By Dan Kilbridge | Jul, 14th 2020 | 6 mins

Trump Steadies: Presidential Election Odds Daily Tracker

The 2020 U.S. Presidential race is in full boil, with odds shifting on a daily basis. Even though political betting is not offered at any legal or regulated sportsbook in the United States, the European counterparts to US sportsbooks have robust betting markets. While many factors go into those odds — including if big bets have come in — they are also a good indicator of where things stand. Bookies.com takes a look at today's state of the race. Don't forget to bookmark this page so you can check back weekday mornings during the campaign!

2020 Presidential Election Odds

Odds via 888sport's UK-facing betting site and subject to change.

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Today's Takeaways

Trump Odds Steady

Trump stayed put as a +125 underdog in Tuesday’s betting odds for the 2020 general election. Biden is still the significant favorite at -137 with 16 weeks left in the race.

The President took a few questions from media Monday after a roundtable with “stakeholders positively impacted by law enforcement.” Trump was in his element with the assembled police officers and citizens who told stories one-by-one as part of the PR stunt.

Later, Trump was asked if he still plans to hold the Republican National Convention in Jacksonville given the recent surge of coronavirus cases and reports many party members remain skeptical and some are just not going to come.

Trump said “we’ll see” and conceded that coronavirus has “built up a little bit.” Florida recorded 15,300 new cases on Sunday alone. Any issues with the Florida conventions would probably further hurt Trump’s chances in the Sunshine State, where Biden is currently a -167 favorite.

CHECK OUT: Betting Odds For Every Swing State in the 2020 Election

GOP Fades Fauci

Trump also said he has a “very good relationship” with leading infectious disease expert and coronavirus task force member Dr. Anthony Fauci. This despite the White House leaking a memo over the weekend intended to discredit Fauci.

Trump also said last week Fauci is a “nice man, but he’s also made a lot of mistakes.” Fauci has served under six U.S. Presidents and is widely considered the top expert in his field. President George W. Bush awarded him the Medal of Freedom in 2008.

The current administration treats him like a political opponent and the most rabid portion of the base is eating it up a with all sorts of conspiracies that Trump feeds on the regular. Trump's trade advisor, Peter Navarro, said Fauci has been “wrong about everything I have ever interacted with him on.”

Navarro gained favor with Trump in 2016 because they shared the same economic views – tariffs good, free trade bad - and he said what Trump wanted to hear. Navarro’s statements are easier to understand when, by his own admission, he sees his job as finding ways to justify Trump’s instincts rather than help make an informed decision.

Hence the Trump-Fauci divide. Fauci has not told Trump what he wanted to hear, nor has he tried to shape public statements around Trump’s agenda instead of his own medical opinion.

What does this have to do with betting?

The fact that Trump and Co. are focusing on a highly-respected medical expert instead of his actual opponent – Biden – seems unwise given how far Trump has fallen behind in the odds. Fauci is seemingly the last guy you’d want to attack given that Americans overwhelmingly trust his opinion on coronavirus more than Trump’s.

Those polling numbers are widely known in the White House and explain why he’s drawn the ire of many on Pennsylvania Avenue. They also indicate Trump missed a major opportunity to regain trust by endorsing Fauci’s advice throuthout the pandemic.

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2020 Democratic Nomination Odds

Odds via 888sport's UK-facing betting site and subject to change.

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Upcoming Primaries: Connecticut

The primary process is just about finished, though we’ll have to wait another month before Connecticut votes in the anchor position Aug. 11.

After that it’s on to the Republican Convention in Jacksonville, Florida. That’s the plan, at least. Trump changed the location from its original spot in Charlotte when North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper wouldn’t guarantee the event could be held at full capacity.

A 3 p.m. meeting with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo today is the lone item on Trump’s official schedule.

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