By David Caraviello | | 4 mins
Utah vs Oregon Predictions & Picks For Pac-12 Championship Game
The shellacking in Salt Lake City? The wipeout by the Wasatch? Call it what you will, Utah’s 38-7 blowout of Oregon just two weeks ago remains difficult to forget as the same teams prepare to meet in the Pac-12 championship game Friday night.
The setting will surely be different: Under the roof at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, rather than before 50,000 raucous Utes fans in SLC. And with both teams out of the College Football Playoff picture, the stakes are pretty straightforward - a league title and Rose Bowl berth, both of which would be firsts for Utah since joining the Pac-12 in 2011.
The Utes are a 2.5-point favorite in the 8 p.m. ET matchup, which is sure to attract college football betting interest as the marquee game on the Friday night of championship week.
Odds subject to change.
Utah vs Oregon Key Matchups
Oregon’s offensive line vs. Utah’s front seven: There’s no secret to how Utah dismantled Oregon two weeks ago; the Utes were just better physically, and the Ducks had no answer. Can you change that in two weeks? We’ll find out.
Kayvon Thibodeaux vs. Utah’s offensive line: The Oregon rush end remains the best defensive player in the conference, and the Ducks’ hopes of reversing the Nov. 20 outcome begin with him wreaking havoc in the Utes’ backfield.
Oregon’s defense vs. Cameron Rising: The Utah quarterback ranks ninth in the league in total offense, and his running threat from behind center sets the table for everything else Utah does.
5 Key Utah vs Oregon Stats
4-0: Oregon’s record in Pac-12 championship games, in which they’ve averaged 42 points per outing.
3-2: Oregon’s record against the spread in neutral-site games under coach Mario Cristobal, hired prior to the 2018 campaign.
9-8: Utah’s record against the spread in neutral-site games under coach Kyle Whittingham, hired prior to the 2005 season.
5-3: Oregon’s record against Utah since the Utes joined the Pac-12 in 2011.
17: Number of combined sacks by Utah defensive end Mika Tafua and linebacker Devin Lloyd, who rank first and second in the Pac-12 in that category.
Utah vs Oregon Moneyline
Utah is a -148 favorite, according to betting apps, while Oregon is a +120 underdog. The Ducks and their vaunted running attack looked downright slow against Utah two weeks ago, managing all of 63 yards on the ground.
The momentum of a home crowd can carry a program only so far, and then it comes down to scheme and personnel. Utah had Oregon covered on all fronts in that first game, in a smash-mouth performance that simply dominated the Ducks up front. While this game should be closer, we’re passing on the moneyline and saving our bankroll for other college football picks.
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Utah vs Oregon Point Spread
Utah is a 2.5-point favorite, according to sportsbooks. The Ducks covered as home favorites last week against Oregon State, their fourth win against the spread in six games. The Utes have covered in five of their past eight, and their covers have come against some of the better teams in the Pac-12.
The games in which Utah has struggled to beat the spread have featured lines of three touchdowns or more, which certainly isn’t the case with these college football odds. Utah has covered five of its last six as a 10.5-point favorite or less, and we’ll stick with that trend and back the Utes here.
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Utah vs Oregon Totals
The total is 59.5, according to betting sites. After going over the total in six straight, Utah has gone under in two in a row - one because Oregon managed just a touchdown, the other in the natural letdown game against 24-point underdog Colorado.
Oregon has gone under in three of four, the exception being their nightmare in Salt Lake, and historically has put up lots of points in its Pac-12 title game appearances. The 28 points Utah scored against Colorado was its lowest output since late September, so we’re chalking that up to an exception and going with the over here.
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