By Bill Speros | | 21 mins
2023 AFC and NFC Championship Odds Tracker
With half as many teams to choose from compared to Super Bowl betting odds, odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have grown in handle and number of bets over the years. Winning that final game is tough, so bettors have added conference title futures to their overall NFL betting strategy.
Bookies.com will track AFC and NFC odds and continue to do so through the 2022-23 NFL regular season and into the playoffs.
AFC Championship Odds
|Team||Current Odds||Preseason Odds|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+450||+600|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+850||+800|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+2200||+2000|
|New England Patriots||+2200||+2500|
|New York Jets||+6600||+8000|
The NFL schedule has the Buffalo Bills opening on the road against the Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams. The Bills are the favorites at betting sites to win both the AFC and the Super Bowl.
The Bills and Chiefs meet in Week 6 for a rematch of their historic playoff game from last January. And the AFC West is loaded. The Chiefs, Broncos and Chargers are all among the top four picks to win the conference among oddsmakers.
The Broncos brought in Russell Wilson at QB and QB whisperer Nathaniel Hackett as their new head coach. They are our pick to win it at +850 as training camps open.
The Raiders are a longshot value play at +2200, with new head coach Josh McDaniels and the addition of WR Davante Adams. Elsewhere, the defending AFC champion Bengals are strong value pick at +1100. Joe Burrow has help on his offensive line and won’t absorb the beating he took last season.
AFC Conference Trends
Home Advantage Matters: In both the AFC and NFC championship games, home-field advantage has proven advantageous. But it’s been really true on this side of the standings. Home teams have won seven of the last nine AFC title games, and 13 of the last 16.
Offense Wins Championships: The winning team in the AFC Championship has scored at least 35 points in five of the last eight title games. Of course, the winning team in all five instances had either Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes II running the show.
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NFC Championship Odds
|Team||Current Odds||Preseason Odds|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+350||+350|
|Green Bay Packers||+500||+500|
|San Francisco 49ers||+750||+750|
|New Orleans Saints||+2500||+2500|
|New York Giants||+6000||+6000|
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The Los Angeles Rams loaded up to win Super Bowl 56 and it paid off. Adding Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. paid monster dividends during the postseason. But Miller jumped to the Buffalo Bills and OBJ remains unsigned as an injured free agent.
Still, the Rams bring back QB Matthew Stafford and WR Cooper Kupp, who not only led the NFL in yards receiving, receptions and TD catches, but earned Super Bowl MVP honors.
If the Rams hope to repeat, they will have to get past Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. Both future Hall of Fame QBs are back with their teams this season. Brady retired for 40 days before ending his “vacation” and opting to return to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brady’s decision propelled the Bucs to become NFL odds favorites to win the NFC. The Packers and Rodgers are the second choice at sportsbooks and on betting apps.
Tampa Bay remains the pick here, but not at this price. The Eagles are the best value play here by fare.
NFC Conference Trends
All About O: Similar to the AFC, it takes a lot of points to win conference championships, more than it takes defensive stops. Five of the last seven NFC winners scored 31-plus points to clinch their Super Bowl trip, and six scored least 26. But the Rams used a stout defense to stop the 49ers in the 2022 NFC championship game.
New Faces: For the first time since January of 2011, NFL Championship Weekend did not feature either Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers this past season.
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