With half as many teams to choose from compared to Super Bowl betting odds, odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have grown in handle and number of bets over the years. Winning that final game is tough, so bettors have added conference title futures to their overall NFL betting strategy. 

Bookies.com will track AFC and NFC odds and continue to do so ahead of and during the 2024-25 NFL regular season and playoffs. 

AFC Championship Odds

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AFC Championship Odds Movements

December 11: The Chiefs (+180) keep finding ways to win one-score games on the game's final play. They've won with a last-second field goal. They've won by blocking a last-second field goal attempt. And this past week, they won when their last-second field goal doinked off the left upright and slid through for 3 points. Now that Taylor Swift's Eras Tour is over, she'll be a staple at each of the team's games for the duration. But KC has been a drain on the wallets of bettors who have backed them this season. KC is just 5-8 on the line and have not covered since October 20. The 10-3 Bills (+290) showed some major vulnerabilities in the secondary in their 44-42 loss to the Rams. But Josh Allen ran for 3 TDs and threw for 3TDs in defeat. Buffalo needs the Chiefs' luck to run out for just one week. The Steelers (+750) remain our value play. Russell Wilson is playing like old Russell Wilson. The Steelers are 9-3 SU and ATS. Pittsburgh is headed for an AFC North title and a home playoff game. 

December 3: The Bills and Chiefs further edged away from the pack in Week 13. The Chiefs (11-1) notched another one-score victory, this time thanks to the Raiders' incompetence. The Bills (10-2) buried the 49ers in a snowbank inside Highmark Stadium. It's no surprise each team is tied atop this market at +215. The Bills beat the Chiefs in their game earlier this season, and thus hold the tiebreaker. Having homefield in a pile of lake effect snow and cold could be enough to get Josh Allen to his first Super Bowl. Even if Taylor Swift is cheering on her beau from the luxury suites. The Ravens (+450) are 2 games out in the AFC North. The Steelers are still the best value here at +1000. The Steelers (9-3) finally discovered an offense with Russell Wilson and should get home playoff game (or maybe two) as AFC North champions. The Jaguars, Patriots and Raiders were all eliminated from playoff contention in Week 13.

November 26: The Kansas City Chiefs (+200), Buffalo Bills (+300) and Baltimore Ravens (+300) have turned this market into a legit up-for-grabs situation entering the final full month of the season. Each team holds an edge - but also carries some real liability. Buffalo beat Kansas City straight up at home 2 weeks ago behind would-be MVP Josh Allen. The Ravens have a lights-out running game with Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson. And the Chiefs are the Chiefs and boast Patrick Mahomes. The prices on each team accurately reflect the market. The Steelers are a value at +1300 given their potential to knock out the Ravens. 

November 20: The Kansas City Chiefs are mortal. Kansas City suffered its first loss since Christmas this past week, falling to Josh Allen and the Bills in Buffalo. Still, KC holds a one-game lead for home-field and the Round 1 bye. And KC controls its own fate. Thus, it's still the clear favorite at +200. The Bills are alone at No. 2 at +300. They're followed by the Ravens (+450) and the Steelers (+850). This may be the best number you'll get on KC for the duration. If you believe the Chiefs just hit a speed bump, make the move now. Otherwise, flip a coin between Buffalo and Baltimore. The Texans (+1100) have all but locked up the AFC South, thus guaranteeing themselves a home playoff game. Remember the Jets? They began the season at +1400. Now, they're +40000. Never mention Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady in the same sentence ever again. 

November 13: Will the Chiefs ever lose? They came close in Week 10, but blocked a potential game-winning kick against Denver. This week, a possible AFC Championship Game preview takes place as Kansas City visits Buffalo as 2.5-point underdogs. Patrick Mahomes is 13-1-1 ATS as a betting underdog. A KC win could break open this market. If the Bills win, this becomes anyone's AFC. Pittsburgh remains the value play here at +1200 given their chance to win the AFC North and clinch a home playoff game. 

November 6: The Chiefs remain unbeaten, if not perfect. Kansas City keeps managing to win games it could have easily lost. That's what guys like Patrick Mahomes do. But their number remains artificially high. The Ravens (+280) and Bills (+320) have all the parts to beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead in the playoff. The Texans will have to wait until next year. The Steelers are the best value play here at +1400. They keep improving. 

October 29: The Chiefs continue to shine and carved out some more distance between themselves and the Ravens. Kansas City slipped past the Raiders but still slipped back a bit from +150 to +190. The Ravens fell from +250 to +350 after they were upset by the Cleveland Browns and Jameis Winston. The Bills continue to hold steady and remain a value at +400 if you think they'll be able to score on the road in the postseason. The Texans (+850) and Steelers (+1400) have pulled away from the other longshots in the AFC. 

October 22: The Ravens continue to justify our faith in the Purple and Black. Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews put on a dominant performance at Tampa Bay Monday night. Their number edged up from +300 to +250. The Chiefs, meanwhile, just keep winning. This time, their defense and Patrick Mahomes toughed it out at San Francisco. Their price spiked from +200 to +150 this week. number The rest of the AFC appears to be slipping away - save for perhaps Buffalo. An AFC championship game rematch between Baltimore and Kansas City (at Arrowhead this time) appears inevitable. 

October 15: The Chiefs had their bye this week and saw their number hold at +200. The Ravens kept pace at +300 by beating the Commanders. The Texans and Bills are even in the third spot at +550. Both teams have lingering questions, although the Texans are clearly playing better ball these days. The Jets and Bengals keep hanging around at +1500. The best value play here continues to be the Bengals at +1500. They've put all their pieces back together again. But the heavy play remains the Ravens. 

October 1: The price on the Chiefs (+250) loosened for the first time this season. While Kansas City held off the LA Chargers for a push in a 17-10 win, the Ravens (+350) straight-up dominated the Bills, rolling to a 35-10 victory on Sunday night. The value on the Ravens got wiped out by that win, as their price doubled from +700. Buffalo sits at No. 3 at +400. The Texans follow at +700. There's value with Houston. And we're still to take the cheese on Baltimore, especially how it is improving during the season, and the Chiefs appear to be just winning each week. And losing key players along the way. 

September 24: Kansas City continues to keep its firm grip on the AFC. It appears the Chiefs might have a challenge this year from the Bills and MVP-favorite Josh Allen. Buffalo this week pulled away from Houston and is now the alone in the No. 2 spot here. The Ravens hold some value at +700. The Jets, not so much. Keep an eye on the Steelers. There's still real value at +1600.

September 17: The Chiefs hold steady as the strong favorite to return to their 5th Super Bowl in 6 years. The closest teams are now the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans, each sitting at +500. The other 2 unbeaten teams in the conference aren't getting nearly as much respect from oddsmakers. The 2-0 Steelers and 2-0 Charger each continue to languish at +2200. The 0-2 Bengals (+1000) and Ravens (+750) are priced significantly higher. 

September 12: The Chiefs saw their number tighten after a Week 1 win over Baltimore. The Ravens, conversely, slid a bit. But real movement occurred just beneath the surface. The Houston Texans moved to No. 3 in this market, seeking their number edge up to +650. They opened at +850. The Bills held at +800. But some of the movement in this market was more the result of money pouring in and less Week 1 results. The Jets moved from +1100 to +900 despite their Week 1 loss. 

September 3: Week 1 is upon us. The offseason saw record contracts for some of the top-tier QBs and wideouts in the game. The NFL begins with 8 teams having new coaches this season. Bill Belichick and Pete Carroll have exited the stage. The Kansas City Chiefs will be looking to three-peat as Super Bowl champions and AFC champions this upcoming season. The Chiefs beat the 49ers in overtime in Super Bowl 58. Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are planning to run it back together, along with Travis Kelce. The rest of the AFC will be pressed to find a formula to knock out Kansas City in the postseason. Oddsmakers have the Chiefs as the favorites to three-peat in the AFC at +300. The Ravens are slotted second at +550. The Bengals are getting a lot of respect by oddsmakers here. They're No. 3 at +700 despite missing the playoffs this past season. The Dolphins finish the top five at +1000. 

AFC Conference Trends

Home Advantage Matters: In both the AFC and NFC championship games, home-field advantage has proven advantageous. But it’s been true on this side of the standings. Home teams have won seven of the last 10 AFC title games, and 13 of the last 17.

Offense Wins Championships: The winning team in the AFC Championship has scored at least 35 points in five of the last 10 title games. Of course, the winning team in all five instances had either Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes II running the show.

NFC Championship Odds

NFC Championship Odds Movements

December 11: The Eagles and Lions remain atop this market, with little space between them. Detroit is 12-1 and +135, which is a slight loosening from last week. The Eagles are now +265. There's value in the Packers (+900) and Vikings (+800), if you believe a Wild Card team can win at Detroit or Philly in the postseason. 

December 3: The Eagles are gaining altitude on the Lions in this market. Philly has won 8 straight games and trail Detroit by just one game in the standings. Detroit is 11-1 and sits at +150. The 9-2 Eagles are up to +240 after being +300 a week ago. The Vikings (+800) and Packers (+700) are 1 game and 2 games out respectively in the NFC North. The Packers play the Lions on Thursday. They are a value play if you can think they'll pull off the road upset this week. The Giants were eliminated from playoff consideration in Week 13. 

November 26: The Lions remain (+125) remain the team to beat. But there are several potential threats, the best among them are the Eagles (+300). Elsewhere, the Packers (+750) are third in this market, and the Vikings are fourth (+800). It's likely both of those teams will start the postseason as Wild Card entries on the road. That's a tough path to get to the Super Bowl. Keep an eye on the Buccaneers (+2200) who have a legit shot to win the NFC South and snag a home playoff game. 

November 20: Detroit's number tightened just a bit this week from +190 to +140 even after a 52-6 win over Jacksonville. The Eagles have found their stride in beating the Cowboys and Commanders in back-to-back weeks. If you're nervous about Dan Campbell kicking another field goal in the NFC title game, the Eagles offer a nice price at +320. The Vikings, despite being just a game behind the Lions in the NFC North, are getting no respect. Minnesota is +950, along with fellow NFC North entrant Green Bay. 

November 13:  The Lions rallied for an impressive 26-23 win at Houston, after scoring the final 19 points of the game. Detroit is rolling toward clinching the all-important first-round bye and homefield throughout the playoffs. They remain at +190. The Eagles (+425) and 49ers (+475) tightened a bit in second and third place in this market. The Vikings are fading. The Commanders (+1100) are suddenly the team to watch, if they can win the NFC East. 

November 6: It's the Lions and everyone else in the NFC. Detroit holds a game lead over its closest competitors, but unlike in the AFC, no across-the-board competitor has emerged as a potential challenger. The Lions will be a tough out in the postseason with the bye and home field for 2 playoff games. Their price tightened further to +190 this week. The Eagles (+550) and 49ers (+600) at stacked in the second tier. The Falcons +1200 could be the value surprise here. They're on track to win the NFC South, which means at least one home playoff game. Kirk Cousins is on auto-pilot. 

October 29: The numbers on the Lions (+290) and 49ers (+500) both tightened this week as those teams won. The Lions hold a 3-game edge in the loss column over San Francisco and have a 1-game lead over several other teams in the loss column. The Eagles (+700) kept pace, moving past the sliding Vikings and Packers. Both of whom are tied at +750. The rejuvenated Rams moved from +5000 to +2800. 

October 22: For the first time since betting became legal in Michigan, the Detroit Lions are the betting favorite to win the NFC. The Lions roared to the top of this market after clipping the Vikings in Minnesota 31-29 in Week 7. The pushed up their number from +500 to +350. That's still a decent value given that they had the 49ers beat in last season's NFC title game before Dan Campbell's brain freeze. The 49ers saw their price cut more than 50%, falling from +300 to +650. They slipped into a 2nd-place tie with Minnesota (also a solid value play here) after losing Brandon Aiyuk for the season in their loss to the Chiefs. Both are +650.  

October 15: Where is the love for the Minnesota Vikings? The lone unbeaten team in the NFC sits third in this market. A continued victim of low expectations by oddsmakers and others before the season. The 49ers top the board at +300. That won't change since SF is on its bye. But the Vikings and Lions play at 1 p.m. on Sunday at Ford Field. Expect movement for those two teams. If you like the Vikings, +550 may be their best price for the rest of the season if they were to beat the Lions. There's value hidden elsewhere in this market, especially with Tampa Bay at +1700. 

October 1: The Minnesota Vikings continue their meteoric rise in this market. After opening at +2000, they now stand at +650 after a 4-0 start. Elsewhere, this market remains stable, with the 49ers, Eagles and Lions sitting in the top 3 spots. Our favorite value play remains the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2500), who have beaten Detroit at Ford Field, and Philadelphia at home, this season. Another NFC South title means a home playoff game. And anything can happen after that.

September 24: The 49ers saw their price ebb slightly to +300 after losing to the Rams. But they remain the favorite here. The Eagles and Lions moved into a tie at No. 2, but their price is within range of the lead here. There's value here but only if you believe in your team. The price on the Niners is a discount given their number earlier this season. 

September 17: The 49ers held the top spot at +275 despite losing at Minnesota. The Philadelphia Eagles joined the Detroit Lions in the No. 2 spot here at +500. But the real movement in this market came in the NFC South. The New Orleans Saints spiked from +3000 to +1300 after their impressive win over Dallas. And the Tampa Bay Buccaneers moved up to +1800 after standing at +3000. The Rams took a major tumble after losing to the Cardinals and seeing both Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua go out with injuries. They are now +3500, falling from +2000.

September 12: San Francisco and Detroit held their top spots in this market. But the value has begun to erode on the Eagles after a hard-fought win on a messy track in Brazil. Philly spiked to +475 after beginning the season at +800. Dallas held at +650. The Rams were the victims of a tough OT loss to the Lions but still saw their number improve from +1500 to +1400. The Chicago Bears moved into the top 6 with a solid come-from-behind win over Tennessee, leaping past the Green Bay Packers. 

September 3: The San Francisco 49ers are the clear favorite to return to the NFC Championship Game. Their price is more than double that of their nearest competitor - Detroit. The 49ers (+250) beat Detroit (+550) in the NFC title game this past season. Both teams are expected to return mostly intact with their key players on both sides. Two teams from the NFC East - the Cowboys and Eagles - are next. Philadelphia at +600 and Dallas at +700. Since Taylor Swift has now won more Super Bowls than the Cowboys in this century, things could get ugly for Mike McCarthy if the Cowboys struggle early. Especially with Bill Belichick being unemployed in the NFL for the first time since 1974.