Trump Trails: Presidential Election Odds Daily Tracker
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The 2020 U.S. Presidential race is in full boil, with odds shifting on a daily basis. Even though political betting is not offered at any legal or regulated sportsbook in the United States, the European counterparts to US sportsbooks have robust betting markets. While many factors go into those odds — including if big bets have come in — they are also a good indicator of where things stand. Bookies.com takes a look at today's state of the race. Don't forget to bookmark this page so you can check back weekday mornings during the campaign!
2020 Presidential Election Odds
Odds via 888sport's UK-facing betting site and subject to change.
Trump Stays at +100
General election odds are stable this morning, with Trump sitting tight as a +100 even-money underdog. Biden remains the favorite with -121 odds.
Trump has two events planned for today and will head to Charlotte – where Biden visited Wednesday – for a 4:30 p.m. speech on healthcare. Then he’s off to Jacksonville for a 7 p.m. rally, hosted by son Donald Trump Jr.
The President made headlines Wednesday after he was asked if he would commit to a peaceful transfer of power should he lose the general election. He declined to do so and cited “ballots” as a disaster, continuing to insist that mail-in voting due to the global pandemic will lead to widespread election fraud.
”Get rid of the ballots and … there won’t be a transfer, frankly, there will be a continuation,” Trump said.
Reporter: "Win, lose or draw in this election, will you commit here today for a peaceful transferal of power after the election?"— NBC News (@NBCNews) September 23, 2020
President Trump: "We're going to have to see what happens." pic.twitter.com/h5RF3dKPD1
Trump is in a better place at the betting shops than he was two months ago. But he’s still an underdog in the big race and trailing in a host of key swing states he needs to earn reelection. And the clock is ticking with the general election just 40 days away.
Biden is still the favorite at -121 and has expanded his lead over the past three weeks. He has another chance to do so next week with the first presidential debate coming up Tuesday in Cleveland.
The former vice president has been heavily criticized by Trump, press secretary Kayleigh McEnany and others for a lack of public appearances the past few days. Biden’s campaign has decided to focus on advance work for the debates instead. They clearly view Tuesday’s debate as a big opportunity to increase their lead at the polls.
A New York Times/Siena College poll released Thursday shows close races in three swing states that Trump carried handily in 2016.
The new poll shows Biden leading Trump by three points in Iowa and a dead heat in Georgia – which has voted Republican in eight of the last nine elections, with Bill Clinton the lone exception in 1992. It also has Trump with a three-point lead in Texas, where he won by nine points in the 2016 election.
new NYT/Siena state polls:— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) September 24, 2020
Biden 45%, Trump 42%
Biden 45%, Trump 45%
Trump 46%, Biden 43%
Additional findings include a huge gender gap in those three states, with women favoring Biden by a wide margin. He has a 14-point lead among women in Iowa, a 10-point lead in Iowa and an eight-point lead in Texas.
Trump has tried to appeal to women but at the time of his “suburban housewives” tweet, an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll showed 66% of suburban women disapproved of Trump, with 58% saying they “strongly” disapproved.
The “suburban housewife” will be voting for me. They want safety & are thrilled that I ended the long running program where low income housing would invade their neighborhood. Biden would reinstall it, in a bigger form, with Corey Booker in charge! @foxandfriends @MariaBartiromo— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 12, 2020
Biden continues to look like the winner on paper, with strong standing in essential swing states and national polls. A strong showing in Tuesday’s debate could also put to rest the constant Republican talking point bringing his mental acuity into question. Soon enough, we’ll find out if it’s enough to unseat the sitting President who already pulled off one massive upset in 2016.
Upcoming: First Presidential Debate
The first presidential debate is going down Tuesday in Cleveland and will be moderated by Fox News’ Chris Wallace. Biden says he’s going to begin the majority of his heavy preparation today. Trump says he doesn’t really need traditional prep or advance work and won’t hold any mock debates.
Trump is stopping today in Charlotte for a 4:30 p.m. appearance and will speak about healthcare, according to his official schedule. Then he’s flying to Jacksonville for a 7:30 p.m. rally.
2020 Election FAQ
When Is The 2020 Election?
The 2020 Election is scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2020.
What Are The Swing States In 2020?
The swing states in 2020 are Arizona, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Georgia, Iowa, Texas, New Hampshire and Minnesota. Check out the latest swing-state odds.
Who Is The Favorite To Win the 2020 Presidential Election?
Biden is the favorite with -121 odds. Trump is the underdog and his odds are currently +100.
When Are The Presidential Debates?
The Presidential Debates are scheduled for Sept. 29, Oct. 15 and Oct. 22, subject to change.
When Is The Vice Presidential Debate?
The Vice Presidential Debate is scheduled for Oct. 7.