance indicators might mean for U.S. presidential bettors going forward.

Things to Watch For When Betting on the US Election

A novice sports bettor knows wins and losses alter odds, but a sharp bettor follows injuries, transfers and a host of other developments that can impact a team's performance. The same goes for betting on the 2024 presidential election, though these moves can be harder to track. Along with 2024 presidential odds, here are critical components of the 2024 presidential election you need to follow when considering a bet.

Endorsements

Politicians and celebrities have endorsed candidates in U.S. elections since the nation's founding. If a voter views an influential person or politician giving the endorsement favorably, it could influence their vote. Americans now have more access to more influencers than ever, diluting the impact of an individual endorsement, but it still remains a major key to watch when considering presidential betting gambling odds.

That remains especially true of elected officials. For example, if a governor in a key swing state endorses a candidate, it means they may be willing to campaign directly for that candidate and possibly help them access resources for campaign rallies and other forms of campaign infrastructure such as field offices.

Endorsements also underscore momentum. No politician (or celebrity for that matter) wants to support a loser. An endorsement means that influencer sees their candidate has a path for victory. Those supporters tend to snowball, meaning just a few major endorsements in a short time can encourage more to follow suit. This gives, at the very least, the perception of a strong candidate. That in turn can influence their prospects — and their election odds.

Candidates love to tout any and all endorsements, proudly discussing them on the campaign trail and posting them on their election websites and literature. Check out a candidate's endorsement list when considering a bet, and also view odds on Bookies.com to see how those endorsements are calculated into 2024 presidential betting.

Polling Data

Polls remain the lifeblood of any candidate's run — and a critical factor in presidential betting odds. Endorsements, debate performances, primary results and a host of other factors can influence poll respondents' answers, but the results of the polls themselves have major impacts on how bookmakers view a candidate's prospects.

Presidential election bettors will note shifts after most major polls are released. By and large, the odds tend to reflect these changes. A sharp bettor also knows that a strong debate performance, for example, could lead to a bump in the polls, and that they should place their bet quickly before their odds are slashed by the next poll.

Sharp political bettors also know a shift in poll results without a shift in betting odds could mean bookmakers are taking in a different set of information (or sharp money) that is seemingly going against the polling data. Polling remains a baseline for a candidate's chance of success, but there are more factors in the process, some that may be harder to discern.

Still, bettors would be wise to follow major polls such as Quinnipiac, Mason-Dixon, Monmouth and reputable news organizations, among others. There are literally hundreds of types of political polls, but the most critical are favorability ratings and preferred candidate during the nomination process and for the general election. It is essential to look at swing states such as Georgia, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as they often will determine who wins the Electoral College and the presidency.

Worthwhile polls are released almost daily, so bettors should track these sources almost as closely as they check election betting odds.

Campaign Funding

American presidential elections arguably depend on money more than another other factor. A candidate's war chest not only helps him or her promote their message before voters, it also shows the degree of support. Someone willing to give their money to a presidential contender is perhaps the most significant sign of being literally invested in a candidate.

Media outlets love to report a candidate's financial situation, particularly in the context of their campaign's success, and candidates themselves must disclose, line-by-line, their income and expenditures quarterly. A particularly successful (or unsuccessful) fundraising haul makes headlines and goes a long way into how bookmakers view presidential election odds.

Both Republicans and Democrats will spend hundreds of millions of dollars on the 2020 presidential election alone, so a well-funded campaign is essential to not just secure a nomination but win the presidency. A sharp political bettor always checks a candidate's finances before placing a wager.

Upcoming Pivotal 2024 Election Dates

  • Primaries, late winter-early summer | A schedule hasn't been set yet, but typically early primaries and caucuses in New Hampshire, Iowa and South Carolina begin to winnow down a field, followed by "Super Tuesday" in March when a host of delegate-rich states hold their primaries.
  • Nominating Conventions | Typically held in August, though the pandemic in 2020 shifted the dates dramatically. These events provide nominees with four straight days or nationally broadcast programming to get their messages out.
  • Presidential Debates, Late Fall | The trio of presidential debates are among the most important determinants. A debate in and of itself isn't typically enough to win (or lose) an election, but they can go a long way in polls and fundraising, two key components to how bookmakers lay odds.
  • Election Day, Nov. 5 | The end of a race — once all the votes are counted.

Betting Tips for the 2024 US Presidential Election

With Americans unable to place legal bets on any political race, they will have to be content following along with developments and voting in their state's nominating contest. For bettors outside the U.S. looking to place a wager on the 2024 presidential election, here are the best betting tips for presidential betting to keep in mind before putting money down on a candidate.

Timing is Critical

As any sharp knows, a good bet isn't necessarily on who will win but the value that bettor receives. The grueling presidential campaign process sees massive betting odds fluctuation for all contenders.

It's almost impossible to predict which way the lines will go ahead of time, but there are key trends to monitor. Though campaigns famously can flip after one bad quote or photo, much of what makes or breaks a candidacy is scheduled ahead of time. Track debates, earning reports and major polls released before primaries, all of which are planned in advance.

A politics bettor that thinks a candidate is going to do show well in any of these areas should place a bet before they happen. Conversely, if a bettor believes a candidate will do poorly in these areas but still is a good bet overall, they should wait until afterward to place their wager. Like a smart investment in the stock market, 2024 presidential election bettors should buy a candidate's prospects when odds are undervalued.

Bet on the Electoral College, Not Popular Vote

America's elections take fundamental differences to the parliamentary-style process in most English-speaking countries. Parties don't select a candidate, but they instead accrue delegates through a state-by-state nomination process, with the eventual recipient of the most delegates earning the right to go to the general election.

In another key difference, the general election isn't determined by raw popular votes, but by the Electoral College. Each of the 50 states is given a number of Electoral College votes based off its population, and the winner is the person who secures 270 (or more) of those votes. So while national polls may show an advantage for one candidate or another, the election will be decided by who wins the most votes in a specific set of states.

In 2016, and the 2020 election, those were in the American Midwest, most notably Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. With the majority of Electoral College votes essentially decided due to heavy partisan leans in most states, bettors shouldn't concern themselves with national trends, but look at polls, fundraising and support in that key handful of undetermined states.

Primaries Aren't General Elections

It can't be reiterated enough that primaries are for a party's nomination not the general election. While primary wins are good to track for bets on the party nominee, it's important to understand that that a candidate can gain overwhelming support in their party's state nomination contest but have almost no chance in that same state's general election.

For example, the winner of the South Carolina Democratic primary has that victory as a way to show the nationwide Democratic base that they are the best candidate for their party. However, the South Carolina Democratic primary winner has virtually no shot carrying that state in the general election because of its overwhelming partisan lean toward Republicans.

Again, just because someone touts support, no matter how lopsided, in a party primary, it doesn't have much of an impact on the general election. Sharp bettors need to familiarize themselves with current partisan makeups and realize that in most states intraparty support means very little in the general election.

Avoid Longshots

Oprah, Kanye West, The Rock and other celebrities might make for a fun bet, but they are never good wagers, no matter the odds. People may point to another celebrity-turned-president in Trump after his improbable run to the White House, but his campaign still withstood the 18-month crucible of a presidential run.

Regardless the odds, reject any off-the-wall bet for a celebrity candidate — or anyone else not declared for the race.