Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 7 mins

Heisman Watch: Matt Corral Odds Surge, New Betting Favorite

Heisman Watch: Matt Corral Odds Surge, New Betting Favorite
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Good luck staying on top of the 2021 Heisman Trophy race. The outlook has changed drastically each week, with preseason favorites plummeting and off-the-radar candidates climbing up the board. And we’re just three weeks into the season, with plenty more twists and upsets on the horizon.

Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral has been the big mover so far, as he takes the top spot this week. And sportsbooks are showing the Rebels playmaker a ton of respect with +200 odds ahead of a bye week for Ole Miss. Then it’s on to Tuscaloosa for a massive game against No. 1 Alabama.

Alabama quarterback Bryce Young moved down to second on the college football betting board after a close win at Florida, but his odds actually improved to +225 from +350. Oddsmakers at betting sites are taking an early stance here with the college football futures markets projecting a two-horse race.

Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler, the preseason betting favorite, is now third on the board and his college football odds are all the way up to +1600 after an underwhelming start to the season. Cincinnati quarterback Desmond Ridder and Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud are both listed at +1800 behind Rattler.

Latest Heisman Odds

Player NowPreviousTrendUp next
Matt Corral+200+500@ No. 1 Alabama (Oct. 2)
Bryce Young+225+350Southern Miss
Spencer Rattler+1600+800West Virginia
Desmond Ridder+1800+2000@ No. 12 Notre Dame (Oct. 2)
CJ Stroud+1800+1000Akron
Malik Willis+2500N/AN/A@Syracuse
Sam Howell+2500+3000@ Georgia Tech
JT Daniels+3000N/AN/A@ Vanderbilt
TreVeyon Henderson+3500N/AN/AAkron

Odds via DraftKings and accurate as of Sept. 20. Check out our DraftKings sportsbook review and be sure to compare FanDuel vs DraftKings whenever checking odds.

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Ole Miss QB Matt Corral

Current odds: +200 at DraftKings

Up next: at No. 1 Alabama (Oct. 2)

Expected betting impact: Corral enters the bye week as the new Heisman Trophy betting favorite on sports betting apps. The junior Ole Miss quarterback went off for seven total touchdowns Saturday in a 61-21 win over Tulane, and the Rebels look like they could cause some problems in the SEC.

Corral’s next game is the biggest of his life, a road trip to Alabama to take on the Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. And Nick Saban’s defense looks gettable after the Tide gave up 440 total yards in a 31-29 win at Florida.

Heisman Watch: Matt Corral Odds Surge, New Betting Favorite 1

Corral now has a chance to become the biggest star in college football if he can lead the Rebels to an upset win – think Johnny Manziel’s epic 2012 performance at Alabama, when he led Texas A&M to an upset win over the No. 1-ranked Tide and went on to become the first freshman ever to win the Heisman Trophy.

Seeing Corral’s skillset and Alabama’s defense, the pieces are there for Corral to play like a superstar and improve his Heisman stock win or lose.


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Alabama QB Bryce Young

Current odds: +225 at DraftKings

Up next: Southern Miss

Expected betting impact: Young lost his status as the Heisman favorite this week, even though his odds still got shorter in the process. Young is now just a hair behind Corral at +225, up from +350 a week ago.

The sophomore handled his first true road test well, completing 22 of 35 attempts for 240 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. It was enough to help the Tide narrowly avoid an upset and leave The Swamp with a win, in what was probably Alabama’s toughest test of the regular season.

Heisman Watch: Matt Corral Odds Surge, New Betting Favorite 2

The odds for Corral and Young probably won’t change much if at all this week, with Corral on a bye and Young taking on Southern Miss at home. That means the Oct. 2 showdown in Tuscaloosa will have serious Heisman implications, with the two consensus front-runners going head-to-head.

Now is a good time to take a stance on either guy while they’re both available at +200 or longer. Whichever quarterback looks better in that game will see their odds shorten by quite a bit, and there probably won’t be much value when Heisman odds are listed after the game.

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Oklahoma QB Spencer Rattler

Current odds: +1600 at DraftKings

Up next: West Virginia

Expected betting impact: Rattler’s odds are in freefall after another underwhelming performance. The Oklahoma sophomore threw for 214 yards and just one touchdown in a 23-16 win over Nebraska, a game in which the Sooners were favored by 22.5 points.

We’re surprised the odds are all the way down to +1600, despite the pedestrian start. Rattler’s chances were derailed last year when the Sooners lost two of their first three games to Kansas State and Iowa State. At least this Oklahoma team is still unbeaten and favored to win the Big-12, despite the early struggles – a 40-35 win over Tulane in the opener looks even more suspect following the Green Wave’s 61-21 loss at Ole Miss.

Heisman Watch: Matt Corral Odds Surge, New Betting Favorite 3

Rattler and the Sooners still have plenty of time to right the ship, beginning Saturday with a home game against West Virginia. Nobody remembers or punishes teams for close calls in the early season if they play to their potential when it matters. The No. 4 Sooners can still absolutely do that, and we expect Rattler to look better in the coming weeks. We think there’s value on Rattler right now at +1600.


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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.