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2023 AFC & NFC Championship Odds Tracker

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 16 mins

2023 AFC & NFC Championship Odds Tracker

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With half as many teams to choose from compared to Super Bowl betting odds, odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have grown in handle and number of bets over the years. Winning that final game is tough, so bettors have added conference title futures to their overall NFL betting strategy.

Bookies.com will track AFC and NFC odds and continue to do so through the 2023-24 NFL regular season and into the playoffs.

AFC Championship Odds

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Kansas City Chiefs+300 +350
Buffalo Bills+500 +500
Miami Dolphins+500 +1400
Baltimore Ravens+750 +1000
Cincinnati Bengals+900 +500
Cleveland Browns+1200 +1600
LA Chargers+1400 +1600
Jacksonville Jaguars+1600 +1600
Pittsburgh Steelers+1800 +3500
Tennessee Titans+4000 +4000
New England Patriots+5000 +2800
Indianapolis Colts+6600 +5000
Las Vegas Raiders+8000 +3500
New York Jets+8000 +800
Denver Broncos+10000 +2200
Houston Texans+20000 +6600

Odds via BetMGM and current as of September 26. New bettors, check out our BetMGM Sportsbook promo code to unlock the best available deals.

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AFC Championship Odds Movements

  • September 26: The Kansas City Swifties (+300) solified their position as the top team in this betting market. Miami and Buffalo are knotted at +500, but that will change after they play on Week 4. The Cleveland Browns continue their rise up the rock and roll charts and now sit at +1200, alone in the sixth spot in the conference, up from +2000 last week. The Ravens (+750) and Bengals (+900) complete the top 5. A major gap has developed between the No. 9 Steelers (+1800) and the No. 10 Titans (+4000).
  • September 19: The rubble continued to settle in the AFC this week. The Chiefs avoided an 0-2 start with a hard-fought 17-9 win at Jacksonville. The Ravens remain a steady entry, soaring to a 2-0 start with a decisive win over the Bengals. They remain a terrific value at +700, being priced below Miami and Buffalo. The Dolphins are getting a surprising amount respect from oddsmakers and the betting public. Speaking of the Bengals, they are 0-2 but remain in the upper tier of teams in this market at +1000. The Browns slid to +2000 after losing Nick Chubb for the season. The Chargers are now +1400 after their 0-2 start.
  • September 12: The loss of Jets QB Aaron Rodgers for the season following his torn Achilles suffered on the fourth snap of year shook up this market. Before the injury, the Jets were tied for the No. 4 pick overall choice to win the AFC at +900. They are now ninth at +3000. All three favorites in the AFC - Kansas City, Buffalo, and Cincinnati - lost in Week 1 and saw their prices soften slightly this week. The Dolphins and Browns made the biggest leaps. Miami moved up to +800 from +1400 after beating the host LA Chargers, and moving up to the favorite spot in the AFC East at +135. The Browns whipped the Bengals and saw their price double from +1800 to +900. Those aformentioned losses by KC, Buffalo, and Cincinnati represent an opportunity to buy into one of those teams at a better price.
  • September 6: On the eve of the regular season, the Chiefs have solidified their spot atop the AFC. The Bills and Bengals have seen their price erode slightly. The Jets and Ravens continue to move in tandem, as their price tightenely slightly from +1000 to +900 since the start of training camp. Meanwhile, bettors have backed off a bit from the Jaguars.
  • July 28: The Bills and Chiefs remain the top two picks in this market, while the Bengals have broken away all alone in third place. There's been significant movement in the middle. The Jets have backslid into a tie with the Ravens to begin the second tier of contenders at +1000. The Dolphins are right behind at +1100. Elsewhere, the Browns (+2000) and Patriots (+3500) have slipped significantly.
  • May 10: The Kansas City Chiefs are favorites to defend their AFC crown and return to the Super Bowl this season. Multiple offseason moves elsehwere left the Chiefs in the primary position among oddsmakers. The Cincinnati Bengals are the best play here right now. They have fixed some key holes through free agency and the draft. The Chiefs and Bengals will play on New Year's Eve in a game that could well decide homefield in the conference.
2023 AFC & NFC Championship Odds Tracker 1

AFC Conference Trends

Home Advantage Matters: In both the AFC and NFC championship games, home-field advantage has proven advantageous. But it’s been really true on this side of the standings. Home teams have won seven of the last nine AFC title games, and 13 of the last 16.

Offense Wins Championships: The winning team in the AFC Championship has scored at least 35 points in five of the last nine title games. Of course, the winning team in all five instances had either Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes II running the show.

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NFC Championship Odds

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
San Francisco 49ers +240 +350
Philadelphia Eagles +300 +275
Dallas Cowboys +450 +650
Detroit Lions +1000 +850
New Orleans Saints +1600 +1800
Green Bay Packers +1600 +2200
Seattle Seahawks +1800 +1800
Atlanta Falcons +2500 +3000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3500  +4000
LA Rams +3500 +3000
Minnesota Vikings +4000 +2200
New York Giants +5000 +2200
Washington Commanders +5000 +3000
Carolina Panthers +15000 +2200
Chicago Bears +20000 +2200
Arizona Cardinals +25000 +8000

Odds via BetMGM and current as of September 26. New bettors, check out our BetMGM Sportsbook promo code to unlock the best available deals.

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NFC Championship Odds Movements

  • September 26: Three teams - San Francisco, Philadelphia, and Dallas - remain the priceiest picks. The 49ers are a steep +240, while the Eagles (+300) and Cowboys (+450) lurk within striking distance. The Lions are No. 4 at +1000, while the Packers and Saints sit tied for 5th +1600.
  • September 19: The NFC has morphed into a three-team race after just two weeks of the season. It's the 49ers (+260), Cowboys (+325), (+350), and everyone else. The numbers on each have solidified to where you're looking at more a preference than seeking value. We're not fully sold on the Saints even though the NFC South is up for grabs. The value here lies with Detroit. You can grab them at +1400 following a bad home loss in OT to Seattle. They're still the pick to win the NFC North.
  • September 13: The 49ers joined the Eagles as co-favorites in NFC Conference championshio market after the top four favorites all won on the road in Week 1. The Eagles held at +300, while prices on the 49ers (+350 last week), Cowboys (+600), and Lions (+900) all emjoyed slight moves on the upside.
  • September 6: The Eagles continue their tenuous hold on the top spot in this market. The 49ers, however, continue to gain ground and have wiped out much of the gap. The Eagles have slid from +280 to +300 since the start of training camp, while the 49ers have risen to +350 from +400. The Lions have lost a bit of their luster as more mature money flows in to this market. While value shoppers have moved toward the Cowboys, pushing them from +650 to +600.
  • July 28: The top three teams - Eagles, 49ers and Cowboys - have broken free from the rest of the conference. The Lions are next at +850. The biggest upward movers of note: Saints and Seahawks rising to +1200 from +1800; and the Vikings jumping from +2200 to +1500. The Panthers have seen their price tumble from +2200 to +3500.
  • May 10: The NFC Champion Eagles are tabbed by oddsmakers to repeat as conference champions. Jalen Hurts got his bag in the offseason. The Eagles did well in the draft and have all the key pieces back. The 49ers are overpriced given their uncertainty at quarterback. Brock Purdy's joyride ended in catastrophe in the NFL title game. Trey Lance remains untested over a full season. The Cowboys and Lions are more reasonable plays, as are the Giants.
2023 AFC & NFC Championship Odds Tracker 2

NFC Conference Trends

All About O: Similar to the AFC, it takes a lot of points to win conference championships, more than it takes defensive stops. Six of the last eight NFC winners scored 31-plus points to clinch their Super Bowl trip, and six scored least 26.

New Faces: Last year, for the first time since January of 2011, NFL Championship Weekend did not feature either Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers.

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.